Not exact matches
His injection of funds into the Canadian economy came
at exactly the right moment, and his reign as U.K. bank governor now comes when there are faint
indicators of a recovery in the British economy, with positive news on unemployment and
inflation.
In the next few weeks the Executive Committee will look
at a range of economic
indicators — including
inflation, jobs, and confidence data to be rereleased next week — before actually designing the new program.
Leading
indicators are released
at 10 a.m. Traders are also watching Chinese
inflation data overnight.
The figure below shows some of the key
indicators from the Fed's dashboard, including unemployment, the Fed's guess
at the «natural rate» (the lowest unemployment rate consistent with stable
inflation), actual
inflation (PCE core, the Fed's preferred gauge), and the Fed's
inflation target of 2 percent.
How this disinflation happened, caused a dip among
inflation indicators meaning that real wages accelerated
at 2.5 % rather than 3 % which is where we were headed with a stable energy price environment.
Given the absence of a public trading market of our common stock, and in accordance with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Accounting and Valuation Guide, Valuation of Privately - Held Company Equity Securities Issued as Compensation, our board of directors exercised reasonable judgment and considered numerous and subjective factors to determine the best estimate of fair value of our common stock, including independent third - party valuations of our common stock; the prices
at which we sold shares of our convertible preferred stock to outside investors in arms - length transactions; the rights, preferences, and privileges of our convertible preferred stock relative to those of our common stock; our operating results, financial position, and capital resources; current business conditions and projections; the lack of marketability of our common stock; the hiring of key personnel and the experience of our management; the introduction of new products; our stage of development and material risks related to our business; the fact that the option grants involve illiquid securities in a private company; the likelihood of achieving a liquidity event, such as an initial public offering or a sale of our company given the prevailing market conditions and the nature and history of our business; industry trends and competitive environment; trends in consumer spending, including consumer confidence; and overall economic
indicators, including gross domestic product, employment,
inflation and interest rates, and the general economic outlook.
T ake a few moments t his weekend to write down your estimates of where the Dow Jones Industrial Average, oil, gold,
inflation, interest rates and other key financial
indicators will be
at the end of 2017.
Earnings / Macro Pulse: But if you look
at a couple of key
indicators we track: the «nominal surprise index» (this tracks a combination of the Citi US
inflation surprise index and the economic surprise index - giving a view on how the
inflation and general economic data is turning out vs expectations), and the «earnings revisions
indicator» (this combines earnings revisions ratio and the rate of change in forward earnings).
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments
at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet
at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency
at best and excessive bullishness
at worst, as measured by various sentiment
indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent
inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
Going back to the «Halloween surprise» comparison, we observed that the U-Tokyo CPI
indicator (a «nowcast» of daily
inflation using scanner prices
at grocery stores) was greatly under - performing its «official» index component in October 2014.
All of these
indicator s show
inflation running
at substantially lower rates than a year ago.
This becomes clear by looking
at the key economic
indicators such as
inflation, unemployment, and growth during the past few years and compare them with the past 4 decades.
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Why we care: An
indicator of
inflation at the retail level.
Policy makers assume
inflation will be back
at its two - percent target by the middle of 2018, but said they will spend extra efforts studying price movements to get a better feel for why
inflation indicators are so weak.
The low levels of these two
indicators are mostly caused by technology, oil and food price deflation (
at least in the US, UK, and Europe) outweighing other
inflation.