Nor are the commitments that have been made even remotely consistent with stabilizing
atmospheric concentrations at anywhere close to 2 degrees Celsius, much less 1.5.
As we have seen above, to stabilize
atmospheric concentrations at levels that will avoid dangerous climate change the entire world will need to peak its emissions in the next few years followed by emissions reductions at hard to imagine rates over the next 30 years.
and, (d) Whether those causing climate change have obligations to act now because if the world waits to act until all uncertainties are resolved it will likely be too late to prevent catastrophic impacts to others and to stabilize greenhouse gas
atmospheric concentrations at safe levels?
Stabilizing
atmospheric concentrations at levels that will avoid dangerous climate change requires immediate action.
Given the growing urgency of the need to rapidly reduce global greenhouse gas emissions and the hard - to - imagine magnitude of global emissions reductions needed to stabilize
atmospheric concentrations at reasonably safe levels, the failure of many engaged in climate change controversies to see the practical significance of understanding climate change as an ethical problem must be seen as a huge human tragedy.
No national policy on climate change is ethically acceptable unless it, in combination with fair levels of greenhouse gas emissions from other countries, leads to stabilizing greenhouse gas
atmospheric concentrations at levels that prevent harm to those around the world who are most vulnerable to climate change.
This is true because most mainstream scientists have concluded that the world must reduce total global emissions by at the very least 60 to 80 percent below existing levels to stabilize GHG
atmospheric concentrations at minimally safe atmospheric GHG concentrations and the United States is a huge emitter both in historical terms and in comparison to current emissions levels of other high emitting nations.
The stars and labels indicate
atmospheric concentrations at year 2000.
This would be helpful in calculating
the atmospheric concentration at which CO2 would cease to increase if emissions were naturally (or forcibly) capped at X % higher levels than today.
Some analysts calculate that to keep carbon emissions at today's rate (ie to keep the rate of increase in
atmospheric concentration at today's rate) will cost one to two percent of GNP.
Not exact matches
At the present time, the
concentration is about 390 ppm, 0.039 percent of all
atmospheric molecules and less than 1 percent of that in our breath.
At a Feb. 7 hearing of Juliana, et al v. United States of America, et al — a case a group of kids, young adults and environmentalists brought in 2015 against the U.S. government — Frank Volpe said he didn't know whether carbon dioxide levels had reached 400 parts per million, a measurement of
atmospheric concentration.
«While
concentrations measured in Antarctic ice cores are very low, the records show that
atmospheric concentrations and deposition rates increased approximately six-fold in the late 1880s, coincident with the start of mining
at Broken Hill in southern Australia and smelting
at nearby Port Pirie.»
Even though the information of the exact species present in the monitored area and pollen release patterns of the individual species are far from complete, Peel and his colleagues conclude that the best way to explain the three
concentration patterns is to look
at the succession of different grass species with different diurnal flowering patterns which dominate the
atmospheric pollen loads as the season progresses.
In 1958, Scripps Institution climatologist Charles Keeling began making precise measurements of
atmospheric carbon dioxide
concentrations at Mauna Loa Observatory.
Moreover, these measurements were made
at concentrations of sulfuric acid and dimethylamine corresponding to
atmospheric levels (less than 1 molecule of sulfuric acid per 1 x 1013 molecules of air).
James McCarthy, professor of biological oceanography
at Harvard, says this summer's record heat and dryness could have occurred with lower
atmospheric carbon dioxide
concentrations — but it would have been highly unlikely.
«Which of those is correct
at this stage is unknown, but the droughts being driven by
atmospheric greenhouse gas
concentrations is in line with some of these global circulation models,» Lewis said.
To get a global look
at methane
concentrations before, during, and after the plateau, the team amassed
atmospheric methane
concentration data from measuring stations from Canada to China to Australia, spanning a period from 1984 through 2015.
Since 1956, when the monitoring of
atmospheric CO2
concentrations began
at Mauna Loa Observatory (MLO), many more stations have been added to measure the amount of carbon in the atmosphere and how it varies seasonally and geographically.
«We then combined and analyzed the data for each intersection to create high - resolution maps of pollutant
concentrations along the blocks,» said Choi, an assistant professor of environmental
atmospheric sciences
at South Korea's Pusan National University.
A proposal we had co-authored with Chet Spicer (Battelle, Columbus, Ohio) to directly measure gaseous halogen
concentrations by using
atmospheric pressure chemical ionization (APCI) mass spectrometry in the early arctic spring was gratuitously funded
at the eleventh hour, and Finlayson - Pitts asked me to participate in the field work despite the fact that I had no previous experience in field research.
The inset map is a computer model of Asian mercury emissions across the Pacific Ocean
at an altitude of 20,000 feet in April 2004, while
atmospheric chemist Dan Jaffe was picking up significant mercury readings on Mount Bachelor (the highest
concentrations are in red).
Already,
atmospheric concentrations of just CO2 have reached 400 ppm
at times and all greenhouse gases put together are now
at 430 ppm.
To verify emissions from the San Juan and Four Corners coal - fired power plants, the Los Alamos team deployed ground - based solar spectrometers and point sensors to measure
atmospheric concentrations of gases
at a site close to these power plants.
