Has anyone tried modeling the pole as a circular disc using the temperature at the center as a measure of
average polar temperature, borrowing an idea from harmonic analysis (Average Value Theorem)?
Not exact matches
Since it's in a
polar desert where the
average temperature is minus 3.46 degrees Fahrenheit (minus 19.7 degrees Celsius), precipitation can't explain the cascade, gushing through the Arctic permafrost at nearly 137 gallons per second.
Yet the global
average temperature differences corresponding to these radically different climates were only about 5 degrees C in the tropics and 8 degrees C in
polar regions.
But within these long periods there have been abrupt climate changes, sometimes happening in the space of just a few decades, with variations of up to 10ºC in the
average temperature in the
polar regions caused by changes in the Atlantic ocean circulation.
The last decade has been one of the warmest on record for the
polar region, with 2007 summer
temperatures having risen 9 degrees Fahrenheit above
average in some areas.
Rising
polar temperatures caused the
average thickness of winter Arctic sea ice to decrease from about 12 feet to 6 feet between 1978 and 2008, and thinner ice melts more readily.
The researchers found that phytoplankton in
polar and temperate regions grow best at
temperatures higher than the
average annual
temperatures of the oceans in which they live.
And this one does graph trend lines for
polar stratospheric
temperature that on
average over recent years would correlate to the trend line for area for PSCs in the article being discussed:
Reconstructions of past Hothouse climates had shown that
temperatures had been around six degrees higher on
average, and higher still in
polar regions, with no
polar ice - caps and a temperate to subtropical fauna and flora, as evidenced by the fossil record in these areas.
Cause rising of the
average temperature of the Earth could lead to effect - the melting of
polar ices, soil desertification, and extinction of certain species of flora and fauna.
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are increasing its concentration in the atmosphere, raising
temperatures globally; the second GHG, water vapor, exists in equilibrium with water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the oceans cover so much of the planet, water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the atmosphere warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger
polar warming than the global
average; decreasing the
temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders increase the amplitude and duration of blocking highs, increasing drought and extreme
temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
[Response: They measure something different (MSU - TLT is a weighted
average of
temperatures reaching from the surface to 10 km, peaking at around ~ 4 km and with significant influence from surface type depending on elevation and
polar latitude).
Ten celsius (50F) works well because that
temperature seems to be too cool for equatorial regions and too warm for
polar regions in the mind of the
average viewer.
As far as this historic period is concerned, the reconstruction of past
temperatures based on deep boreholes in deep permafrost is one of the best past
temperature proxies we have (for the global regions with permafrost —
polar regions and mountainous regions)-- as a signal of
average temperatures it's even more accurate than historic direct measurements of the air
temperature, since the earth's upper crust acts as a near perfect conservator of past
temperatures — given that no water circulation takes place, which is precisely the case in permafrost where by definition the water is frozen.
And this one does graph trend lines for
polar stratospheric
temperature that on
average over recent years would correlate to the trend line for area for PSCs in the article being discussed:
Obtaining the globally
averaged temperature from weather station data has a well - known problem: there are some gaps in the data, especially in the
polar regions and in parts of Africa.
Temperatures in the tropics (especially daytime temperatures) are much higher than the global «average» so the absolute humidity must be higher as well — conversely, temperatures in the polar regions are much colder than glob
Temperatures in the tropics (especially daytime
temperatures) are much higher than the global «average» so the absolute humidity must be higher as well — conversely, temperatures in the polar regions are much colder than glob
temperatures) are much higher than the global «
average» so the absolute humidity must be higher as well — conversely,
temperatures in the polar regions are much colder than glob
temperatures in the
polar regions are much colder than global
averages.
If recent trends continue, the Arctic will be ice - free on January 30, 2018 at 6:04 AM, with
polar temperatures averaging -31 C. Ocean and Ice Services Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut
This southern
polar zone experienced
average monthly
temperatures as much as 8.7 above the global
average across a relatively broad zone.
On the other hand, the Arctic sea ice albedo reduction does contribute significantly to
polar amplification of globally
averaged temperature changes.
Tagged Amstrup,
average global
temperature, Bayesian models, BBC, climate change, Derocher, extinct, future climate, future population decline, global warming,
polar bear, sea ice declines, sea ice models
The global
average temperature calculations cover 97 - 98 percent of the earth's surface, excluding only the most extreme
polar latitudes.
If we ask, «Will the earths
average temperature melt all of the
polar ice» and all we know («normal science» knowing) is that the
average temp is between -273 and 100K, then we can not answer that question with scientific knowledge.
: Figure 18 - of change in the mean
temperature of summer (deviations from the
average), smoothed by 50 - year filter, and the dynamics of
polar timber line
Despite this natural variability - related switch pulling global
temperatures down, NASA shows a globe in which few regions experienced below -
average temperatures and where the highest concentration of record - warm
temperatures are centered near the northern
polar region.
«Research has suggested that
average temperatures may have risen by as much as 3C in some parts of the Antarctic over the past few decades,» said Rod Downie,
polar programme manager for the World Wide Fund for Nature.
In the latest attempt to cost the impact of rising carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere, and the continuous rise in global
average temperatures, all as a consequence of fossil fuel combustion and other human action, the economist Chris Hope of the University of Cambridge and the
polar expert Kevin Schaefer of the University of Colorado have turned their sights on the Arctic.
If the ocean
average temperature was 10 C, then definitionally, Earth's global climate would left it's icebox climate [which characterized as cold oceans and
polar caps] and Earth has been in icebox climate for millions of years.
The last time in Earth history when the global
average surface
temperature was as warm as the IPCC projects for 2100 in its mid-range scenarios, there was very little
polar ice and sea level would have been roughly 70 meters (over 200 feet) higher than at present.
The
polar coverage of GISTEMP arises mainly from the fact that GISTEMP allows each weather station to contribute to an area of radius 1200 km around the station - this distance was determined by examining how
temperature changes with distance in regions with good coverage (see Of
Averages and Anomalies - Part 1B).
Global
temperatures of 7C warmer would likely mean
polar temperatures were as much as 20C warmer on
average.
By 2100, they claim, the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration will double, causing the
average temperature on Earth to increase by 1.9 °C to 5.2 °C, and in the
polar region by more than 12 °C.
As the Earth's surface cools further, cold conditions spread to lower latitudes but
polar surface water and the deep ocean can not become much colder, and thus the benthic foraminifera record a
temperature change smaller than the global
average surface
temperature change [43].
The
polar regions are particularly sensitive to small rises in the annual
average temperature, they are sometimes referred to as «the canary in the coalmine» in that they show changes long before they can be seen elsewhere in the world.
Since CO2 is far higher now,
polar amplification should be higher, and permafrost should be subject to thawing at a lower
average world
temperature.
â $ œThe
polar regions are experiencing the most dramatic increase in
average temperatures due to global warmingâ $ only in computer models.
Averaging up polar and tropical values and then top it all off by averaging winter and summer temperatures to give a yearly average and a ranking is really quite mea
Averaging up
polar and tropical values and then top it all off by
averaging winter and summer temperatures to give a yearly average and a ranking is really quite mea
averaging winter and summer
temperatures to give a yearly
average and a ranking is really quite meaningless.