When you look
at global temperature graph like HadCRUT3, the evidence is now gone.
Not exact matches
Michael Mann, a climate scientist
at Penn State who created the famous «Hockey Stick»
graph of
global temperature records going back hundreds of years, said that the spiral graphic was «an interesting and worthwhile approach to representing the data graphically.»
I am not sure how anyone can look
at James Hansen's
graph of
global temperature history in his 1988 presentation and say that there was a long term warming trend
at that time.
It's the latest research in more than a decade of work producing a climate «hockey stick» —
graphs of
global or regional
temperatures showing relatively little variation over a millennium or more and then a sharp uptick since the middle of the twentieth century (the blade
at the end of the stick).
One way to look
at the climate is that
global mean surface
temperatures have wandered up and down, to the left and the right, warmer and cooler, over the last thousand years, but have generally stayed a straight course, represented by the dashed line placed on the
graph by the I.P.C.C. in 1990.
When I look
at any of the
graphs of
global temperature I am struck by an impression of a very high degree of autocorrelation (indeed, tending towards I (1) behaviour)-- particularly given the inflection around the turn of the century that seems inconsistent with a deterministic trend.
When a
temperature anomaly of ~ 0.1 degrees Celsius (the difference between 2015 and the previous
global heat record of 2014 — please note the above
graph is in Fahrenheit, not Celsius) can lead to such an extreme carbon feedback response, we know we can expect a lot more feedback - induced CO2 now that world leaders are about to seal a 3.5 degrees warming deal — if
at least 2030 pledges are not raised before the start of COP21, the Paris climate summit.
Image
at right:
Graph of
global annual surface
temperatures relative to 1951 - 1980 mean
temperature.
As I look
at the
global mean
temperature trend for the 20th century, I see a cyclical pattern as shown in the following
graph.
Reader Eric Worrall writes: I was playing with Wood For Trees, looking
at the relationship between Pacific Decadal Oscillation vs
global temperature (Hadcrut 4), when the following
graph appeared.
The carbon dioxide continues to climb but the
global temperature have stopped going up and look to be trending down... now look again
at the Cloud cover %
graph (
graph 5) and you see the decline in cloud cover has stopped.
If you look
at a
graph of a trend and see a line flattening out you for a short period of time — as we have seen in the past with
global temperatures — then you know that you're looking
at the effects of noise in a trend.
The scientists» main approach was simple: to look
at solar output and cosmic ray intensity over the last 30 - 40 years, and compare those trends with the
graph for
global average surface
temperature.
It will just remain
at a higher level of
global temperature and CO2, if this
graph is representative of what is happening.
Has anyone confronted any of these prestigious «science» associations, pointing out, hopefully
at public meetings, that there are currently 1,056 studies (many produced after, and in spite of, Mann's hockey stick
graph) which clearly demonstrate both the
temperature amplitudes, durations, and
global nature of both the MWP and LIA?
But when climate scientists looked
at a
graph of the rise of
temperatures in the last 60 years, they saw — or thought they saw — a distinct drop in the rate of increase in
global average
temperatures in the last 15 years.
Climatologist Dr. Ross McKitrick, one of the authors and an Associate Professor
at the University of Guelph, believes that the United Nations agency promoting the
global temperature graph has made «false claims about the quality of its data.»
They included the following nifty
graph, with the observed surface
temperature but also the eventually expected
temperature at the corresponding CO2 concentration (which they dub the» real
global temperature»), based on different approaches to account for warming in the pipeline:
The climate is warming — and that means if you look
at a
graph of average
global temperatures, you'll see an overall upward trend over the last 130 years.
... «This is a highly speculative and slight paper that produces a statistically marginal result by cherry - picking time intervals, resulting in a
global temperature graph that is
at odds with those produced by the UK Met Office and NASA.
This
graph shows that even
at the lowest range of climate sensitivity, future
global warming will take us well beyond any
temperature experienced during civilized human history.
By looking
at the
graphs of constant
global average
temperature and saying «Look, the problem doesn't get any worse!»
I recall more than one guest lecture
at our physics department's Centre for
Global Change Studies displaying a
graph of spectral analysis of
temperature histories, with data from multiple time scale sources including thermometer records, ice core data, etc..
And since you like «eye balling
graphs» have a look
at the latest hadcrut or nasa
global temperature graph, and it should be obvious to even you the «pause» is a blip of about 6 years duration of flat
temperatures, thus easily explained by natural variability.
Setting the radius
at 250 km., and taking the first decade of Bart's
graph, 1880 - 1890, the map reveals «
global» mean
temperature perforce excluded the whole of Central America, virtually all of South America and Africa, all of Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia, and almost all of China.