The cooling impact of this AMOC forced surface heat flux perturbation difference is enhanced by shortwave feedback and diminished by longwave feedback and
atmospheric heat transport differences.
Is
it atmospheric heat transport?
The Arctic responds strongly through teleconnections controlling the rates of poleward oceanic and
atmospheric heat transport.
While there is some influence of differences in forcing patterns among the scenarios, and of effects of oceanic uptake and heat transport in modifying the patterns over time, there is also support for the role of
atmospheric heat transport in offsetting such influences (e.g., Boer and Yu, 2003b; Watterson and Dix, 2005).
Zhang and Delworth and Zhang et al. showed by using models that, as the northward surface heat transport by the AMOC is increased, the global
atmospheric heat transport decreases in compensation (and vice versa), providing a multidecadal component to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).
Even though radiation from the troposphere is much slower, the heat is much more widely distributed; a lot of it is moved over what would have been much cooler ground — it isn't just low level
atmospheric heat transport that matters.
They openly acknowledge the importance of the GHG - GHE in establishing the disequilibrium conditions that lead to a lapse rate and
atmospheric heat transport in the first place, but then analyze that motion to argue that the overall feedbacks of this process are negative, not positive, something that actually explains the remarkable stability of our atmosphere in the face of internal variability that (in a chaotic system) could easily drive it to catastrophe.
We analyze spatial patterns of precipitation globally associated with forest loss by calculating shifts in the global tropical precipitation band, the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), associated with changes in cross-equatorial
atmospheric heat transport using equation 2.21 from [33].
Magnusdottir, G., and R. Saravanan, 1999: The response of
atmospheric heat transport to zonally - averaged SST trends.
A strengthening ACC created a barrier inhibiting intrusions of warm tropical waters and minimizing both oceanic and
atmospheric heat transport resulting in the Refrigerator Effect.
At the very least he needs to provide a pointer to «the calculations of the sensitivity of the mean climate to a doubling of CO2 concentration» that he has found are ignoring changes in non-radiative
atmospheric heat transport.
For instance, there is no evidence that, with the current configuration,
atmospheric heat transports have vastly different modes of behaviour — and so they are unlikely to suddenly flip into a new state.
If
atmospheric heat transported from lower latitudes was the major driver, more warming would be expected at greater heights.
Not exact matches
The complex interactions of
atmospheric turbulence and
heat transport affect global climate.
Using 19 climate models, a team of researchers led by Professor Minghua Zhang of the School of Marine and
Atmospheric Sciences at Stony Brook University, discovered persistent dry and warm biases of simulated climate over the region of the Southern Great Plain in the central U.S. that was caused by poor modeling of
atmospheric convective systems — the vertical
transport of
heat and moisture in the atmosphere.
The temperature gradient creates
atmospheric circulation, which
transports heat from areas of equatorial excess to the cold polar regions.
For example, in Earth
atmospheric circulation (such as Hadley cells)
transport heat between the warmer equatorial regions to the cool polar regions and this circulation pattern not only determines the temperature distribution, but also sets which regions on Earth are dry or rainy and how clouds form over the planet.
A continual cycle of
heat and moisture is pulled from the tropical ocean and
transported around the globe on belts of
atmospheric energy.
Direct
atmospheric circulation
heat transport.
It is still popular nomenclature in physical oceanography and
atmospheric dynamics to refer to the bodily
transport of energy by a fluid as «
heat transport.»
Assuming all other things are equal then I would expect that a shutdown in the THC would lead to more
heat transport by the
atmospheric circulation as the temperature gradient would be greater.
And no, there is no huge plunge in tropical or global surface air temperatures when the ocean circulation spins up because there is a near - compensating decrease in poleward
heat transport via the
atmospheric circulation.
RE # 11 The role of hurricanes in the poleward
heat transport immediately leads to the question, how is the poleward
heat transport divided between
atmospheric and oceanic routes?
I hadn't heard about the
heat transport via the atmosphere, but it didn't surprise me — that is what the jet streams are all about — a wind caused by an
atmospheric temperature differential, given a little bit of a spin.
As the ocean circulation takes up the role of
transporting heat poleward the
atmospheric circulation spins down.
For example, see The partitioning between
atmospheric and oceanic
heat transport is not trivial.
Redistribution of
heat (such as vertical
transport between the surface and the deeper ocean) could cause some surface and
atmospheric temperature change that causes some global average warming or cooling.
It seems that predictions are for less oceanic
heat transport and more
atmospheric (latent / moist)
heat transport.
Heat transfer shifts from a ocean
transport to
atmospheric transport.
