Compute the surface radiative forcing and its amplification by
the atmospheric warming in a manner following Myhre and Stordal 1997, using gridded global fields of of the input variables obtained from observations (e.g. the ECMWF reanalysis, ISCCP clouds, satellite ozone, some sort of aerosol optical depth from satellite.
Generally,
atmospheric warming in the Southern Hemisphere has led to slightly stronger «zonal» winds that whip clockwise around Antarctica.
OLR increases in the optically thinner bands would lead to
atmospheric warming in general — bands that are thin but not transparent.
OLR increases in the optically thinner bands would lead to
atmospheric warming in general, but this has to be accompanied by OLR decreases somewhere, such as in optically thicker bands (and always in the band where optical thickness was added, assuming positive lapse rates everywhere as is the case in a 1 - dimensional equilibrium model with zero solar heating above the tropopause, or at least not too much solar heating in some distributions), which will tend to cause cooling of upper levels.
Black and brown carbon particles increase
atmospheric warming in three ways.
The Science study finds that this is most likely because the models underestimate
the atmospheric warming in the Arctic that is induced by a given carbon - dioxide emission.
Not exact matches
The change, he concluded, was «attributed largely to
atmospheric warming and melt pond penetration of cracks
in the ice.»
One possible strategy for making Mars habitable over the long term is to «terraform» it — manipulate its environment so,
in the simplest terms, the planet
warms up, ice turns into water, and plants can be introduced, which will convert the
atmospheric carbon dioxide into oxygen, with the goal of creating a stable and breathable atmosphere.
The increased sunlight reflectance
in the sky would keep the waters below from
warming up to the hurricane threshold while also curbing evaporation, thereby reducing the
atmospheric moisture needed to make a storm.
David Victor,
in his recent book, «Global
Warming Gridlock» [4], portrays this as one of the worst lessons
in designing the Framework Convention that diplomats drew from the Montreal Protocol — the result of a «herd mentality»
in the past design of international
atmospheric agreements that all followed this same design principle.
Damon Matthews of Concordia University
in Montreal, Canada, and his colleagues calculated national contributions to
warming by weighting each type of emission according to the
atmospheric lifetime of the temperature change it causes.
Worldwide, carbon storage has the capability to provide more than 15 percent of the emissions reductions needed to limit the rise
in atmospheric CO2 to 450 parts per million by 2050, an oft - cited target associated with a roughly 50 - percent chance of keeping global
warming below 2 degrees, but that would involve 3,200 projects sequestering some 150 gigatons of CO2, says Juho Lipponen, who heads the CCS unit of the International Energy Agency
in Paris.
If solar changes provided the dominant forcing,
warming would be expected
in both
atmospheric layers.
While natural patterns of certain
atmospheric and ocean conditions are already known to influence Greenland melt, the study highlights the importance of a long - term
warming trend to account for the unprecedented west Greenland melt rates
in recent years.
In all regions, the researchers attributed some of the increase in atmospheric ammonia to climate change, reflected in warmer air and soil temperature
In all regions, the researchers attributed some of the increase
in atmospheric ammonia to climate change, reflected in warmer air and soil temperature
in atmospheric ammonia to climate change, reflected
in warmer air and soil temperature
in warmer air and soil temperatures.
In particular, the connection between rising concentrations of
atmospheric greenhouse gases and the increased
warming of the global climate system is more certain than ever.
A substantial portion of the planet is greening
in response to increasing
atmospheric carbon dioxide, nitrogen deposition, global
warming and land use change.
«Using a numerical climate model we found that sulfate reductions over Europe between 1980 and 2005 could explain a significant fraction of the amplified
warming in the Arctic region during that period due to changes
in long - range transport,
atmospheric winds and ocean currents.
«I don't think many studies have realized this yet: Black carbon impacts global
warming in at least four different ways,» said V. Ramanathan, an
atmospheric scientist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography.
The North Atlantic Oscillation, a large - scale natural weather cycle, went into a phase
in which summer
atmospheric conditions favored more incoming solar radiation and
warmer, moist air from the south.
The researchers found that large - scale features of
atmospheric circulation —
in particular, the strength and position of the Aleutian Low, a semi-permanent, subpolar area of low pressure located
in the Gulf of Alaska near the Aleutian Islands — largely determined the timing of snowmelt during spring
in Alaska, by either facilitating or inhibiting the transport of
warm, moist air into the region.
Warmer tropics lead to higher
atmospheric pressures and more sunny days over the Alaska Range, which contribute to more glacial melting
in the summer, Winski said.
►
In a story about the animal species that are winning and losing as the Arctic warms, in this week's Science, Eli Kintisch offers a peek into the extreme working and living conditions of some of the biologists, zoologists, geoscientists, oceanographers, and atmospheric scientists conducting this researc
In a story about the animal species that are winning and losing as the Arctic
warms,
in this week's Science, Eli Kintisch offers a peek into the extreme working and living conditions of some of the biologists, zoologists, geoscientists, oceanographers, and atmospheric scientists conducting this researc
in this week's Science, Eli Kintisch offers a peek into the extreme working and living conditions of some of the biologists, zoologists, geoscientists, oceanographers, and
atmospheric scientists conducting this research.
The exceptional strengthening of a high - pressure area
in Siberia, which brought freezing temperatures to Finland
in late February and early March, may be partly the result of
atmospheric warming over the Arctic Ocean.
The non-profit 350.org, launched
in 2008 by writer and activist Bill McKibben and others to raise awareness about global
warming, has circled the proverbial wagons around the cause of reducing
atmospheric CO2 to 350 ppm.
