Average air temperatures over land in the Arctic have increased by 3 °C since the beginning of the 20th century.
Average air temperatures over the Arctic Ocean were much higher than normal for the month, reflecting unusual atmospheric conditions.
The chart below, by Zack Labe at the University of California at Irvine, shows how daily
average air temperatures over the Arctic (red line) have spent most of January and February substantially above average (white line).
And yet, when you do trends of global data you are
averaging air temperatures over intervals where the heat content is not continuous, and thus the trend that is the average temperature does not show the actual trend of the heat content.
Average air temperature over the land and sea surface was 0.56 degrees Celsius above the long - term average, tied with 2010 as the joint warmest year on record.
Not exact matches
The findings were not a total surprise, with future projections showing that even with moderate climate warming,
air temperatures over the higher altitudes increase even more than at sea level, and that, on
average, fewer winter storm systems will impact the state.
Meanwhile,
average air temperatures in the region rose 1.5 °C
over the past 5 decades, nearly twice the global
average.
Global warming, the phenomenon of increasing
average air temperatures near the surface of Earth
over...
global warming The increase in Earth's surface
air temperatures, on
average, across the globe and
over decades.
Buildings across both regions were built for the historical climate, which didn't require
air conditioning, yet Colorado has seen
average temperatures rise 2.5 degrees Fahrenheit
over the past 50 years.
This winter, that warmth reached astounding levels, with
air temperatures over the Arctic Ocean ranging from 4 °F to 11 °F (2 °C to 6 °C) above
average in nearly every region.
Surface
air temperatures over the Barents and Kara seas during winter, compared to the 1979 - 2013
average.
A map showing the difference between
temperatures on Dec. 30 and
averages shows how a potent storm carried extremely warm
air over the North Pole.
Thus, small changes of global
average air temperature are associated with very large changes in some regions, particularly
over land, at mid - to high latitudes, in mountain regions.
«We show that the climate
over the 21st century can and likely will produce periods of a decade or two where the globally
averaged surface
air temperature shows no trend or even slight cooling in the presence of longer - term warming,» the paper says, adding that, «It is easy to «cherry pick» a period to reinforce a point of view.»
However their predictions are about much more than just the
average near - surface
air temperature, they are mainly focused on how heat mixes into the ocean and how that affects the rise in surface
temperature as CO2 is doubled
over 100 years.
Average projection of winter surface
air temperatures over central Asia (orange line) and the frequency of cold winters (orange bars) for the 21st century.
Surface
air temperatures over the Barents and Kara seas during winter, compared to the 1979 - 2013
average.
«Global annually
averaged surface
air temperature has increased by about 1.8 °F (1.0 °C)
over the last 115 years (1901 — 2016).
Air temperatures at 925 millibar (about 3,000 ft above the surface) were mostly above
average over the Arctic Ocean, with positive anomalies of 4 to 6º Celsius
over the Chukchi and Bering seas on the Pacific side of the Arctic, and
over the East Greenland Sea on the Atlantic side.
As LST closely tracks
air temperatures over the instrumental period, we can also infer that
air temperatures in this region of East Africa varied in concert with the global
average and thus were controlled primarily by the major forcings influencing
temperatures over this timescale, both natural (solar radiation, volcanism) and anthropogenic (greenhouse - gas emissions; refs 19, 20).
Figure 1 shows the change in the world's
air temperature averaged over all the land and ocean between 1975 and 2008.
We might expect «global warming» (i.e., an increase in
average surface
air temperatures over a few decades) to lead to a rise in global mean sea levels.
The annual anomaly of the global
average surface
temperature in 2014 (i.e. the
average of the near - surface
air temperature over land and the SST) was +0.27 °C above the 1981 - 2010
average (+0.63 °C above the 20th century
average), and was the warmest since 1891.
According to NOAA's 2016 Arctic Report Card, the
average annual surface
air temperature anomaly (+3.6 °F / 2.0 °C relative to the 1981 - 2010 baseline)
over land north of 60 ° N between October 2015 and September 2016 was by far the highest in the observational record beginning in 1900.
A number is pulled out of the
air with no justification (that stuff
averages out
over 15 years), and the supporting evidence of this is that we can measure global
temperature averages.
Running 60 - month
averages of European
air temperature at a height of two metres
over land (left - hand axis) according to different datasets: ERA - Interim (Copernicus Climate Change Service, ECMWF); GISTEMP (NASA); HadCRUT4 (Met Office Hadley Centre), NOAAGlobalTemp (NOAA); and JRA - 55 (JMA).