Its findings suggest that changing storm patterns and the ensuing droughts are due to a southern shift in the Hadley cell, the large - scale pattern of
atmospheric circulation that
transports heat from the tropics to the subtropics.
An
atmospheric general circulation model coupled to a simple mixed layer ocean was forced with altered implied ocean
heat transports during a period of increasing trace gases.
That one was little - noticed by the world's media, but now its findings may receive more attention, as an independent study by NCAR, published yesterday in Nature Climate Change, has investigated the same subject and reaches a confirming conclusion: in recent years
atmospheric warming has been delayed due to increased
heat transport to the deeper ocean.
One, she says, «clearly and authoritatively describes the complex interactions among ocean dynamics and
heat transport, sea ice dynamics forced both by
atmospheric winds and ocean currents, and
atmospheric thermodynamic forcing in determining recent variations in multi-year sea ice extent.
where latent
heat release and net radiation into the
atmospheric column, R, balance
heat divergence, and the relatively weak contribution from sensible
heat transport from the land surface to the
atmospheric column has been neglected.
JC comment: This paper clearly and authoritatively describes the complex interactions among ocean dynamics and
heat transport, sea ice dynamics forced both by
atmospheric winds and ocean currents, and
atmospheric thermodynamic forcing in determining recent variations in multi-year sea ice extent.
Unfortunately, there is no detailed instrument record of subsurface changes in Gulf Stream
heat transport into the region over the past decades, so it's hard to say — and the
atmospheric component?
By the way, here is a somewhat different view of the issue, which points to a more dominant role for
atmospheric rather than oceanic
heat transport, courtesy Richard Seagar: http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/res/div/ocp/gs/
For example, the Hadley cell, the large - scale pattern of
atmospheric circulation that
transports heat from the tropics to the subtropics, has marched south during recent decades, moving the subtropical dry zone (a band that receives little rainfall) along with it.
The identified
atmospheric feedbacks including changes in planetary albedo, in water vapour distribution and in meridional latent
heat transport are all poorly represented in zonal energy balance model as the one used in [7] whereas they appear to be of primary importance when focusing on ancient greenhouse climates.
The
atmospheric and oceanic circulations are vital for
heat transport in the climate system.
The evolution of global mean surface temperatures, zonal means and fields of sea surface temperatures, land surface temperatures, precipitation, outgoing longwave radiation, vertically integrated diabatic
heating and divergence of
atmospheric energy
transports, and ocean
heat content in the Pacific is documented using correlation and regression analysis.
His research involves studies of the role of the tropics in mid-latitude weather and global
heat transport, the moisture budget and its role in global change, the origins of ice ages, seasonal effects in
atmospheric transport, stratospheric waves, and the observational determination of climate sensitivity.
Storms help replenish warm water next to the ice, and help carry addtional
heat into the melting region via
atmospheric transport of warmer moist air.
Here, we have shown that this warming was associated and presumably initiated by a major increase in the westerly to south - westerly wind north of Norway leading to enhanced
atmospheric and ocean
heat transport from the comparatively warm North Atlantic Current through the passage between northern Norway and Spitsbergen into the Barents Sea.»
I am not saying, for example, that
atmospheric dynamics may not play an important role in determining the Earth's
heat transport system and hence its relative «warming» or «cooling» rates.
The atmosphere is analogous to a flexible lens that is shaped by the density distribution of the gas molecules, of the atmosphere in the space between the sphere holding them, and space; Incoming
heat gets collected in many ways and places,, primarily by intermittent solar radiation gets stored, in vast quantities, and slowly but also a barrage of mass and energy fluxes from all directions; that are slowly
transported great distances and to higher altitudes mostly by oceanic and
atmospheric mass flows.
El Nino events tend to cause
atmospheric warming because they are
transporting heat from the ocean back into the atmosphere.
Associated with the warming, there has been an enhanced
atmospheric hydrological cycle in the Southern Ocean that results in an increase of the Antarctic sea ice for the past three decades through the reduced upward ocean
heat transport and increased snowfall.
The strong poleward
atmospheric heat and moisture
transport may be one reason why the West Antarctic and Peninsula climate appears to be more strongly coupled with regional sea ice concentration and extent anomalies than does the East Antarctic (e.g. Jacobs and Comiso 1997; Weatherly et al. 1991).
Simpson began with a gray - body calculation, Simpson (1928a); very soon after he reported that this paper was worthless, for the spectral variation must be taken into account, Simpson (1928b); 2 - dimensional model (mapping ten degree squares of latitude and longitude): Simpson (1929a); a pioneer in pointing to latitudinal
transport of
heat by
atmospheric eddies was Defant (1921); for other early energy budget climate models taking latitude into account, not covered here, see Kutzbach (1996), pp. 354 - 59.