I accept that the CO2 molecules in
the atmosphere have a warming effect — I don't know who doesn't — and it's evident that human beings have had an impact on the climate.
Not exact matches
Neutral shades
have a
warm, grounding
effect, and can be great for creating a cozy
atmosphere.
Atmospheric dust may
have a powerful
effect on climate, absorbing sunlight and
warming the
atmosphere at some altitudes while shading and cooling underlying layers of air.
Pollutants that form minute droplets in the
atmosphere have horrendously complex
effects — so it's far from certain what they mean for global
warming
An active hydrological cycle
would have required a
warmer climate in the planet's early history and therefore a thicker
atmosphere, one capable of creating a strong greenhouse
effect.
As a result, more of human emissions
would remain in the
atmosphere, increasing the greenhouse
effect that contributes to global
warming and alters Earth's climate.
Geoengineering — the intentional manipulation of the climate to counter the
effect of global
warming by injecting aerosols artificially into the
atmosphere —
has been mooted as a potential way to deal with climate change.
It may seem surprising to people, but you can look at something like Mars, which
has a very thin
atmosphere, and you can look at something like Venus which we tend to think of as sort of
having this rather heavy, clouded
atmosphere, which [is] hellishly
warm because of runaway greenhouse
effect, and on both of those planets you are seeing this phenomenon of the
atmosphere leaking away, is actually what directly
has led to those very different outcomes for those planets; the specifics of what happened as the
atmosphere started to go in each case [made] all the difference.
That's greater than the
warming rate of either the ocean or the
atmosphere, and it can
have profound
effects, the scientists say.
To keep Mars
warm requires a dense
atmosphere with a sufficient greenhouse
effect, while the present - day Mars
has a thin
atmosphere whose surface pressure is only 0.006 bar, resulting in the cold climate it
has today.
It's not clear how much of a greenhouse
effect that
would produce, but it's a good bet that Earth
would be a lot
warmer — much as it
would be, say, if there were no plants drawing carbon dioxide out of the
atmosphere.
Limited growth in a drier climate
has restricted the amount of carbon that new trees can lock away from the
atmosphere, reducing their ability to counteract the
effects of global
warming.
The the people in the best position to reconize the
effects of human behavior on the
atmosphere have said over and over that global
warming is bullshit.
The nitrogen fertilizers traditionally used in agriculture
have polluting
effects both in water and in the
atmosphere, this can degrade soils and contribute to global
warming.
El Niño — a
warming of tropical Pacific Ocean waters that changes weather patterns across the globe — causes forests to dry out as rainfall patterns shift, and the occasional unusually strong «super» El Niños, like the current one,
have a bigger
effect on CO2 levels in the
atmosphere.
There are also numerous «fingerprints» which we
would expect to see from an increased greenhouse
effect (i.e. more
warming at night, at higher latitudes, upper
atmosphere cooling) that we
have indeed observed (Figure 6).
Scientists
have modelled the expected temperature drop over the 21st century due to waning solar activity — and they found that the change is likely to be dwarfed by the much bigger
warming effect of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere.
Thus far, Kepler
has found 48 planetary candidates in their host star's habitable zone (of which 10 are near Earth - size), but this number is a decrease from the 54 reported in February 2011 only because the Kepler team is now applying a stricter definition of what constitutes a habitable zone around stars to account for the
warming effect of planetary
atmospheres, which
would move such a zone away from the star, outwards in orbital distance resulting in longer orbital periods (NASA news release; and Kepler Press Conference slides — in pdf).
Re the cost of flying, there are lots of assumptions around because of different ways of using or ignoring a 1999 report on aviation's role in global
warming [Aviation and the Global
Atmosphere] for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — the
effects of flying are much worse than
would be predicted by just burning the oil.
According to Sir Nicholas, «Scientists
have been refining their assessment of the probable degree of
warming for a given level of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere», and «ranges from 2004 estimates are substantially above those from 2001 — science is telling us that the
warming effect is greater than we
had previously thought.»
Very clear and easy to understand but I
have a question concerning the
effect of an
atmosphere that
warms with height on a hypothetical planet.
The drought - induced decline of carbon - dense tropical forests and their replacement by lower - carbon savannas
would release enormous amounts of CO2 to the
atmosphere, amplifying global
warming far beyond the
effects of just the CO2 released by burning fossil fuels.
Warming of the oceans leads to increased vertical stratification (decreased mixing between the different levels in the oceans), which
would reduce CO2 uptake, in
effect, reducing the oceanic volume available to CO2 absorption from the
atmosphere.
This is a peer reviewed paper by respected scientists who are saying that aerosol forcing means that the majority of the
warming caused by existing co2 emission
has effectively been masked thus far, and that as aerosols remain in the
atmosphere for far shorter a duration of time than co2, we will
have already most likely crossed the 2 degree threshold that the G8 politicians
have been discussing this week once the cooling
effect of aerosols dissipate.
As detailed in section
V of this notice, it is widely recognized that greenhouse gases (GHGs)
have a climatic
warming effect by trapping heat in the
atmosphere that
would otherwise escape to space.
This
would actually not be true at sufficiently high latitudes in the winter hemisphere, except that some circulation in the upper
atmosphere is driven by kinetic energy generated within the troposphere (small amount of energy involved) which, so far as I know, doesn't result in much of a global time average non-radiative energy flux above the tropopause, but it does
have important regional
effects, and the result is that the top of the stratosphere is
warmer than the tropopause at all latitudes in all seasons so far as I know.