Internal variability can only account for ~ 0.3 °C change in
average global surface
air temperature at most
over periods of several decades, and scientific studies have consistently shown that it can not account for more than a small fraction of the global warming
over the past century.
October
air temperatures at the 925 hPa level (about 2,500 feet above sea level) were unusually high
over most of the Arctic Ocean (Figure 2c), especially
over the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas and
over the East Greenland Sea (up to 8 degrees Celsius or 14 degrees Fahrenheit above the 1981 to 2010
average).
The fact this is seemingly not fully recognized — or here integrated — by Curry goes to the same reason Curry does not recognize why the so called «pause» is a fiction, why the «slowing» of the «rate» of increase in
average ambient global land and ocean surface
air temperatures over a shorter term period from the larger spike beyond the longer term mean of the 90s is also meaningless in terms of the basic issue, and why the
average ambient increase in global
air temperatures over such a short term is by far the least important empirical indicia of the issue.
The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of the NAO on projected changes in winter (December - March
average) terrestrial surface
air temperature (SAT) and precipitation (P)
over the next 30 — 50 years.
Running four - month
averages of anomalies
over land areas for SW Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010 for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface
air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface
air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to March 2018.
By contrast,
air temperatures over the Antarctic region for the same period were above
average in some areas, such as the Antarctic Peninsula and near the pole, but below
average in others.
Running four - month
averages of anomalies
over land areas for NE Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010 for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface
air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface
air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to March 2018.
Running four - month
averages of anomalies
over land areas for SW Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010 for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface
air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface
air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to February 2018.
Air temperatures at the 925 hPa level (approximately 2,500 feet above sea level) were more than 3 degrees Celsius (5 degrees Fahrenheit) above the 1981 to 2010
average over the central Arctic Ocean and northern Barents Sea, and as much as 5 degrees Celsius (9 degrees Fahrenheit) above
average over the Chukchi Sea.
Running four - month
averages of anomalies
over land areas for NW Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010 for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface
air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface
air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to February 2018.
From the Executive Summary: «Global annually
averaged surface
air temperature has increased by about 1.8 °F (1.0 °C)
over the last 115 years (1901 — 2016).
Following a warming trend early in the 20th century and mid-century cooling, surface
air temperatures in the Arctic have shown a strong increase
over the last few decades, warming at about twice the global
average.
· On
average, between 1950 and 1993, night - time daily minimum
air temperatures over land increased by about 0.2 °C per decade.
Forecasts of March near - surface
air temperatures compared to the 1981 - 2010
average over Europe initialized in mid-January, before the SSW (top left), and after (bottom center).
The time series uses - an area - weighted
average of the surface
air temperature over land and the
temperature of water at the ocean's surface.
Buildings across both regions were built for the historical climate, which didn't require
air conditioning, yet Colorado has seen
average temperatures rise 2.5 degrees Fahrenheit
over the past 50 years.
What the report says about climate change and the Arctic:
Over the past 50 years, near - surface
air temperatures across Alaska and the Arctic have increased at a rate more than twice as fast as the global
average.
Remember that post 9/11 contrail study, which supposedly showed that the
average daily
temperature over the continental US suddenly widened in the 3 days after the September 11 terrorist attacks, when all commercial
air traffic was banned from American skies?
(1) there is established scientific concern
over warming of the climate system based upon evidence from observations of increases in global
average air and ocean
temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global
average sea level;
Over the past 60 years, Alaska has warmed more than twice as rapidly as the rest of the United States, with state - wide
average annual
air temperature increasing by 3 °F and
average winter
temperature by 6 °F, with substantial year - to - year and regional variability.1 Most of the warming occurred around 1976 during a shift in a long - lived climate pattern (the Pacific Decadal Oscillation [PDO]-RRB- from a cooler pattern to a warmer one.
the composite or generally prevailing WEATHER CONDITIONS of a region, as
temperature,
air pressure, humidity, precipitation, sunshine, cloudiness, and winds, throughout the year,
averaged over a series of years.
For example, Figure 1 shows that one GCM simulation underestimated the observed
average maximum surface
air temperature over the eastern US during five summers by 4.6 °C (8.3 °F).
Global
temperatures usually are described in terms of the surface
air temperature anomaly, the deviation of the
temperature at each site from a mean of many years that is
averaged over the whole world, both land and oceans.