Sentences with phrase «average model expectation»

So it shouldn't be used to rule out whether or not a particular observed value is consistent with model expectations, but does give you some guidance as to just how far from the average model expectation the current trend lies (a cherry picker is not usually worried about the finer details of the former, but, instead, the coarser picture presented by the latter).

Bear in mind that red line only represents the average model expectation, not the range of model variability.

Not exact matches

A sample of 36 Great Expectation model elementary schools were matched with 556 Oklahoma non-Great Expectations elementary schools based on the following variables: ethnicity, free and reduced lunch eligibility, school size, average number of days students absent, percent of parents attending conferences, percent of teachers with advanced degrees, percent passing third grade reading test, district population size, unemployment rate, average household income, teachers per administrator, percent of student's in special education, instructional support budget, and district percent passing Algebra I. Five years of pass rates on third grade reading and third grade math state exams were examined.

Instead of plotting individual year datapoints for observed temperatures, plotted 3 - year (36 - month averages ending in December): this reflects an expectation that models can't predict accurately every annual period, but over longer 3 - year periods the model and observation trends should better match.

The current version of the figure gives the impression that the IPCC expected temperature to warm continuously year on year, which of course was not the expectation — the projections shown here are just the long - term trend either from averaging the GCMs or using simple climate models.

In other words, over the past third of a century — the period with the greatest amount of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions — the behavior of the real world (i.e., reality) falls far below the average expectation of climate models and, in fact, is clearly

Arctic sea - ice has melted far beyond the expectations of climate models - about 40 percent greater than the average projection from the 2007 IPCC Report.

Averaged over the globe, this albedo decrease corresponds to a forcing that is 25 % as large as that due to the change in CO2 during this period, considerably larger than expectations from models and other less direct recent estimates.