Sentences with phrase «average of all models»

Generally averages of all models are used so the variability between them becomes less obvious.

Secondly, the eyeball average of the model outputs does not fall particularly close to the endpoint of the temperature record.

True, but that's also true of the models; the comparison I posted — well, tried to post — is between the RSS TMT v4, 0 and a weighted average of the model temperatures in 17 different layers of the atmosphere, several of which lie in the stratosphere.

Indefinite time scales, natural contributions, many adjustable parameters, uncertain response to CO2, averaging of model outputs, non linearity, chaos and the absence of successful predictions are all reasons to continue to challenge the present models.

The degree to which the models» A deviates from the observed A can be used to derive weights for the models to compute a weighted average of the models» response B (Brient and Schneider 2016).

The changes shown in these maps compare an average of the model projections to the average temperature and precipitation benchmarks observed from 1971 - 2000.

In other words, the Santa Fe Mild Hybrid equipped with the 1.7 diesel mild hybrid system can deliver 200 hp, like using the current 2.2 diesel and a fuel economy benefit of about 20 % better than the average of the model.

In other words, the Santa Fe Mild Hybrid equipped with the 1.7 diesel mild hybrid system will deliver 200 hp, like using the current 2.2 diesel and a fuel economy benefit of about 20 % better than the average of the model.

This time global annual SAT surged again but only enough to equal the average of the model ensemble.

However, the variations in the averages of the model GMT values are quite wide, and indeed, are larger than the changes seen over the last century, and so whether this matters needs to be assessed.

These small alterations are taken into account in climate models, with the average of all models (i.e. an ensemble forecast, a term you should know well as a former meteorologist), scientists (like those at the IPCC) can arrive at a sensible estimate of what we are likely to experience in the future.

They can plot nothing but the average of the model runs because anything else would be made up by them, which doesn't sound scientific.

Figure 3 shows AAOD from AERONET, OMI and from the average of the models.

At present this output is an average of all model points at 2m height on a 0.5 degree grid over the most northerly part of the Arctic, above 80N.

Despite the fact that an average of models may or may not be physically realistic, the fact that their average and error bars all run so much higher than observation, and are so statistically significant, should not be overlooked with a hand wave.

This internal variability has had a cooling effect on recent surface temperatures (though not of overall global temperatures) which is not captured in the average of the model simulations.

The average of the models does overestimate the observed surface warming over the past decade.

By contrast, if you averaged observations over several years and matched that to the average of the model over the same years, and used that to determine the value of A, you would likely discover that the value of A did not change much if you chose different periods (near the start of the comparison).

The temperature lines represent the average of the model's estimates.

The US government's social cost of carbon estimates include four values, three of which are based on the average of the models used in the calculations, but vary depending on the discount rate use; 2.5 %, 3.0 %, or 5.0 %.

It shows the 5th and 95th percentile of model runs in light grey, and the 25th to 75th percentile in dark grey, with a black line representing the average of all models.