For short periods, it peaked
at ice loss rates of over 3000 cubic kilometres per year.»
For short periods, it peaked
at ice loss rates of over 3000 cubic kilometres per year.»
Not exact matches
«West Greenland
Ice Sheet melting at the fastest rate in centuries: Weather patterns and summer warming trend combine to drive dramatic ice loss.&raq
Ice Sheet melting
at the fastest
rate in centuries: Weather patterns and summer warming trend combine to drive dramatic
ice loss.&raq
ice loss.»
Based on what we know, we can expect the rapid
ice loss to continue for a long time yet, especially if ocean - driven melting of the
ice shelf in front of Pine Island Glacier continues
at current
rates,»
New research suggests that as early as 2090,
rates of
ice loss at the site could exceed gains from new snowfall.
But that could soon change, Rignot said, because the
rate at which
ice sheets are losing mass is increasing three times faster than the
rate of
ice loss from mountain glaciers and
ice caps.
Since 1979, winter sea
ice extent has decreased 3.2 percent per decade (the
loss is much more pronounced in summer
at a
rate of 13.4 percent per decade).
Other researchers look
at raised beaches [32] and palaeo lakes to record previous
rates of isostatic uplift and
rates of sea level rise [33, 34]; this can help constrain previous
ice volumes and
rates of
ice loss.
And since you have missed this acceleration you have assumed that the
rate will remain
at 3.3 mm / year for the rest of this century, despite ongoing observations of increases in
ice mass
loss in Greenland and parts of Antarctica.
Now, this is why you are not thinking — let's assume that
at any particular level of regional temperature, we can expect a certain
loss rate — this is reasonable because, as you say, there is a lot of
ice in Greenland.
In outline, the model supposes that the
rate of change of
ice extent has two terms - accumulation proportional to its length, and
loss at the grounding line which is proportional to the cross-section area there, which because a constant width is assumed is proportional to the depth of the
ice.
Ice loss is accelerating
at a
rate of 26 Gigatonnes / yr2.
If both Greenland and West Antarctica shed the entirety of their
ice burden, global sea levels would rise by 12 to 14 m. Although these icecaps would not disintegrate within a century, the
loss of even a third of their mass — quite plausible if the
rate of polar
ice loss continues to double each decade — would force up the oceans by
at least 4 m, with disastrous socioeconomic and environmental consequences.
Ice mass
loss is occuring
at an accelerated
rate in Greenland, Antarctica and globally from inland glaciers.
The best fitting trend finds that Greenland
ice loss is accelerating
at a
rate of 30 Gigatonnes / yr2.
Brooke C. Medley, a postdoctoral fellow with NASA who contributed to one of the new papers on Antarctic
ice loss, said the findings demonstrate that the planet's large
ice sheets, which were once thought to be stable, are responding to global warming and other influences
at a rapid
rate.
In other words —
at the estimated current
rate of
ice loss from the Greenland
ice cap it would take 14 000 years for the
ice sheet to melt.
Polyak et al. (2010) looked
at Arctic sea
ice changes throughout geologic history and noted that the current
rate of
loss appears to be more rapid than natural variability can account for in the historical record.
Just yesterday we had an example of a scientist who projected that Himalayan glaciers were losing
ice at an an amazing
rate correcting himself and cutting his own mass
loss estimate by 30 %.
The resulting enhanced
loss of summer and winter sea
ice resulted in feedbacks, associated with Arctic Amplification, which has raised Arctic air temperatures
at a
rate twice the global average.
We are seeing an increase in the recent speed of
ice loss, when compared to the long - term
ice -
loss rate,» says lead researcher Whyjay Zheng, a doctoral student in geophysics
at Cornell University.
Sea
ice minimum levels are falling
at the
rate of 14 % a decade in the Arctic, and polar bears have been feeling the
loss.
In addition, the study showed that
ice loss rates have not only sped up
at the grounding lines, but also more than 100 miles inland, compromising the entire
ice sheet that the glacier helps hold back from the sea.
No research papers from scientists in the field have predicted
ice loss at the
rate it has been happening.
The individual responses were based on a range of methods: statistical, numerical models, comparison with previous observations and
rates of
ice loss, or composites of several approaches; details can be found in the individual outlooks available
at the bottom of this page.
The individual responses were based on a range of methods: statistical, numerical models, comparison with previous observations and
rates of
ice loss, or composites of several approaches; details can be found in the individual outlooks available
at the end of this report.
After extracting the influence of land water storage, it is shown that the GMSL have been rising
at a
rate of 4.4 ± 0.5 mm / yr for more than three years, due to an increase in the
rate of both land
ice loss and steric change.
2)
ice loss rates are debated
at least in terms of the Antarctic http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.uk/2014/08/new-paper-finds-melt-rate-of-antarctic.html
Fluctuations in the mass of the Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets are of considerable societal importance as they impact directly on global sea levels: since 1901,
ice losses from Antarctica and Greenland, alongside the melting of small glaciers and
ice caps and thermal expansion of the oceans, have caused global sea levels to rise
at an average
rate of 1.7 mm / yr.
Over the satellite era, the
rate of spring snow
loss is similar to that of late - summer Arctic sea
ice extent, with each
at an accelerated pace over the past decade.
«Much of our confidence stems from the fact that our model does well
at predicting slow changes in ocean heat transport and sea surface temperature in the sub-polar North Atlantic, and these appear to impact the
rate of sea
ice loss.
The
loss, in recent decades, of thousands of square miles of sea
ice has accelerated warming in the Arctic, where temperatures are increasing
at two to three times the
rate of the globe as a whole.
-LSB-...] from scraping over rocks, can melt
ice at the base, a factor that's forced upward revisions of the
rate of
ice loss from global warming.
Current total
ice -
loss in Greenland is running
at an estimated 200 Gte / yr and Antarctica
at 150 Gte / yr (with
ice mass gain in the east and
loss in the west — with some estimates of a net gain)--
at that
rate of 1mm / yr, by 2100 the global
ice -
loss would raise sea level by a little over 3 inches.
The
rate of
ice loss during July 2016 was slightly below average
at 83,800 square kilometers (32,400 square miles) per day.
They determined, however, that this volume had now increased by a further 3 cubic miles each year, prompted by an acceleration in the
rate at which the
ice caps and glaciers are melting.Unlike what many other scientists have said — including, most prominently, NASA's James Hansen (who believes that a rise in 17 inches by 2100 will be mainly precipitated by the melting of
ice sheets)-- the authors of this study believe that the
loss of
ice from glaciers and
ice caps will account for the majority of the expected rise in sea levels.
Using a simple elastic model, we estimate that western Greenland's
ice loss is accelerating
at an average
rate of 8.7 ± 3.5 Gt yr − 2, whereas the
rate for southeastern Greenland — based on limited data — falls
at 12.5 ± 5.5 Gt yr − 2.
In Greenland, the survey saw large
ice losses along the southeastern coast and a large increase in
ice thickness
at higher elevations in the interior due to relatively high
rates of snowfall.
-- dropping — multi year
ice will disappear in summer minimum likely within 30 years —
rate of change based on current knowledge is that
ice loss is unprecedented,
at least within the last million years.
In August, warmer conditions returned, which combined with a rather diffuse
ice cover in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas, has led to a speed - up in the
rate of
ice loss at the beginning of August, particularly in the Chukchi Sea.