Sentences with phrase «average probability of»

I think (please don't ask me to defend this statement) that the Scandinavians and the New Zealanders have a higher than average probability of surviving this climate change reasonably.

During these severe sector bear markets, I ran industry screens searching for companies that had an above average probability of surviving their industry's recession.

Participants were then told the actual average probability of each before repeating the exercise.

In other words, the probability of death from cancer among astronauts should be no more than 3 percent above the average probability of death from cancer among the general population in the United States.

A group of international security experts polled by Senator Richard Lugar puts the average probability of a nuclear attack on U.S. soil within a decade at around 29 percent, still plenty terrifying.

Men employed in jobs with an average probability of being sexual harassed are paid 50 cents per hour more than men employed in jobs with no risk of harassment.

The author of this study, Joni Hersch, finds that after controlling for other factors that determine wages, women employed in jobs with an average probability of being sexual harassed are paid a compensating differential of 25 cents per hour relative to women employed in jobs with no risk of sexual harassment.

Not exact matches

On average, 65.3 % of respondents who assigned a non-zero probability of coming up with $ 2,000 said that they would likely get that money from their own savings.

Bar 3 - Opening reversal up from moving average, possible low of day, but low probability so swing or wait, but consecutive bear bars, better to wait for a strong bull breakout, or more buying pressure and second entry buy

[16:00] Pain + reflection = progress [16:30] Creating a meritocracy to draw the best out of everybody [18:30] How to raise your probability of being right [18:50] Why we are conditioned to need to be right [19:30] The neuroscience factor [19:50] The habitual and environmental factor [20:20] How to get to the other side [21:20] Great collective decision - making [21:50] The 5 things you need to be successful [21:55] Create audacious goals [22:15] Why you need problems [22:25] Diagnose the problems to determine the root causes [22:50] Determine the design for what you will do about the root causes [23:00] Decide to work with people who are strong where you are weak [23:15] Push through to results [23:20] The loop of success [24:15] Ray's new instinctual approach to failure [24:40] Tony's ritual after every event [25:30] The review that changed Ray's outlook on leadership [27:30] Creating new policies based on fairness and truth [28:00] What people are missing about Ray's culture [29:30] Creating meaningful work and meaningful relationships [30:15] The importance of radical honesty [30:50] Thoughtful disagreement [32:10] Why it was the relationships that changed Ray's life [33:10] Ray's biggest weakness and how he overcame it [34:30] The jungle metaphor [36:00] The dot collector — deciding what to listen to [40:15] The wanting of meritocratic decision - making [41:40] How to see bubbles and busts [42:40] Productivity [43:00] Where we are in the cycle [43:40] What the Fed will do [44:05] We are late in the long - term debt cycle [44:30] Long - term debt is going to be squeezing us [45:00] We have 2 economies [45:30] This year is very similar to 1937 [46:10] The top tenth of the top 1 % of wealth = bottom 90 % combined [46:25] How this creates populism [47:00] The economy for the bottom 60 % isn't growing [48:20] If you look at averages, the country is in a bind [49:10] What are the overarching principles that bind us together?

That's not to say that 2006 is destined to remain in this particularly negative Climate, but here and now, there's little to suggest the probability of above average returns until the evidence changes.

Whilst we can't know the future of course, for financial planning purposes the probability is that life expectancy on average will increase in the future as medicine advances to cure or limit the big killers (cancer, cardiovascular disease etc).

As Bill Hester recently observed, the current level of economic activity has had a much higher probability of being recessionary in periods when the S&P 500 was also weak — for example, below its level of 6 months earlier, or below its 12 - month moving average.

Fred sent me this link before what seemed like a weekend during which I could finally relax after months of hard work with our house renovations... 83 % probabilities with an average positive return of 60 % vs — 6 % average negative return after 12 months!

While the Moving Average is holding there is very high probability of the uptrend continuation.

Because the average life expectancy of males, females, and married couples is 82, 85, and 89, respectively, and the probability that one member of a married couple will live to age 95 is 18 percent for the average American, it is reasonable to anticipate that replacing static retirement periods with survival probabilities will provide evidence of even greater consumption gaps (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2010).

Just some real data from wikipedia: «The likelihood of a woman having an abortion is called the abortion index, with the value of 1.0 as signed to a probability equal to a population's average.

In 1998, however, a meta - analysis in Psychological Bulletin found that most victims of pedophilia turned out only «slightly less well adjusted» than the average adult, with the probability of maladjustment being influenced by the degree of physical force or coercion present in pedophilic encounters.

Isn't it more likely that these kinds of things just form the ends of the probability curve, and that the vast majority of things that happen in the world are just «average»?

Since the probability for any one of these prophecies having been fulfilled by chance averages less than one in ten (figured very conservatively) and since the prophecies are for the most part independent of one another, the odds for all these prophecies having been fulfilled by chance without error is less than one in 102000 (that is 1 with 2000 zeros written after it)!

WORLD: Sorry once again, but science does not know everything or the quantum part would be figured out in finite terms rather than probabilities that's sound like we spent millions of dollars to get answers like «but teacher I was almost right, let me try some more»... and pre-big bang theories would be figured out and not quite as fantastical and humorous as they sound to average person.

The irritating thing is that given past averages, there's a 4 to 1 probability of a 5.0 to 5.9 earthquake or 1 to 3 odds of a 6.0 to 6.9 earthquake occurring anywhere in the world.

