And thus far, it seems to be going swimmingly with
an average poll lead approaching 20 %, even before the campaign proper has hit its stride.
Not exact matches
April 30 - Strong compliance with OPEC -
led production cuts, robust demand and supply disruptions in the Middle East are likely to lift oil's
average price this year to above $ 67 a barrel, a Reuters
poll showed on Monday.
An
average of four major national
polls calculated by Real Clear Politics shows Trump
leads the GOP pack with 34.5 percent of support among likely Republican voters, while Cruz follows in second place with 19.3 percent.
Cain rode his 9 -9-9 plan to a
lead in the RCP national
polling average for about three weeks.
According to the Real Clear Politics
average of national
polls, Trump is far in the
lead with 35 percent.
This season, senior guard Frank Mason III has efficiently
averaged 20.3 PPG, 5.1 APG and 4.3 RPG while
leading the Kansas Jayhawks to a 21 - 3 record and the # 3 ranking in the latest AP Top 25
Poll.
Well at the start of January, Labour had an
average opinion
poll lead of around one point over the Tories.
Other final telephone
polls from ORB / Telegraph, Survation and ComRes have also put Remain in the
lead, with an
average of 53 per cent, while
polls conducted online have suggested a closer result.
The
average lead across the most recent
poll from each pollster within the last two weeks is now 15 points.
But the
average of the final
polls in 2015 had Labour a couple of points higher than Labour are now, and the eventual Conservative
lead in 2015 was 7 points bigger than it was in the final
polls.
Ms. Clinton, a former New York senator,
leads Mr. Sanders by an
average of about 13 points in the
polls.
Taking the most recent
poll published by each pollster in the last week, we calculate the proportion showing a Conservative
lead over Labour of more than 6 points as the pseudo-probability of a Conservative majority, but we allow
polls with exactly a 6 point
lead to contribute a 0.5 to the
average.
For
polls conducted in the past week, on
average the Conservatives still had a large, 14 - point
lead amongst men, but only a small, 4 - point
lead amongst women.
Of course, all
polls are subject to a margin of error so with our
polls showing a Labour
lead of around 5 points on
average, these figures aren't necessarily any more meaningful than the narrow 2 point Labour
lead one of our
polls recorded this week.
Our
polling averages following the latest YouGov and TNS
polls: Tories
lead by eleven points.
The graph below shows the public's net expectations for the economy in 6 months time, from TNS's monthly survey for Nationwide (in blue), compared to Labour's
average lead in the
polls over the last 18 months or so (in red).
Recent
polls have shown Labour's
lead over the Tories narrow to just one percentage point, on
average.
A seven per cent Labour
lead in September 2007 had, by December of that year, turned into an
average Conservative monthly
poll lead of almost 9 per cent.
More reassuringly for Labour HQ, YouGov's monthly
averages for the past year plus an
average of the last 15
polls for June showed the party was increasing the
lead.
The
average position in the national
polls when this fieldwork was being done (10th September — 3rd October) was a 3.6 % Labour
lead, so once again the difference between the swing in the marginal seats and the swing in the national
polls is tiny.
The
average swing across the twelve seats
polled was 4.5 % from Con to Lab — the equivalent of a two point Labour
lead in the national
polls.
The
average swing across the eleven seats
polled was 5 %, the equivalent of a 3 % Labour
lead in national
polls.
The
average swing across these seats was 6 points from Con to Lab, the equivalent of a 5 point Labour
lead in the national
polls.
The
average Labour
lead in the national
polls at the time the fieldwork was done was also two points, so once again the Ashcroft
polling is suggesting that in Con - v - Lab marginals the swing is very much in line with national
polling.
During that period the
average Labour
lead in the national
polls was about 3.5 points: that's the equivalent of a uniform swing of 5.25 %.
There was a single Survation
poll straight after the referendum result that had the Conservatives and Labour equal, but an ICM
poll conducted at the same time had a Tory
lead of four points and the
average position at the time was a Tory
lead of about three points.
Now, Clinton
leads Trump by 5.8, according to
poll averages.
In 2010 there was an
average Conservative
lead of 4 points across these seats, while in today's
poll ComRes found a 3 point Labour
lead.
New Castle County Executive Chris Coons won the Democratic nomination, marketing consultant Christine O'Donnell upset Castle to win the GOP nod, and now Coons is
leading by more than 17 points in the Real Clear Politics
polling average.
While Bernie Sanders is currently a clear underdog, there was no clear frontrunner in the race between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton heading into Feb. 5, and the final
polls showed Clinton up by an
average of about 17 points, a
lead that's fairly similar to that being reached by most
polls on this year's race.
Tonight's YouGov
poll has topline figures of CON 40 %, LAB 39 %, LDEM 9 % — a Tory
lead but still in line with the recent
average of a small Labour
lead of a point or so.
In recent
polling of 12 battleground states, generic Republican Senate candidates
lead in seven states by an
average of 6.3 percent.
They do not want to risk the Tories» strong position in the opinion
polls - with the latest ConservativeHome
poll of
polls giving the party an 8.4 %
average lead.
In comparison, the
average YouGov
lead in the week before the Autumn Statement was 8 while the November's ICM
poll also had Labour 8 points up.
Clinton has a modest 54 - 41 percent edge among early voters in an
average of the three most recent tracking
poll waves, while Trump
leads by a 50 - 39 percent margin among those looking to vote on Election Day; those who anticipate voting early are more evenly split.