What happens when the world moves into a
warm, interglacial period isn't certain, but
in 2009, a paper published
in Science by researchers found that upwelling
in the Southern Ocean increased as the last ice age waned, correlated to a rapid rise
in atmospheric carbon dioxide.
Their results suggest a drop of as much as 10 degrees for fresh water during the
warm season and 6 degrees for the atmosphere
in the North Atlantic, giving further evidence that the concentration of
atmospheric carbon dioxide and Earth's surface temperature are inextricably linked.
warming of the sea surface
in the equatorial Pacific is associated with a vast fluctuation
in atmospheric pressure.
The net result is a greater chance for unusually cold winters, or at times unusually
warm ones,
in the northeastern U.S. and Europe, according to an article by Cornell University Earth and
atmospheric scientist Charles Greene
in Scientific American's December 2012 issue.
Because air temperature significantly alters
atmospheric dynamics, which
in turn affects moisture transport, scientists speculate that this increase of high altitude moisture may be tied to global
warming.
The climate is
warming in the arctic at twice the rate of the rest of the globe creating a longer growing season and increased plant growth, which captures
atmospheric carbon, and thawing permafrost, which releases carbon into the atmosphere.
Instead of dissipating into space, the infrared radiation that is absorbed by
atmospheric water vapor or carbon dioxide produces heating, which
in turn makes the earths surface
warmer.
After a painstaking analysis that modeled all known sources of acceleration for Juno, including the minute contributions from sunlight
warming the spacecraft, Iess's team found a large north - south asymmetry
in Jupiter's gravitational field — a clear sign of material flowing beneath the cloud tops on deep
atmospheric winds.
Although the earth has experienced exceptional
warming over the past century, to estimate how much more will occur we need to know how temperature will respond to the ongoing human - caused rise
in atmospheric greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide.
An important emerging issue, according to Stocker, is whether the unexpected hiatus
in atmospheric warming over the past 15 years is a blip or evidence of a longer term trend.
Warmer temperatures could extend the growing season
in northern latitudes, and an increase
in atmospheric carbon dioxide could improve the water use efficiency of some crops.
Experiments carried out
in the OU Mars Simulation Chamber — specialised equipment, which is able to simulate the
atmospheric conditions on Mars — reveal that Mars» thin atmosphere (about 7 mbar — compared to 1,000 mbar on Earth) combined with periods of relatively
warm surface temperatures causes water flowing on the surface to violently boil.
The second simulation overlaid that same weather data with a «pseudo global
warming» technique using an accepted scenario that assumes a 2 - to 3 - degree increase
in average temperature, and a doubling of
atmospheric carbon dioxide.
So this change
in upper
atmospheric behavior can be considered part of the «fingerprint» of the expected global
warming signal
in the climate system.»
In a warming world, atmospheric water vapour content is expected to rise due to an increase in saturation water vapour pressure with air temperatur
In a
warming world,
atmospheric water vapour content is expected to rise due to an increase
in saturation water vapour pressure with air temperatur
in saturation water vapour pressure with air temperature.
At the same time the lifetime of
atmospheric ozone is short due to the exceptionally
warm and moist conditions
in the tropical West Pacific.
Retreating sea ice
in the Iceland and Greenland Seas may be changing the circulation of
warm and cold water
in the Atlantic Ocean, and could ultimately impact the climate
in Europe, says a new study by an
atmospheric physicist from the University of Toronto Mississauga (UTM) and his colleagues
in Great Britain, Norway and the United States.
A surprising recent rise
in atmospheric methane likely stems from wetland emissions, suggesting that much more of the potent greenhouse gas will be pumped into the atmosphere as northern wetlands continue to thaw and tropical ones to
warm, according to a new international study led by a University of Guelph researcher.
However, it is often overlooked that the major ice shelves
in the Ross and Weddell Seas and the many smaller shelves and ice tongues buttressing outlet glaciers are also vulnerable to
atmospheric warming.»
Countering a widely - held view that thawing permafrost accelerates
atmospheric warming, a study published this week
in the scientific journal Nature suggests arctic thermokarst lakes are «net climate coolers» when observed over longer, millennial, time scales.
The researchers find that «ocean - driven melt is an important driver of Antarctic ice shelf retreat where
warm water is
in contact with shelves, but
in high greenhouse - gas emissions scenarios,
atmospheric warming soon overtakes the ocean as the dominant driver of Antarctic ice loss.»
Their findings, based on output from four global climate models of varying ocean and
atmospheric resolution, indicate that ocean temperature
in the U.S. Northeast Shelf is projected to
warm twice as fast as previously projected and almost three times faster than the global average.
Using 19 climate models, a team of researchers led by Professor Minghua Zhang of the School of Marine and
Atmospheric Sciences at Stony Brook University, discovered persistent dry and
warm biases of simulated climate over the region of the Southern Great Plain
in the central U.S. that was caused by poor modeling of
atmospheric convective systems — the vertical transport of heat and moisture
in the atmosphere.
«This emphasizes the importance of large - scale energy transport and
atmospheric circulation changes
in restoring Earth's global temperature equilibrium after a natural, unforced
warming event,» Li said.
Another principal investigator for the project, Laura Pan, senior scientist at the National Center for
Atmospheric Research
in Boulder, Colo., believes storm clusters over this area of the Pacific are likely to influence climate
in new ways, especially as the
warm ocean temperatures (which feed the storms and chimney) continue to heat up and
atmospheric patterns continue to evolve.