In some recent research, Valerie Belu and I show that compared to regular elections (defined as elections which occur within 6 months of the end of a parliamentary term), strategically timed opportunistic elections have allowed governing parties to realize an average vote - share bonus of just under 6 percent and seat - share bonuses of 12 percent, doubling the probability that the Prime Minister survives in office -LRB-.80 versus.40).

For the probability of a Conservative majority we give an average of the implied probability from sites offering this market.

With other factors constant, the authors found that Internet users had an average predicted probability of depression of.07, whereas that probability for nonusers was.105.

«Despite provisional licence holders in this study averaging a driving experience of more than two years, the detrimental effects of mobile phone distraction showed P - plate drivers had an increased probability of failing to detect a pedestrian.»

The troubling probabilities of quantum mechanics, Bohm posited, sprang from averaging over the real - but - hidden variables.

National security experts said climate forecasters often focus on averages, or the most likely scenario, without determining the probability of an extreme climate shift

Both female and male intake of sugar - sweetened beverages was associated with 20 percent reduced fecundability, the average monthly probability of conception.

Late - term infants outperformed full - term infants in all three cognitive dimensions (higher average test scores in elementary and middle school, a 2.8 percent higher probability of being gifted, and a 3.1 percent reduced probability of poor cognitive outcomes) compared to full - term infants.

«Then, if the flash rate suddenly jumps to at least twice the standard deviation of that running average, there is a high probability the updraft in that cell has strengthened, a supercell is forming and severe weather is more likely with that storm.»

Even with more beetles munching on them, an increase of 2 °C — the current target cap for global warming — bumps the average mosquito's probability of survival into adulthood by 53 %.

We use the laws of probability, which I also love; all those neutrinos are going through the Earth on average without knowing it was there, but the laws of probability tell us that every now and then one should interact.

On average, compared to women with lower concentrations of these metabolites, women with higher concentrations had a 10 % reduced probability of successful fertilization, 31 % reduced probability of implantation of the embryo, and a 41 % and 38 % decrease in clinical pregnancy (fetal heartbeat confirmed by ultrasound) and live birth.

If that climate scenario is combined with habitat restoration efforts, particularly those aimed at connecting habitats that have been fragmented by human activity, the average population has a much higher probability of survival — about 50 %.

The presence of the countdown timer increased the probability that a driver in the dilemma zone would stop by an average of just over 13 percent and decreased deceleration rates by an average of 1.50 feet per second.

Released in 2013, the meta - analysis found, on average, inmates who participated in correctional education programs had a 13 percentage point reduction in their probability of returning to prison.

Probability of positive or negative trends averaged across regions 4MDA8 (ppb / yr) for 2000 — 2014.

«If we assume that a person has an average follicular density of 27 follicles per cm2 (for instance, on areas such as the arms and thighs), an active area of 2 — 6 mm2 maximizes the probability of hitting a single follicle in a randomly positioned, untargeted measurement,» say the researchers.

Probability of positive or negative trends averaged across regions SOMO35 (ppb day / yr) for 2000 — 2014.

Third, using a «semi-empirical» statistical model calibrated to the relationship between temperature and global sea - level change over the last 2000 years, we find that, in alternative histories in which the 20th century did not exceed the average temperature over 500-1800 CE, global sea - level rise in the 20th century would (with > 95 % probability) have been less than 51 % of its observed value.

The outcome of a given division is unpredictable, but in homeostasis the probabilities of producing two progenitor and two differentiating daughters are the same, so that on average, equal numbers of progenitors and differentiating cells are produced across whole population of progenitors.

The model averaged estimate of survival probability of adults was 0.83 (SE + − 0.08), and that of the individuals marked when young were 0.83 (SE + − 0.15) and 0.77 (SE + − 0.2) respectively, before and after the age of 2 years (Table 4).

«It is thus extremely likely (> 95 % probability) that the greenhouse gas induced warming since the mid-twentieth century was larger than the observed rise in global average temperatures, and extremely likely that anthropogenic forcings were by far the dominant cause of warming.

Red indicates regions of North America for which a statistical analysis using two climate models indicated there is a 97.5 percent probability that average temperatures will rise by at least 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2070.

Learners self assess their own ability and confidence in each individual subject at the beginning at at the end of the booklet and includes a full glossary: Topics included are: Understanding Number Rounding and Estimating Averages Fractions Decimals and Percentages Money and time Ratio, Scale and Proportion Units of measure 2d and 3d shapes and Angles Perimeter, Area and Volume Data handling and graphs Probability

Topics covered include: INDICES, ANGLES, POINTS / LINES, ANGLES IN POLYGONS, PERCENTAGES, SIMPLIFYING, Y = MX + C, COMPLETING THE SQUARE, BRACKETS / QUADRATICS, SEQUENCES, TIME, RATIO, SOLVING EQUATIONS, FRACTIONS OF AMOUNTS, AVERAGES, FREQUENCY TABLES, PYTHAGORAS, TRIGONOMETRY, PROBABILITY, CIRCLES AND PI, AREA AND VOLUME, SPHERES / HEMISPHERES.

Indeed, all of the demographic characteristics considered in our report, as well as the lack of pre-primary education, increase the probability of low performance by a larger margin among disadvantaged than among advantaged students, on average across OECD countries.

Specifically, teachers who were one standard deviation less effective (equivalent to the difference between a teacher at the 35th percentile and an average teacher) were associated with a 7.1 percentage point increase in the probability of dismissal.

Existing research suggests that these aims are being met, with pupils at schools that substantially increased their EBacc rates showing higher average attainment in GCSE English and maths and lower probabilities of leaving education after the age of 16.