The surface temperature basically ends up being determined by the top - of - the -
atmosphere energy budget plus the lapse rate that is basically constrained come through convection, evaporation / condensation, etc..
Then, when that potential energy descends it has to be added back to the surface energy budget as kinetic energy and then also added back to the top of
atmosphere energy budget because it radiates straight out from the ground to top of atmosphere instantly at the speed of light.
Here we show that robust across - model relationships exist between the global spatial patterns of several fundamental attributes of Earth's top - of -
atmosphere energy budget and the magnitude of projected global warming.
Patrick Brown and Ken Caldeira of the Carnegie Institution for Science say incorporating observational data of «Earth's top - of -
atmosphere energy budget» shows the «warming projection for the end of the twenty - first century for the steepest radiative forcing scenario is about 15 per cent warmer (+0.5 degrees Celsius)... relative to the raw model projections reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.»
The surface budget must close just like the top - of - atmosphere balance does at equilibrium, but the surface temperature will still be dragged along by the top of
atmosphere energy budget.
The distinction between the top of
atmosphere energy budget and the surface or troposphere energy budget is crucial, and are explicitly considered separate in many texts on global climate, such as in Dennis Hartmann's «Global Physical Climatology» or in Ray Pierrehumbert's upcoming text.
In equilibrium, both the top of atmosphere and bottom of
atmosphere energy budget must be satisfied of course, but there's no non-radiative heat flux to space.
LW is the fluctuation in the longwave (infrared) component of the top - of -
atmosphere energy budget.
This is the amount by which the forcing mechanism would change the top - of -
atmosphere energy budget, if the temperature were not allowed to change so as to restore equilibrium.
Not exact matches
Using global climate models and NASA satellite observations of Earth's
energy budget from the last 15 years, the study finds that a warming Earth is able to restore its temperature equilibrium through complex and seemingly paradoxical changes in the
atmosphere and the way radiative heat is transported.
However, radiation changes at the top of the
atmosphere from the 1980s to 1990s, possibly related in part to the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, appear to be associated with reductions in tropical upper - level cloud cover, and are linked to changes in the
energy budget at the surface and changes in observed ocean heat content.
Similarly, many studies that attempt to examine the co-variability between Earth's
energy budget and temperature (such as in many of the pieces here at RC concerning the Spencer and Lindzen literature) are only as good as the assumptions made about base state of the
atmosphere relative to which changes are measured, the «forcing» that is supposedly driving the changes (which are often just things like ENSO, and are irrelevant to radiative - induced changes that will be important for the future), and are limited by short and discontinuous data records.
Surface radiative
energy budget plays an important role in the Arctic, which is covered by snow and ice: when the balance is positive, more solar radiation from the Sun and the Earth's
atmosphere arrives on the Earth's surface than is emitted from it.
This figure schematically represents the mean annual
energy budget of the Arctic Ocean and
atmosphere.
There is a whole science to uppermost
atmosphere physics, where a lot of stuff typically breaks down (like the ideal gas law and Local Thermodynamic Equilibrium which climatologists take for granted) but it's almost a different field all together with little, if any, influence on surface temperature and
energy budget discussions.
Lacis points out that only outgoing radiation can balance the global
energy budget of the Earth; as clearly the convection and conduction ends at the boundary of the
atmosphere.
On average, the
energy «
budget» is balanced both at the top and at the bottom of the
atmosphere.
The
energy budget is altered when the
atmosphere's composition is changed - by, for example, mankind's emissions of greenhouse gases.
Syllabus: Lecture 1: Introduction to Global Atmospheric Modelling Lecture 2: Types of Atmospheric and Climate Models Lecture 3:
Energy Balance Models Lecture 4: 1D Radiative - Convective Models Lecture 5: General Circulation Models (GCMs) Lecture 6: Atmospheric Radiation
Budget Lecture 7: Dynamics of the
Atmosphere Lecture 8: Parametrizations of Subgrid - Scale Physical Processes Lecture 9: Chemistry of the
Atmosphere Lecture 10: Basic Methods of Solving Model Equations Lecture 11: Coupled Chemistry - Climate Models (CCMs) Lecture 12: Applications of CCMs: Recent developments of atmospheric dynamics and chemistry Lecture 13: Applications of CCMs: Future Polar Ozone Lecture 14: Applications of CCMs: Impact of Transport Emissions Lecture 15: Towards an Earth System Model
By becoming warmer, the earth's surface and the lower
atmosphere shed more
energy to space, acting to balance the
energy budget.
2) Soil moisture: memory in soil moisture can last several weeks which can influence the
atmosphere through changes in evaporation and surface
energy budget and can affect the forecast of air temperature and precipitation in certain areas during certain times of the year on intraseasonal time scales;
This resource is part of the poster, Earth's
Energy Budget, which describes the role of incoming solar radiation and the gases in the
atmosphere and clouds in maintaining the Earth's temperature.
It cools the
atmosphere by absorbing some heat — heat flows from warmer to cooler — and by increased cloud cover that changes the
energy budget of the planet.
