So people ought to be getting ready with their excuses, and don't forget that both Gray and NOAA were predicting an above
average hurricane season too!
Between 1950 and 2017,
an average hurricane season saw 11 named storms and six hurricanes, according to the NC State report.
But the agency has predicted an above
average hurricane season, and that may still hold — most storms form in the second half of the hurricane season, Bell says, which doesn't end until 30 November.
Meteorologists are predicting an above
average hurricane season including 3 major hurricanes, USA Today reports.
Not exact matches
And the next
hurricane season starts in June, with above -
average storm activity.
On
average there are 10 tropical storms and six
hurricanes in the
season.
Hurricane season officially kicks off June 1, and forecasters expect the Atlantic Ocean will spawn a near -
average number of
hurricanes in 2016
An
average season in the eastern Pacific has 15.3 named storms, including 8.5
hurricanes, of which an
average of 3.8 are major
hurricanes, according to NOAA.
El Niño conditions can also curb the formation of powerful storms, and with no El Niño in the picture in 2017 — and with warmer - than -
average ocean waters — last year's Atlantic
hurricane season was unusually active.
The 2014 Atlantic
hurricane season is expected to be quieter than normal, with a below -
average number of storms and
hurricanes, a leading U.S.
hurricane forecasting team said last week.
The
average season sees 12 named storms, including six
hurricanes, three major with sustained winds greater than 110 mph.
However, numbers of
hurricanes in the North Atlantic have also been above normal (based on 1981 — 2000
averages) in 9 of the last 11 years, culminating in the record - breaking 2005
season.
This year saw a below -
average Atlantic
hurricane season.
The Central Pacific also saw an above -
average tropical cyclone
season, with 14 named storms, eight
hurricanes, and five major
hurricanes, the most active
season since reliable record - keeping began in 1971.
During monsoon
season this year, India experienced below
average rainfall, while three
hurricanes hit the North Atlantic.
There are still almost three months to go in the
hurricane season, and there have already been an above -
average number of named storms.»
An
average Atlantic
season has 11.5 named storms, 6.1
hurricanes, and 2.6 major
hurricanes (defined as Category 3 or higher).
You don't want to get stuck in
hurricane season or experience below
average temperatures.
The weather stays at a delightful
average of 80F year - round, but storms are possible during
hurricane season, July to November.
In the last 10
seasons — 1998 - 2007 — those
averages have been about 15 tropical and subtropical storms per year, about 8.1 reaching
hurricane strength, and about 3.7 reaching major
hurricane strength.
Finally — it is not remotely necessary for a
season to be as intense as 2005 in order for it to be very intense — after, all, 2004 (15 tropical storms, 9
hurricanes, 6 major
hurricanes) had over 150 % of the activity of an
average season, yet was much less active than 2005 (28 tropical and subtropical storms, 15
hurricanes and 7 major
hurricanes.)
But the
averages of the last 20
seasons (1988 — 2007) have been 13 tropical and subtropical storms per year, about 7 reaching
hurricane strength, and about 3 reaching major
hurricane strength.
This is an unmistakable upward trend in
hurricane activity — the activity of the last 10
seasons is about 150 % that of the historical
average.
In reality, it hasn't been; it's been on par with climatology... by this date, an
average season has had 3 named storms, 1
hurricane, and 0 major
hurricanes, which is exactly what 2010 has seen.
From the abstract: >»... the observed weekly
averaged SST from the 1º latitude x 1º longitude grid cell that > contained the storm's center, during the
hurricane seasons of 1982 through 2004....
Under such conditions, you'd still have active
hurricane seasons, but the overall
average strength and associated precipitation would be decreased by some fraction.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted an above
average season with 12 to 16 storms, 6 to 9
hurricanes, and 2 to 5 major
hurricanes on May 22
ITM I am predicting that if wastewaters are cleaned up as suggested then the rest of this
hurricane season will be a fizzer and the Arctic ice levels in Jan 09 will reach right up to the long term
average level.
