Climate change — driven largely by rising
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations from the burning of coal, oil and gas — is increasing temperatures and cranking up the intensity of extreme weather events globally and in Australia.
«It will be no surprise to learn the central point of their essay, ironically titled «Dangerous Assumptions» is «Enormous advances in energy technology will be needed to stabilize
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations at acceptable levels,» which is otherwise known as the technology trap or the standard «Technology, technology, blah, blah, blah» delayer message developed by Frank Luntz and perfected by Bush / Lomborg / Gingrich.»
Receding Himalayan glaciers Almost six years ago, I was the editor of a single - topic issue on energy for Scientific American that included an article by Princeton University's Robert Socolow that set out a well - reasoned plan for how to
keep atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations below a planet - livable threshold of 560 ppm.
Among illustrative irreversible impacts that should be expected
if atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations increase from current levels near 385 parts per million by volume (ppmv) to a peak of 450 — 600 ppmv over the coming century are irreversible dry - season rainfall reductions in several regions comparable to those of the «dust bowl» era and inexorable sea level rise.
This would then lead to large, unpredictable changes in ocean ecosystem structure and productivity, on top of other large unpredictable changes to be expected from ocean acidification, the other great oceanic consequence of
high atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations from fossil fuel burning.
If we
pin atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration to right about 300 to 320 ppm, we are looking at 20 - 30 thousand years of stable climate, with huge fresh water reserves, and we are only about half way into a global mass extinction.
Most importantly, the observations have confirmed that human activities, in particular a 40 % increase in
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations since the late 19th century, have had a discernible and significant impact on the climate system already.
My work is also directed toward determining why plants exposed to elevated carbon dioxide concentrations often have only a temporary increase in growth rate, and toward determining what plant characteristics might be most beneficial to the productivity and to the nutritional value of crops if
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations continue to rise.
However, this has to a large extent not led to immediate action to address the severity of the imminent crisis of rising global temperatures and associated problems due to the increase in
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations due to human activity.
Next, in order to convert his emissions forecast into a forecast for warming, he cites an exhibit (Table TS.5, page 66) in an IPCC technical summary that
relates atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration to equilibrium temperature change versus pre-industrial temperature, without mentioning the crucial fact that this is an equilibrium projection.
The failure of bristlecone tree ring widths, which were used by Mann et al. as temperature proxies, to reflect the increase in the instrumental temperature record in the period since 1980
when atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration rose more rapidly than at any time since the start of the industrial revolution is, therefore, remarkable.