Terrestrial, solar radiation propagation in the
atmosphere; radiative components in
energy budgets, weather systems, climate studies; remote sensing
But on larger scales (both in space and time) the earth is a planet of our local star; the sun is our only source of (purely radiative)
energy; we have an
atmosphere which clearly operates to reduce diurnal variations in temperature (which on black body basis would otherwise be huge, on human scale) and the radiative
budget must always be exactly in balance.
«Heat escaping from the ocean through polynyas impacts the large - scale
energy budget of the ocean and
atmosphere, cloud patterns, and even rainfall...»
The
energy budget — the amount of
energy that enters and exits the Earth's
atmosphere each day — is a clear calculation of our effect on the Earth's climate.
The minus - 18 °C figure quoted by AGWScienceFiction fisics in its fake Greenhouse Effect
energy budget, has been stolen from real physics where it refers to the Earth without any
atmosphere at all, and that is predominantly nitrogen and oxygen.
For example, Brown and Caldeira (2017) use fluctuations in Earth's top - of - the -
atmosphere (TOA)
energy budget and their correlation with the response of climate models to increases in GHG concentrations to infer that ECS lies between 3 and 4.2 K with 50 % probability, and most likely is 3.7 K. Assuming t statistics, this roughly corresponds to an ECS range that in IPCC parlance is considered likely (66 % probability) between 2.8 and 4.5 K. By contrast, Cox et al. (2018) use fluctuations of the global - mean temperature and their correlation with the response of climate models to increases in GHG concentrations to infer that ECS likely lies between 2.2 and 3.4 K, and most likely is 2.8 K.
Instead, the authors use the
energy budget of the entire
atmosphere itself.
The approach of this paper is different than many previous papers that focus on the
energy budget at the surface or the top of the
atmosphere (TOA).
Sensible heat flux - The flux of heat from the Earth's surface to the
atmosphere that is not associated with phase changes of water; a component of the surface
energy budget.
Earth's
energy budget is a complex calculation of how much
energy enters our climate system from the sun and what happens to it: how much is stored by the land, ocean or
atmosphere.
Only 70 % of the incident sunlight enters the Earth's
energy budget — the rest immediately bounces off of clouds and
atmosphere and land without being absorbed.
Average values of the different terms in the
energy budgets of the
atmosphere and surface are given in the diagram.
Introduction Key diagrams on the Earth's
energy budget depicts an exchange of
energy between the surface and the
atmosphere and their subsystems considering each system as if they were blackbodies with emissivities and absorptivities of 100 % 1, 2.
We present new evidence from a compilation of over two decades of accurate satellite data that the top - of -
atmosphere (TOA) tropical radiative
energy budget is much more dynamic and variable than previously thought.
He was right that surface temperature is determined by the balance between incoming solar
energy and outgoing infrared radiation, and that the balance that matters is the radiation
budget at the top of the
atmosphere.
If Mr. Rose really wants to improve his reporting and do a general service of advancing a true understanding of the issue of anthropogenic climate change, he needs to do a comprehensive article about Earth's
energy budget, and state quite clearly all the different spheres (all layers of the
atmosphere, hyrdosphere, crysosphere, and biosphere) in which the signal of anthropogenic warming is both modeled as impacting and then talk about what is data is actually saying in terms of Earth's
energy imbalance in all these spheres.
I'm arguing against the AGW Greenhouse Effect
Energy Budget which says that thermal infrared direct from the Sun doesn't even get into the
atmosphere..
Critcisms of the
energy budget model approach are that it is sensitive to uncertainties in observations and doesn't account for slow feedbacks between the
atmosphere, deep oceans and ice sheets.
It is very important to realize that the
atmosphere does not have to get warm, you just have to add CO2, to affect ocean temperatures via its
energy budget.
«The top - of -
atmosphere (TOA) Earth radiation
budget (ERB) is determined from the difference between how much
energy is absorbed and emitted by the planet.
For a much more complete Earth
energy budget — data on ocean heat, solar radiance and
energy radiated at the top of the
atmosphere is required.
And then get them to not only bring back into their fictional
energy budget, KT97 and ilk, the Water Cycle, but to bring back the thermal infrared heat on the move from the Sun as the real world direct heat source for land and oceans, and, to give back to shortwave which they claim does this in place of thermal
energy direct from the Sun, its real properties and properties, its chemical
energy cycle, that store which slow releases heat back into the greenhouse
atmosphere by recycling Life.
doesn't alter the fact that none of you fixated on radiation in your empty space ideal gas
atmosphere without any sound has absolutely anything relevant to say about the
energy budget in the real world.
What they do show is that without cloud cover the Earth cools more rapidly, hey, why isn't all the carbon dioxide accumulating in the
atmosphere backradiating not only to delay that, but backradiating heat to the Earth as Spencer defends the fictional AGW
energy budget?
Because of AGW is been changed to «shortwave only in» in order to claim that any real world measurements of downwelling longwave infrared are from «backradiation from greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere», because there is no other source in the AGW Greenhouse Effect
energy budget.
I had earlier posted on refraction and reflection / scattering, what these mean, visible light gets reflected / scattered by being absorbed by the electrons of the molecules of nitrogen and oxygen in our real world
atmosphere [it is therefore not «transparent» to visible as claimed in the TGE AGW
energy budget..]
Individual drivers of climate change initially alter the
energy budget of the
atmosphere leading to distinct rapid adjustments involving changes in precipitation.