And that would be
the average level of volatility based on a market where just 20 % of all equity is indexed.
Assuming Morgan Stanley's long - term forecasts are met with
average levels of volatility, investors are looking at a much flatter efficient frontier.
Not exact matches
The four - week moving
average of initial claims, considered a better measure
of labor market trends as it irons out week - to - week
volatility, fell 1,250, to 231,250 last week, the lowest
level since March 31, 1973.
The short - term group
of averages, which reflects the way traders are thinking, shows a low
level of volatility.
Small caps (Russell 2000) and to a lesser extent Nikkei and EM equities in stocks all have below -
average vol and correlations today to S&P 500; makes index hedges cheaper, although the lower
level of realized
volatility means consensus is looking for an even better entry point to buy equity vol.»
While some people question whether VIX is too low, it is worth noting that the
average levels for Bloomberg's estimate
of A-T-M implied
volatility were 2.6 points lower than the VIX Index.
The S&P has not had huge moves over the past year, and with an
average SPX historic
volatility of 8.6, an
average VIX
level above 15 might be difficult to maintain.
Looking through the
volatility of the past few months, this measure appears to be consistent with its
average level of the inflation - targeting period.
As such, any spike in equity market realized
volatility, even to historical
average levels, has the potential to drive a significant amount
of equity selling (much
of it automated).
Both teams also agree that the «median price
of total existing homes» (
average house prices, excluding new builds) are likely to edge up, although there could be some
volatility that might see prices drop below — as well as rise above — current
levels.
While illiquid bonds had slightly higher credit spreads and directionally higher
average returns, portfolios that tilt toward (away from) less (more) liquid bonds exhibit considerably higher
levels of volatility.
It maintains an approximate normal distribution that accumulates to an
average 1.14 % monthly fair return over 600 months, but with a standard deviation
of 4.67 %, which is a high
level of short - term
volatility.