Sentences with phrase «average lower tropospheric»

I will bet Gavin Schmidt or any other author on this website $ 200 on LongBets.org that Michael Crichton's projections for temperature increases are more accurate than the IPCC, assuming that the temperature being projected is average lower tropospheric temperature as measured by satellites.

Not exact matches

However, satellite observations are notably cooler in the lower troposphere than predicted by climate models, and the research team in their paper acknowledge this, remarking: «One area of concern is that on average... simulations underestimate the observed lower stratospheric cooling and overestimate tropospheric warming... These differences must be due to some combination of errors in model forcings, model response errors, residual observational inhomogeneities, and an unusual manifestation of natural internal variability in the observations.»

On your further claim that the RSS data is consistent with the models, please provide us with GISS plots of the tropospheric and lower stratospheric layer average temperature data trends (corresponding to their weighting functions TLS; TTS; TMT and TLT).

One estimate of that error for the MSU 2 product (a weighted average of tropospheric + lower stratospheric trends) is that two different groups (UAH and RSS) come up with a range of tropical trends of 0.048 to 0.133 °C / decade — a much larger difference than the simple uncertainty in the trend.

Would average tropospheric temperatures be higher or lower than current in the absence of radiative gases?

Tropospheric waves (purple line) entering the lower stratosphere throughout winter 2017/18 compared to the 1980 - 2017 maximum, average, and minimum (gray lines).

Perhaps you could have a go at the more basic question — Would average tropospheric temperatures be higher or lower than current in the absence of radiative gases?

The tropospheric satellite data doesn't have the resolution to show a so - called hotspot, the lower troposphere measurement is an average from ground level to an altitude of 10 km.

I can buy that increasing CO2 and black carbon and methane and tropospheric ozone may have contributed about half the warming in the last 60 years, especially if you use as a start year the average of the five years on each side of 1951, a conveniently low temperature year in that decade.