To begin to answer these questions we really need a close look
at the paleoclimate data.
I mean, my gosh even the agreed upon value of about 0.7 C (+ / - 0.2 C) seems trivial when looking
at paleoclimate data.
A number of major studies looking
at paleoclimate data come to the same conclusion.
A number of major studies looking
at paleoclimate data come to the same conclusion.
Not exact matches
Other features of the record are also redated, such as the East African megadroughts (24), which must have terminated
at least 10 ka earlier than the previous estimate of 75 ka B.P. Clearly, existing comparisons of the Lake Malawi
paleoclimate data to other regional and global records (24, 25, 32) will need to be revised in the light of these findings.
Paleoclimate data for sea level change indicate that sea level changed
at rates of the order of a meter per century [81]--[83], even
at times when the forcings driving climate change were far weaker than the human - made forcing.
Just a quick note to say that the
paleoclimate data for earlier warm periods 125,000 years ago and even 8 - 10,000 years ago in northern Alaska (
paleoclimate warmer than now, [from] different forcings) document the northward advance of the treeline from Nome to Barrow, Alaska, and the Canadian border
at different times of change in Earth's orbital parameters (without a significant change in CO2).
«In reality climate models have been tested on multicentennial time scales against
paleoclimate data (see the most recent PMIP intercomparisons) and do reasonably well
at simulating small Holocene climate variations, and even glacial - interglacial transitions.
The most recent major paper (Sherwood) indicates quite the opposite, and absolutely none of the recent
paleoclimate data indicates this, which is a big part of the
data that we are looking
at in detail to ascertain sensitivity.
In fact some
at IPCC have argued the
paleoclimate data are irrelevant to the case for precautionary action.
On the historical scale — the
paleoclimate scale — the sun is important, we know the sun is driving these long cycles, but if you look
at the small variations in the solar radiation and the variations in the climate
data they don't match up.
At present, the Pacific shifts erratically and frequently between warm and cold phases, but
paleoclimate data indicates that, even during the Holocene, there were extended periods when it was stuck in one phase or the other.
Starting in 2005, building on a sequence of events seeking to obtain raw
data, leading ultimately to the FOIA events central to the CRU controversy, McIntyre builds an iconoclastic website which
at least implicitly supports the false propositions that climate change concerns rest primarily on
paleoclimate evidence and that
paleoclimate evidence is systematically skewed.
Anyone who would like to discuss with me the facts revealed by the Wegman report that there is a
paleoclimate mafia controlling what gets published, that they have systematically published erroneous interpretations of paleoclimatic
data, and that almost any paleoclimatic temperature profile can be obtained depending on how you manipulate the proxies, just email me
at drdrapp [
at] earthlink.net and tell me your name, address, professional affiliation, and recent work you have done climate science.
, has her group
at the Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, considered the
paleoclimate data for afforestation?
Idso's calculations for climate sensitivity are greatly
at odds with the
paleoclimate data; if sensitivity were as small as he proposes, the Milankovic changes in solar forcing wouldn't be enough to kickstart the climb out of an ice age, but this still presupposes AGW, that CO2 emissions will increase the temperature by some amount.
So as you point out, I looked
at longer
paleoclimate data and I don't always see the correlations you claim.
Edward Wegman is a statistician
at George Mason University known for producing a report disputing
paleoclimate data and models concerning the «hockey stick» temperature graph relating to climate change.