As more optical thickness is added to a «new» band, it will gain greater control over the temperature profile, but eventually, the equilibrium for that band will shift towards a cold enough upper
atmosphere and
warm enough lower
atmosphere and surface, such that farther increases will cool the upper
atmosphere or just that portion near TOA while
warming the lower
atmosphere and surface — until the optical thickness is so large (relative to other bands) that the band loses influence (except at TOA) and
has little farther
effect (except at TOA).
I'm not a cloud expert, and I may be describing this particular uncertainty inaccurately, but I use this as one example, and (unless this aspect of the science
has changed in recent months) I believe that one aspect of uncertainty
has to do with these clouds and their ultimate net
effect as the
atmosphere warms.
I'm pretty sure you can get the grey version of that into a strat - cooling / trop -
warming situation if you pick the strat absorbers right, but Andy is certainly right that non-grey
effects play a crucial role in explaining quantitatively what is going on in the real
atmosphere (that's connected with the non-grey explanation for the anomalously cold tropopause which I
have in Chapter 4, and also with the reason that aerosols do not produce stratospheric cooling, and everything depends a lot on what level you are looking at).
``... point out that cooling trends are exactly as predicted by increasing greenhouse gas trends,... It is interesting to note that significant solar forcing
would have exactly the opposite
effect (it
would cause
warming)» (of the upper
atmosphere)
Until now, power plants
have been allowed to dump unlimited amounts of carbon pollution into the
atmosphere — no rules were in
effect that limited their emissions of carbon dioxide, the primary driver of global
warming.
It's also possible the upper region of
atmosphere has larger
effect from this
warming.
Multiple people
have pointed out to him that the mere fact that Venus is
warmer than Mercury despite being farther from the sun, and that Earth is
warmer than the moon, despite being the same distance from the sun, show conclusively that
atmospheres do in fact result in
warmer surface temperatures via the greenhouse
effect.
The basics are: there is a GE
effect; CO2 is a GHG; adding a GHG to the
atmosphere MUST
have a
warming effect; the Earth is
warming (despite your post).
The fact that we sit at +15 C and not -15 C is definitive proof that water vapor is not removed from the
atmosphere fast enough to not
have an appreciable global
warming / climate change
effect.
Doesn't that mean, if CO2 is logrithmic in
effect, that we should
have already seen roughly 60 % of that
warming by now (meaning we should be 1.14 C
warmer now than when the
atmosphere contained 280ppm?
Warming activists have tried to deal with this problem for their theory by asserting that over time a warmer atmosphere will have a warming effect on the
Warming activists
have tried to deal with this problem for their theory by asserting that over time a
warmer atmosphere will
have a
warming effect on the
warming effect on the oceans.
Black carbon pollution, from diesel engines, heavy industry and other sources,
has a double
warming effect, first in the
atmosphere and then again when it settles, darkening white ice and accelerating melting, to disastrous
effect.
@Kenneth: These planets obviously
have internal energy sources if they are
warmer than expected from the greenhouse
effect than the composition of their (detectable)
atmospheres.
To me all the witnesses and senators are obviously persons of consequence but I don't think your excerpt shows that anyone should think he takes issue with this statement — «No one questions that surface temperatures
have increased overall since 1880, or that humans are adding carbon dioxide to the
atmosphere, or that carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases
have a
warming effect on the planet.»
The history of climate change goes back much further: in the 19th century, physicists theorised about the role of greenhouse gases, chiefly carbon dioxide, in the
atmosphere, and several suggested that the
warming effect would increase alongside the levels of these gases in the
atmosphere.
As Indur Goklany
has shown, even assuming that the climate models on which the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) accurately predict (rather than exaggerate by 2 to 3 times) the
warming effect of added CO2 in the
atmosphere, people the world over, and especially in developing countries, will be wealthier in
warmer than in cooler scenarios, making them less vulnerable than today to all risks — including those related to climate.
That said, it is possible that the changes in the stratosphere are linked to the
effects humans are
having on the
atmosphere at large, and that the drying may persist in providing a brake on
warming.
Andrew Dessler, a professor of atmospheric science at Texas A&M University, estimates that the U.S.
has as many as 2,000 scientists who study global
warming and its
effects on the
atmosphere, oceans, ecology, and other scientific fields.
The modeling and experimentation suggests that pumping CO2 into the
atmosphere will
have a
warming effect, though how CO2 interacts with the various climate regulatory and feedback processes is extremely complicated and there's a great deal of work to do.
Third, whatever the cause of the Hale cycle as a component of HadCRUT3, it's obviously been there for as long as the Sun
has had a rotating magnetic field (which accounts for both the Ney
effect and the Birkeland current), so why
would it contribute to global
warming right when humans suddenly pump an incredible amount of CO2 into the
atmosphere?
Of course feedbacks can
have offsetting
effects — but if you accept the radiative physics of AGW, then you believe that adding CO2 to the
atmosphere causes global
warming.
With 2.2 trillion tons of CO2 already in the
atmosphere (causing the severe earth -
warming CO2 greenhouse
effect), even if we stopped CO2 production completely, it
would, still, take about 20 + years to bring atmospheric CO2 concentration into a normal range.
There are also numerous «fingerprints» which we
would expect to see from an increased greenhouse
effect (i.e. more
warming at night, at higher latitudes, upper
atmosphere cooling) that we
have indeed observed (Figure 6).
«With increased methane into the
atmosphere, the climate gets
warmer faster, and early on it
has a more intense
effect on the whole climate.»