The
atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, a critical greenhouse gas, is higher than it has been for
at least 650,000 years.
On May 9, instruments atop Hawaii's Mauna Loa volcano pegged the
atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2)-- the gas that contributes most to global warming —
at slightly above 400 parts per million (ppm).
Even if Lackner was able to deploy his millions of artificial trees employing this resin, it would take decades
at least to restore pre-industrial
atmospheric concentrations of CO2.
At the end of these glaciations, considerable rise in marine arsenic
concentrations concurred with rapid demise of
atmospheric oxygen.
At the same time, even if California meets its ambitious target, it may not make a huge dent in the
atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases causing climate change.
Patrick Crill, an American biogeochemist
at Stockholm University, says ice core data from the past 800,000 years, covering about eight glacial and interglacial cycles, show
atmospheric methane
concentrations between 350 and 800 parts per billion in glacial and interglacial periods, respectively.
«Changes in ocean conditions that affect fish stocks, such as temperature and oxygen
concentration, are strongly related to
atmospheric warming and carbon emissions,» said author Thomas Frölicher, principal investigator
at the Nippon Foundation - Nereus Program and senior scientist
at ETH Zürich.
Cutting - edge techniques enabled the researchers to detect the presence of gases even
at part - per - trillion levels, one million times less concentrated than
atmospheric CO2
concentrations.
Just last month, the World Meteorological Organization reported that
atmospheric CO2
concentrations are still rising
at an unprecedented pace, despite the plateau in emissions over the last few years (Climatewire, Oct. 31).
But this also means that targets such as stabilizing
atmospheric concentrations of CO2
at 450 parts per million (nearly double preindustrial levels) to avoid more than a 3.6 degree F (2 degree C) temperature rise are nearly impossible as well.
«Global climate change involves not just a warming planet, but also increased
atmospheric CO2
concentrations and changes in rainfall,» said lead author Lauren Smith - Ramesh, a postdoctoral fellow
at NIMBioS.
«In the sense of reducing
atmospheric CO2
concentrations, it is actually a good thing that these old trees are kicking into life again,» says Jinbao Li of the Tree Ring Lab
at Columbia University in Palisades, New York.
While ECS is the equilibrium global mean temperature change that eventually results from
atmospheric CO2 doubling, the smaller TCR refers to the global mean temperature change that is realised
at the time of CO2 doubling under an idealised scenario in which CO2
concentrations increase by 1 % yr — 1 (Cubasch et al., 2001; see also Section 8.6.2.1).
Previous recipients of the prize include the godfather of climate modelling, Syukuro Manabe, from the US National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Norway's former Prime Minister Gro Harlem Brundtland, and Charles Keeling from the University of California
at San Diego who gave his name to the famous Keeling curve of
atmospheric CO2
concentration measurements.
In one sentence: Scientists
at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory determined that high
concentrations of nitrogen oxides influence the creation of the brown haze that hangs over the world's megacities, providing new insights that can create higher accuracy climate and
atmospheric models.
If we manage to stabilize CO2 levels
at 450 ppmv (the
atmospheric CO2
concentration as of 2010 is about 390 ppmv), according to the best estimate, we have a probability of less than 50 % of meeting the 2 °C target.
It was
at that time that
atmospheric greenhouse gas
concentrations stopped following the periodic pattern of the Milankovitch cycles.
For example, changes in Earth's
atmospheric composition (especially the
concentrations of greenhouse gases) may alter the climate, while climate change itself can change the
atmospheric composition (for example by changing the rate
at which weathering removes CO2).
Current
atmospheric CO2
concentrations are probably the highest that Earth has experienced over
at least the past three - million years.
One recent study examining the Palaeocene — Eocene Thermal Maximum (about 55 million years ago), during which the planet warmed 5 - 9 °C, found that «
At accepted values for the climate sensitivity to a doubling of the
atmospheric CO2
concentration, this rise in CO2 can explain only between 1 and 3.5 °C of the warming inferred from proxy records» (Zeebe 2009).
If we pin
atmospheric carbon dioxide
concentration to right about 300 to 320 ppm, we are looking
at 20 - 30 thousand years of stable climate, with huge fresh water reserves, and we are only about half way into a global mass extinction.
For the first time, the
atmospheric CO2
concentration at Mauna Loa stayed above the symbolic milestone of 400ppm for the full year in 2016, including September's seasonal low.
A new NASA study provides space - based evidence that Earth's tropical regions were the cause of the largest annual increases in
atmospheric carbon dioxide
concentration seen in
at least 2,000 years.
The Pallas research infrastructure has been extensively instrumented for modern and versatile monitoring of the environment since the start of continuous monitoring of
atmospheric sulphur dioxide (SO2) and ozone (O3)
concentrations at Sammaltunturi in September 1991, and with the setup of the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) station in 1994.
As the word «accumulated» implies,
atmospheric CO2
concentration at any point in time is the result of * past emissions *, and since we don't have a time machine or a magic wand to change the past, people in the real world have to deal with * future emissions *.