Sentences with phrase «at precise prediction»

By the time the 2004 magnitude - 6.0 Parkfield earthquake — the most closely monitored quake of all time — struck the central San Andreas fault without so much as a hint of a precursor (Science, 8 October 2004, p. 206), most researchers had abandoned attempts at precise prediction.

Not exact matches

Asserting that we do not yet have either the facts or the methods to make forecasting a precise art, Michael argues that there are three basic reasons for continuing to make or act upon them: (1) some forecasts are likely to be close to the mark, (2) poor forecasts provide a better basis for planning than no prediction at all, and (3) well - done forecasts help to illuminate the many factors that interact to produce the future.

At no time will a precise time / location prediction from ESA be possible,» agency officials said in a statement.

A joint study between scientists at the Institute for Research in Biomedicine (IRB Barcelona) and the KTH Royal Institute of Technology in Stockholm has now allowed the development of a much simpler method that permits equally precise predictions and can be done on a standard PC.

At the same time, physicists devised ever more precise tests of its predictions, and Einstein passed them all.

That prediction a year ago was always pretty silly, at least if it was meant to be precise and made with high confidence.

If there a 5 % chance the temperature will raise by 10C then I'd bet there is at least a 2.5 % chance that it will cool by 10C and a 0.5 % chance that it will cool by 20C using the same (im) precise predictions.

To point out just a couple of things: — oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside oceans, so no latent heat) or oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands» warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).

As these models through research and development, become more skilled at higher and higher resolution and gain the capability of replicating increasingly complex weather phenomena, the public, through the predictions of the National Weather Service, will be better served through more precise weather predictions for places and times where you are.

The need for precise predictions of how much power will be fed into the grid at any given moment is becoming increasingly important.

«At no time will a precise time / location prediction from ESA be possible,» explained reentry experts at the European Space AgencAt no time will a precise time / location prediction from ESA be possible,» explained reentry experts at the European Space Agencat the European Space Agency.