As was widely covered in the media, 2014 saw the highest annual
average global surface temperature since records began, the report says:
Not exact matches
«The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said
global land
surface temperatures in January and April were likely the warmest
since records began in 1880, at more than 1 degree Celsius higher than
average for those months.
«The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said
global land
surface temperatures in January and April were likely the warmest
since records began in 1880, at more than 1 degree Celsius higher than
average for those months.
Since global average surface temperature exhibits a long - term sinusoidal trend, one can display either a positive or negative trend with careful start and end point choices.
The
global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C
since the start of the twentieth century, and the rate of increase
since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the century - scale trend.»
-- The combined
global land and ocean
average surface temperature for the December — February period was 0.41 °C (0.74 °F) above the 20th century
average of 12.1 °C (53.8 °F), making it the 17th warmest such period on record and the coolest December — February
since 2008.
Global warming does not mean no winter, it means winter start later, summer hotter, as Gary Peters said «The global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C since the start of the twentieth century, and the rate of increase since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the century - scale trend.&
Global warming does not mean no winter, it means winter start later, summer hotter, as Gary Peters said «The
global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C since the start of the twentieth century, and the rate of increase since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the century - scale trend.&
global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C
since the start of the twentieth century, and the rate of increase
since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the century - scale trend.»
This was one of the motivations for our study out this week in Nature Climate Change (England et al., 2014) With the
global -
average surface air
temperature (SAT) more - or-less steady
since 2001, scientists have been seeking to explain the climate mechanics of the slowdown in warming seen in the observations during 2001 - 2013.
From the abstract: «Despite ongoing increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases, the Earth's
global average surface air
temperature has remained more or less steady
since 2001.»
The net effect of these anomalous winds is a cooling in the 2012
global average surface air
temperature of 0.1 — 0.2 °C, which can account for much of the hiatus in
surface warming observed
since 2001.
The increase in these winds has caused eastern tropical Pacific cooling, amplified the Californian drought, accelerated sea level rise three times faster than the
global average in the Western Pacific and has slowed the rise of
global average surface temperatures since 2001.
the problem is that this definition implicitly assumes that the
global, time
average surface temperature is a definite single valued function of the radiative
average forcing, which is far from being true
since there are considerable horizontal heat transfer modifying the latitudinal repartition of
temperature: the local vertical radiative budget is NOT verified.
It is extremely likely * that human activities have caused more than half of the observed increase in
global average surface temperature since the 1950s.
Furthermore
since modelers tweak cloud parameters to match
global albedo and achieve energy balance, and because the AR4 models achieve a good match to
global average surface temperatures, there are at least partially compensating errors elsewhere in the models for both albedo and
temperature.
«Another recent paper used a different NOAA ocean
surface temperature data set to find that
since 2003 the
global average ocean
surface temperature has been rising at a rate that is an order of magnitude smaller than the rate of increase reported in Karl's paper.»
Since publication of the AR4, nature has thrown the IPCC a «curveball» — there has been no significant increase in
global average surface temperature for the past 15 + years.
The combined
average temperature over
global land and ocean
surfaces for April 2016 was 1.98 °F above the 20th century
average — the highest
temperature departure for April
since global records began in 1880.
Although the IPCC climate models have performed remarkably well in projecting
average global surface temperature warming thus far, Rahmstorf et al. (2012) found that the IPCC underestimated
global average sea level rise
since 1993 by 60 %.
If you read it closely, you will see that there is nothing in the NASA link you cited that refutes the observed fact that
global average surface temperature has stopped warming
since 2001 or 1998.
The annual anomaly of the
global average surface temperature in 2014 (i.e. the
average of the near -
surface air
temperature over land and the SST) was +0.27 °C above the 1981 - 2010
average (+0.63 °C above the 20th century
average), and was the warmest
since 1891.
GLOBAL average temperature is meaningless in regard to the RADIANT envelope
since a significant portion of the
surface of the Earth is outside of the RADIANT envelope.
During that same period,
average annual rainfall in New South Wales declined by 3.6 inches (92 millimeters).3 Scientists think the decline in autumn rainfall in southeast Australia
since the late 1950s may be partly due to increases in heat - trapping gases in Earth's atmosphere.3, 14 Major bushfires over southeast Australia are linked to the positive phase of an ocean cycle called the «Indian Ocean Dipole» — when sea
surface temperatures are warmer than
average in the western Indian Ocean, likely in response to
global warming.15, 16
Uncertainties of estimated trends in
global - and regional -
average sea -
surface temperature due to bias adjustments
since the Second World War are found to be larger than uncertainties arising from the choice of analysis technique, indicating that this is an important source of uncertainty in analyses of historical sea -
surface temperatures.