During the past 6 months, extending back to October of 2008 when the Southern Hemisphere tropical
season was gearing up, global ACE had crashed due to two consecutive years of well - below
average Northern Hemisphere
hurricane activity.
These events included historic droughts in East Africa, the southern United States and northern Mexico; an above -
average tropical cyclone
season in the North Atlantic
hurricane basin and a below -
average season in the eastern North Pacific; and the wettest two - year period (2010 — 2011) on record in Australia.
Nearly one year after
Hurricane Sandy ravaged the East Coast, the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season has not produced a single land - falling hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above - average storm activity, as the seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its in
Hurricane Sandy ravaged the East Coast, the 2013 Atlantic
Hurricane Season has not produced a single land - falling hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above - average storm activity, as the seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its in
Hurricane Season has not produced a single land - falling hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above - average storm activity, as the seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its inact
Season has not produced a single land - falling
hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above - average storm activity, as the seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its in
hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above -
average storm activity, as the seasonal
hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its in
hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the
season has been quiet — notable for its inact
season has been quiet — notable for its inactivity.
During much of last year's
hurricane season, sea - surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic between 10 degrees north and 20 degrees north, which is where many Atlantic
hurricanes originate, were a record 0.9 degrees Celsius [1.6 degrees Fahrenheit] above the 1901 - 1970
average.
The highly respected Colorado State University forecast for the coming
season looks for only 7 named tropical storms and only 3
hurricanes, about 40 % less than
average.
¶ An above -
average storm
season, with regard to the probability of major
hurricanes striking the mainland, is facing the US this year, a report from meteorologists at Colorado State University says.
Meanwhile in 2012, we've seen record Arctic ice loss, and the U.S. has faced two record heat waves, a record drought, an above -
average fire
season, and now, an «unprecedented»
hurricane.
During 1995 to 2004,
hurricane seasons averaged 13.6 tropical storms, 7.8
hurricanes and 3.8 major
hurricanes, and have an
average ACE index of 159 % of the median.
NCDC / NOAA Atlantic
Hurricane Season: The recent average (1997 - 2006) seasonal hurricane activity in the North Atlantic basin is 14.4 named storms, 7.8 hurricanes and 3.6 major hu
Hurricane Season: The recent
average (1997 - 2006) seasonal
hurricane activity in the North Atlantic basin is 14.4 named storms, 7.8 hurricanes and 3.6 major hu
hurricane activity in the North Atlantic basin is 14.4 named storms, 7.8
hurricanes and 3.6 major
hurricanes.
The figure above compares the
average track forecast errors in the Atlantic Ocean basin during the past six
hurricane seasons for the most reliable computer models available to the National Hurricane Center during thi
hurricane seasons for the most reliable computer models available to the National
Hurricane Center during thi
Hurricane Center during this period.
Residents of Caribbean islands and the coastal United States — including those still recovering from last year's storms — may need to brace themselves for another intense
hurricane season, as forecasts predict «above
average» Atlantic storm activity in 2018.
Specifically, the study found that» [d] uring much of last year's
hurricane season, sea - surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic between 10 and 20 degrees north... were a record 1.7 degrees F above the 1901 - 1970
average,» «global warming explained about 0.8 degrees F of this rise,» while» [a] ftereffects from the 2004 - 05 El Nino accounted for about 0.4 degrees F,» and a natural cycle in sea - surface temperatures «explained less than 0.2 degrees F of the rise.»
Forecasters are expecting a
hurricane season that is a bit more active than
average.
According to James Elsner, a
hurricane specialist at Florida State University, there are two key factors pointing to an above -
average likelihood that the U.S. will be hit by a
hurricane — possibly a major one — this
season.
The 2013 Atlantic
hurricane season starts Saturday, and scientists are warning that it is likely to be a doozy, with more storms than
average and more major
hurricanes (Category 3 intensity or stronger).
On
average, the U.S. has been hit by two
hurricanes per
season since an active period of tropical activity began in 1995, said Gerry Bell, NOAA's lead
hurricane seasonal forecaster, in an interview.