Sentences with phrase «attempt at forecasting»

Opening at the start of a new year, the exhibition then, is itself a ritual, an attempt at forecasting and influencing the course of 2018.

The movements of securities prices on a momentary basis are always guided by specific human action and attempts at forecasting and calculating an uncertain future.

Not exact matches

This includes regular press conferences following Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings by the Fed chair; the publishing of growth and inflation forecasts of FOMC participants; and a concerted attempt to lay out the guideposts that the FOMC will look at to assess progress toward our mandate.

In fact, I don't believe that the attempt to forecast these shorter term returns would be of any benefit at all to our portfolio management.

In recent years, the most intense discussion at Camp Kotok has revolved around the Fed as everyone eagerly anticipated and attempted to forecast first Fed tapering and then the timing and pace of rate hikes.

I make no attempt to forecast either business or the stock market; the above is simply intended to dispel any notions that stocks have suffered any drastic decline or that the general market, is at a low level.

Those who base their work on forecasting, instead of prediction, are far more adept at dealing with uncertainty and risk because these twin realities of contemporary politics are central to the very concept of forecasting; whereas prediction dogmatically attempts to overcome them.

To make a first attempt at this long - range forecast, we can just extrapolate current trends.

The FIG index attempts to forecast changes in the cyclical direction of inflation by tracking such things as materials prices, import prices, and delivery times (ECRI's Weekly Leading Index and Future Inflation Gauge are available on its website at www.businesscycle.com).

Value investing, to my mind, attempts to avoid the need for us to be a super forecaster because its fundamental aim is to buy businesses with valuations that impute very dark scenarios for the business and don't require said business to be able to incrementally deploy capital at high return rates for years into the difficult - to - forecast future to justify today's valuation.

I had attempted a similar project at the 3rd conference with my poster «Comparison of Climate Forecasts: Expert Opinions vs. Prediction Markets» in which my abstract proposed the following: «As an experiment, we will ask participants to go on the record with estimates of probability that the global temperature anomaly for calendar year 2012 will be equal to or greater than x, where x ranges in increments of 0.05 °C from 0.30 to 1.10 °C (relative to the 1951 - 1980 base period, and published by NASA GISS).»

[37] The results are striking — the models fail to do a reasonable job at predicting the past 30 years of temperatures, yet alarmists attempt to use them to forecast temperatures centuries from now.

Ironically, a former employee of the UK weather office Hubert Lamb left that agency to set up the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia because he could not get support for his attempt to improve forecasting by understanding past weather patterns.

Weather forecast is the attempt to make a best possible prediction of the exact state of the system at all locations at a specific point in time in the future.

At this point it is possible to attempt a full forecast of the climate since 2000 that is made of the four detected decadal and multidecadal cycles plus the corrected anthropogenic warming effect trending.

Here in Europe we are shown attempts at regional short - term climate forecasts, i.e. what kind of weather is to be expected in the next 3 months.