The
global average surface temperature has not increased substantially (or statistically significantly)
since 1997.
They conclude that while the rate of increase of
average global surface temperatures has slowed
since 1998, melting of Arctic ice, rising sea levels, and warming oceans have continued apace.
The chart plots the absolute
global averages for both
surfaces and atmospheric
temperatures since the major 1998 El Niño peak.
Globally, the
average land and ocean
surface temperature for January — March 2018 was the sixth highest such period
since global records began in 1880 at 0.74 °C (1.33 °F) above the 20th century
average of 12.3 °C (54.1 °F).
Globally, scientists believe that worldwide forest clearing
since the 1700s has had a small net cooling effect on
global average surface temperature.
The
global land
surface temperature for March 2018 was 1.49 °C (2.68 °F) above
average and the seventh highest
since global records began in 1880.
England and his colleagues calculated that the stronger trade winds have reduced the
global average surface temperature by 0.1 - 0.2 degrees Celsius (0.18 - 0.36 degrees Fahrenheit)-- enough, they write, «to account for much of the hiatus in
surface warming observed
since 2001.»
Global average surface temperatures rose rapidly from the 1970s but have been relatively stable
since the late 1990s, in a trend that has been seized upon by climate sceptics who question the science of man - made warming.
Moreover,
since 1960, solar activity has declined slightly, while the
average global surface temperature has increased by more than 0.5 °C.
This was warm enough to set another milestone that had already been set two previous times this year; the
average global sea
surface temperature was so warm in September that it broke the all - time record for the highest departure from
average for any month
since 1880, at 1.19 degrees Fahrenheit above
average.
The primary ways to monitor
global average air
temperatures are
surface based thermometers (
since the late 1800s), radiosondes (weather balloons,
since about the 1950s), and satellites measuring microwave emissions (
since 1979).
The
global average surface temperature in 2011 was the ninth warmest
since 1880, according to NASA scientists.
The discussion of whether 2012 is the 8th, 9th 10th or 11th warmest annual
global average surface temperature is intellectually engaging (and a bit of a waste of the engaged intellect), but a more significant point is that the warm years
since 1998 have all occured without a transient bump comparable to the one that 1998 recieved from the signifcant El Nino that occured.
The slowdown or «hiatus» in warming refers to the period
since 2001, when despite ongoing increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases, Earth's
global average surface air
temperature has remained more or less steady, warming by only around 0.1 C.
Subsurface ocean warming explains why
global average air
temperatures have flatlined
since 1999, despite greenhouse gases trapping more solar heat at the Earth's
surface.
We've calculated the trend in the
global average surface temperature simulated to have occurred starting in every year
since 1950 and ending in 2012 for every * run of every climate model used in the new IPCC report.
3
Global Warming Defined
Global Warming Is The Increase In The
Average Temperature Of The Earth's Near -
surface Air And Oceans
Since The Mid-20th Century And Its Projected Continuation.
Armchair detectives might call it the case of Earth's missing heat: Why have
average global surface air
temperatures remained essentially steady
since 2000, even as greenhouse gases have continued to accumulate in the atmosphere?
Global Warming Is The Increase In The
Average Temperature Of The Earth's Near -
surface Air And Oceans
Since The Mid-20th Century And Its Projected Continuation.
The gradual rise in the
global surface temperature from 1978 to 1998 appeared to confirm the statement in IPCC2007 p. 10 that, «Most of the observed increase in
global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations».
Since 1900, the
global average surface temperature has increased by about 0.8 °C (1.4 °F).
Five - year
averaging reduces differences among
temperature datasets, showing that
since the mid-1970s the
global surface air
temperature has on
average increased by 0.1 °C every five to six years, although the rate of warming, viewed from a five - year perspective, has not been steady.
In fact Australian and
global average surface air
temperature has remained more or less steady
since 2001 (e.g. Nature Climate Change, volume 4, pages 222 - 227).
2 (1) Introduction
Global warming is the increase in the
average temperature of the Earth's
surface and oceans
since the 20th century, and its projected continuation.
«The net effect of these anomalous winds is a cooling in the 2012
global average surface air
temperature of 0.1 — 0.2 degree Celsius, which can account for much of the hiatus in
surface warming observed
since 2001,» wrote Australian researcher led by Matthew England of the University of New South Wales.
`... over the 100 years
since 1870 the successive five year values of
average temperatures in England have been highly significantly correlated with the best estimates of the
averages for the whole Northern Hemisphere and for the whole earth» (In this last comment he is no doubt referring to his work at CRU where
global surface records back to 1860 or so were eventually gathered) he continued; «they probably mean that over the last three centuries the CET
temperatures provide a reasonable indication of the tendency of the
global climatic regime.»
The
global average sea
surface temperature (SST) change over time
since 1991.