The problem with predicted outcomes of AV based on, for example, successive YouGov polls looking
at voters preferences is that they really only tell us about short term effects on the relative position of the big established parties.
Not exact matches
In the single - vote plurality system, both of those
voters will likely feel they have to misrepresent their
preferences at the polls.
This system is employed to elect single office - holders for a whole regional or local authority area (spanning many constituencies or wards, and sometimes called «
at large» elections) while taking account of the
preferences of as many
voters as possible.
As noticed by Satterthwaite, the original theorem immediately implies that, on the subset of configurations where all
voters have strict
preferences, the system is dictatorial (given the usual assumptions, i.e. non-manipulability and
at least 3 eligible candidates).
At least one of the candidates is feeling out potential Republican
voters, as a recent poll asked about name recognition and
preference for Massey, Faulkner, Ulrich and Catsimatidis.
Although it is not regarded as truly proportional by campaigners for electoral reform, AV is favoured by some because it maintains the constituency link, ensures elected MPs have the support of
at least 50 per cent of
voters and allows supporters of minority parties to express opinion through their first vote while giving their second
preference to a mainstream party.
It's worth taking a close look
at the crosstabs, which include information on favorability, support for President Obama and
voters»
preferences in the gubernatorial horserace — all of which will undoubtedly play a role in the general elections.
In order to gain more seats
at Westminster under AV the Lib Dems would need to have enough candidates who are the natural first
preference of enough
voters to benefit from AV.
Academics
at Essex University have analysed the 2010 general election results together with survey data on
voters» second and third
preferences, and estimated that the Lib Dems would have gained an extra 32 seats under AV.
Yet Labour are fearful of Goldsmith's ability to reach out to Lib Dem and Green
voters because of his opposition to a third runway
at Heathrow, especially after former Green mayoral candidate Baroness Jenny Jones appeared to endorse a second
preference for Goldsmith earlier this year.
Looking
at the second choice candidate of likely Republican primary
voters with a candidate
preference, Kasich, 36 %, tops the list followed by Cruz, 32 %, and Trump, 15 %.
The ERS report on party funding looks
at how to break down the stalemate by testing the latest recommendations against
voter preferences.
A new study by researchers
at Dartmouth College and The Australian National University finds that the Republican Party's advantage when it rains may be due in part to
voters changing their partisan
preference that day.
Build green enabling institutions — Green Investment Units and Banks are needed; Give tax incentives for climate bonds — very little treasury loss can be a big boost to investment; Build an economic recovery narrative — the transition to a green economy revamps our economy across every sector and addresses the climate change threat; Use Climate Bond Standards as a screening and
preferencing tool — a tool that helps investors monitor and verify the climate effectiveness of their investments; Make it easy for politicians — bond investors and business issuers have to get better
at packaging politically sellable solutions, help politicians see how they can successfully sell those plans to
voters - See more
at: http://www.climatebonds.net/#sthash.djXU6k6I.dpuf
A number of systems are available to let
voters express their
preferences by electronic means
at the polling station.
Building psychographic profiles of individual
voters based on their lifestyles and
preferences could be hugely powerful, thinks Chris Sumner, research director
at the Online Privacy Foundation.