Sentences with phrase «attribution analysis on»

One challenge with storms in Germany is that climate models have trouble accurately depicting such small - scale features, but a new generation of models that should come into wider use within the next year or two do a much better job, meaning that attribution analyses on such events should become more feasible, van Oldenborgh said.

Not exact matches

More directly, attribution analysis measures the portfolio effects of a given manager's investment decisions, focusing especially on overall investment policy, asset allocation, security selection and activity.

Whether or not he writes nonsense, I am certain that he would not make up the attribution of a quote: he is far too straight a reporter for that, whatever anybody might think of his commentary, analysis, etc on whatever issue.

The complexity of the new study «had a big impact on how certain we were» that «we would be able to do a sensible analysis,» said Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, a Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute climate scientist who was involved with this and prior rapid attribution studies.

If you subtract the calculated expected physical warming based on the current attribution analysis would the climate system be expected to produce the same number of heat records as are now occurring on trend?

If she accepts that attribution is amenable to quantitative analysis using some kind of model (doesn't have to be a GCM), I don't get why she doesn't accept that the numbers are going to be different for different time periods and have varying degrees of uncertainty depending on how good the forcing data is and what other factors can be brought in.

We recently published a paper exploring the impact of observational uncertainty on an attribution analysis.

The fact that certain analytical conclusions about observed climate change, attribution to human causes, in particular the energy system and deforestation, projected greater climate change in the future, observed impacts of climate change on natural and human systems, and projected very disruptive consequences in the future given our current trajectory, is not due to «group think» but rather to a generally shared analysis based on evidence.

Detection and attribution analyses show robust evidence for an anthropogenic influence on climate.

We're poised to do a very interesting analysis of detection & attribution on AMO vs. trend and I'm patiently waiting for a filter from John Creighton.

However, detection and attribution analyses based on climate simulations that include these forcings, (e.g., Stott et al., 2006b), continue to detect a significant anthropogenic influence in 20th - century temperature observations even though the near - surface patterns of response to black carbon aerosols and sulphate aerosols could be so similar at large spatial scales (although opposite in sign) that detection analyses may be unable to distinguish between them (Jones et al., 2005).

For the entire Northern Hemisphere, there is evidence of an increase in both storm frequency and intensity during the cold season since 1950,1 with storm tracks having shifted slightly towards the poles.2, 3 Extremely heavy snowstorms increased in number during the last century in northern and eastern parts of the United States, but have been less frequent since 2000.11,15 Total seasonal snowfall has generally decreased in southern and some western areas, 16 increased in the northern Great Plains and Great Lakes region, 16,17 and not changed in other areas, such as the Sierra Nevada, although snow is melting earlier in the year and more precipitation is falling as rain versus snow.18 Very snowy winters have generally been decreasing in frequency in most regions over the last 10 to 20 years, although the Northeast has been seeing a normal number of such winters.19 Heavier - than - normal snowfalls recently observed in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. in some years, with little snow in other years, are consistent with indications of increased blocking (a large scale pressure pattern with little or no movement) of the wintertime circulation of the Northern Hemisphere.5 However, conclusions about trends in blocking have been found to depend on the method of analysis, 6 so the assessment and attribution of trends in blocking remains an active research area.

A new report by the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) presents the findings of their analysis of all research papers published since the Paris summit two years ago on the attribution of specific events to climate change.

This study addresses the challenge by undertaking a formal detection and attribution analysis of SCE changes based on several observational datasets with different structural characteristics, in order to account for the substantial observational uncertainty.

Karsten Haustein is a postdoctoral researcher working on the World Weather Attribution project, developing the capability to perform quasi-real time attribution analysis of extreme weather events around the world on an operatiAttribution project, developing the capability to perform quasi-real time attribution analysis of extreme weather events around the world on an operatiattribution analysis of extreme weather events around the world on an operational basis.

«The assessment is supported additionally by a complementary analysis in which the parameters of an Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity (EMIC) were constrained using observations of near - surface temperature and ocean heat content, as well as prior information on the magnitudes of forcings, and which concluded that GHGs have caused 0.6 °C to 1.1 °C (5 to 95 % uncertainty) warming since the mid-20th century (Huber and Knutti, 2011); an analysis by Wigley and Santer (2013), who used an energy balance model and RF and climate sensitivity estimates from AR4, and they concluded that there was about a 93 % chance that GHGs caused a warming greater than observed over the 1950 — 2005 period; and earlier detection and attribution studies assessed in the AR4 (Hegerl et al., 2007b).»

I am completely open to those who do further analysis that casts doubt on Trenberth's exact allocation and attribution of the Earth System energy budget.

Specialised statistical methods based on quantitative analysis have been developed for the detection and attribution of climate change and for producing probabilistic projections of future climate parameters.

In addition to a deep - dive on the impact of U.S. tax reform, we'll also address the OECD's work on financial transactions, key developments in taxation of the digital economy and expert insights and analysis on key transfer pricing issues including BEPS, country - by country reporting, attribution of profits to PE's, APA's, the MLI and more.

Geographic Information System Analyst — Duties & Responsibilities Serve as geographic system analyst responsible for major nationwide mapping and assessment projects Recruit, train, and direct junior team members ensuring they understand the brand and corporate protocols Set and strictly adhere to departmental and project budgets and schedules Maintain comprehensive records detailing project schedules, geographic information, and other pertinent data Consistently meet and exceed company goals through strong managerial skills Complete all phases of cartographic mapping and database management on 25 Digital Flood Oversee Insurance Rate Map countywide studies in association with FEMA's map modernization process Enhance PBS&J's Floodmap Desktop version 9.3 with an automated cross-section annotation process Create FMD tools and a nationwide automated public land survey system attribution tool Assist in 2006 Post-Hurricane Katrina flood assessment with the Army Corps of Engineers in New Orleans Create final project maps portraying environmental impact assessment calculations associated with the Saratoga, Wyoming well field and transmission line environmental assessment Design final project maps for a hydrologic assessment of County Road 204 in Garfield County, Colorado Provide GIS / data analysis services on a sign asset management project for the Colorado Department of Transportation Build and strengthen relationships with key clients, partner agencies, and community leaders Represent company brand with poise, integrity, and positivity

Analysis suggested that the strongest effects on later delinquent behavior were found on two traits: consistency of discipline and anger resulting from hostile attributions for others» behavior.

Analyses showed a significant indirect effect for dysfunctional parental attributions in favor of the group receiving the behavioral program, and significant effects of the behavioral program on positive and negative parenting and parental self - efficacy, compared to the nondirective intervention.

On the other hand, low EE staff are described as being able to control feelings when confronted with difficult behavior, warm, and seeing the need for patients to be independent, despite having lower expectations.40, 42 These analyses highlight the potential role of staff attributions for patients» problems in the development of high EE.