So the question naturally becomes, should «fair» or
average equity valuations in a 1 1/2 -2 % GDP growth world be the same as what has considered fair valuation for equities in a 3 1/2 -4 % GDP growth world of the last 60 years?
Not exact matches
During that earlier period, American business earned an
average of 11 percent or so on
equity capital employed and stocks, in aggregate, sold at
valuations far above that
equity capital (book value),
averaging over 150 cents on the dollar.
As a result, we do not see
equity valuation metrics falling back to historical
averages.
Equity markets have appreciated sharply in recent years, and
valuations, based on price - to - earnings ratios, in developed markets were not cheap relative to their historical
averages as of late 2017.
Event - driven and long short
equity managers, for instance, have overall seen rosier
average gains over the past 12 — 18 months on the back of investors» growing focus on company - specific events, earnings growth, balance sheets and
valuations of individual securities across different sectors and regions.
But stock performance has actually outpaced gains in earnings, and as a result, US
equity valuations appear stretched as we begin 2018 — for example, the S&P 500's price - earnings ratio is well above longer - term historical
averages.
The
averages above do hide a significant amount of variation in returns, and the direction of
equity valuations at any given point in time also matters.
European
equities continue to trade below their historical
average valuation versus the United States, which we believe to be fully valued.
Real estate, venture capital and private
equity are also likely reaching above
average valuation levels.
But with long - term bonds and non-cyclical
equity sectors trading at historically extreme
valuations while cyclical sectors trade at
valuations below their long - term
average, we think that risk aversion is creating numerous investment opportunities for investors willing to build a portfolio of more economically sensitive companies.
«The Shanghai Composite in aggregate is now trading back well below
average global
equity valuations at the headline index level,» says Jonathan Garner, Morgan Stanley's Chief Asia and Emerging Market Equity Strat
equity valuations at the headline index level,» says Jonathan Garner, Morgan Stanley's Chief Asia and Emerging Market
Equity Strat
Equity Strategist.
JPMorgan points out that US
equities are 2 standard deviations rich to their
average valuation and are in fact the most expensive in the developed world...
Full
valuations — Canadian and U.S.
equity markets are trading at above -
average valuations, while strong performance has also lifted overseas
valuations.
European
equities are not that cheap anymore by a number of
valuation metrics; they are trading at an
average of about 17 times earnings, which is not a wide undervaluation.1 In my view, the main reason to invest in European
equities is the potential for, or the expectation of, a rise in corporate earnings that would be driven by the improving economic environment.
The rout that erased $ 2.9 trillion from U.S.
equities has pushed
valuations in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index 25 percent below the
average level from the last nine recessions, even as profit estimates fall.
Long - Short
Equity, or LSE, takes the EMN strategy (though they're not exact clones if we're to judge by their holdings and position sizes) and overlays a tactical equity strategy that targets an average 50 % exposure to the MSCI World Index, with the ability to adjust its exposure by + / - 20 % based largely on valuation and mom
Equity, or LSE, takes the EMN strategy (though they're not exact clones if we're to judge by their holdings and position sizes) and overlays a tactical
equity strategy that targets an average 50 % exposure to the MSCI World Index, with the ability to adjust its exposure by + / - 20 % based largely on valuation and mom
equity strategy that targets an
average 50 % exposure to the MSCI World Index, with the ability to adjust its exposure by + / - 20 % based largely on
valuation and momentum.
European
equities continue to trade below their historical
average valuation versus the United States, which we believe to be fully valued.
This would be the
average equity target for my portfolio when market
valuations are
average (or fair value).
Individual issues in the Fund typically sell at reasonable
valuation levels and are supported by above -
average corporate profitability, accelerating earnings growth and low debt /
equity ratios.
Brian Peery: Looking at U.S.
equities, many
valuation metrics are, on
average, currently above historical norms.
Butler Philbrick Gordillo and Associates» argue in
Valuation Based
Equity Market Forecasts — Q1 2013 Update that «there is substantial value in applying simple statistical models to discover
average estimates of what the future may hold over meaningful investment horizons (10 + years), while acknowledging the wide range of possibilities that exist around these
averages.»
Looking at listed companies in the US now, following the rise in
equity valuations and borrowing for buybacks, it would be hard to characterize the
average stock as undervalued, or cash rich.
Also given the low growth, low inflation and low interest rate environment and the somewhat above
average valuation numbers, one has to expect lower nominal returns from
equities as compared to the past.
I find that if I haircut my (relatively debt - free)
equity valuation by the value of excess debt, on
average it tends to capture an appropriate value for the company.
Valuations have come down somewhat with the losses of recent weeks, but even given the volatility,
equities are still relatively highly valued compared with historic
averages.»
Audited the quarterly private
equity investment
valuations prepared by investment professionals, on
average, audited thirty
valuations every quarter.
A giant national number like that may make your eyes glaze over and be difficult to relate to personally, but calculations from analytics and
valuation technology firm CoreLogic bring it down to earth: Owners on
average had a $ 12,500 gain in
equity during that period.