Average sea ice extent for July 2011 was 3.06 million square miles, 81,000 square miles lower than the previous record low, set in July 2007.
The average sea ice extent for the month of September was 4.28 million square kilometers (1.65 million square miles), the lowest September on record, shattering the previous record for the month, set in 2005, by 23 percent (see Figure 1).
Figure 1: This image compares
the average sea ice extent for September 2007 to September 2005; the magenta line indicates the long - term median from 1979 to 2000.
Not exact matches
We have much better — and more conclusive — evidence
for climate change from more boring sources like global temperature
averages, or the
extent of global
sea ice, or thousands of years» worth of C02 levels stored frozen in
ice cores.
Substantial reductions in the
extent of Arctic
sea ice since 1978 (2.7 ± 0.6 percent per decade in the annual
average, 7.4 ± 2.4 percent per decade
for summer), increases in permafrost temperatures and reductions in glacial
extent globally and in Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets have also been observed in recent decades.
Antarctic: On the opposite pole, the Antarctic
sea ice extent for August was 7.41 million square miles, 420,000 square miles (6.0 percent) above the 1981 - 2010
average.
Arctic: The
average Arctic
sea ice extent for August was 2.40 million square miles, 390,000 square miles (13.9 percent) below the 1981 - 2010 average and the seventh smallest August extent since records began in 1979 but the largest since 2009, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Cent
ice extent for August was 2.40 million square miles, 390,000 square miles (13.9 percent) below the 1981 - 2010
average and the seventh smallest August
extent since records began in 1979 but the largest since 2009, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Cent
Ice Data Center.
But over the past decades, the melt season has grown longer and the
average extent of Arctic
sea ice has diminished, changing the game
for many Arctic marine mammals — namely beluga, narwhal and bowhead whales; ringed, bearded, spotted, ribbon, harp and hooded seals; walruses; and polar bears.
A composite image shows how the
extent of Arctic
sea ice in September 2016 compared with a 30 - year
average for the month (yellow line).
Though slightly larger than last year, the minimum
sea ice extent 2017 is
average for the past ten years and far below the numbers from 1979 to 2006.
Through satellite images, researchers have observed a steep decline in the
average extent of Arctic
sea ice for every month of the year.
The Antarctic
sea ice extent for June was 40,000 square miles below the 1981 — 2010
average.
Arctic
sea ice extent for February 2018
averaged 13.95 million square kilometers (5.39 million square miles).
Arctic
sea ice extent was below normal
for the 11th consecutive April this year, covering an
average of 5.7 million square miles (14.7 million square kilometers) 2.1 percent below the 1979 - 2000
average extent and the 15th smallest April
extent since records began in 1979.
The NSIDC announced on Monday that Arctic
sea ice hit its maximum
extent for the winter on March 24, when it
averaged 5.607 million square miles.
Current predictions [5], [6] suggest that trends in
sea ice extent will alter in the second half of this century and that the annual
average sea ice extent will diminish by 33 %; most of this retreat is expected to occur in winter and spring [5], [6], with attendant risks
for emperor penguins.
The
average Arctic
sea ice extent for November 2016 was 750,000 square miles (17.7 percent) below the 1981 — 2010 average, according to analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NA
ice extent for November 2016 was 750,000 square miles (17.7 percent) below the 1981 — 2010
average, according to analysis by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NA
Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NASA.
The
average Arctic
sea ice extent for October 2016 was 980,000 square miles (28.5 percent) below the 1981 — 2010 average, according to analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NA
ice extent for October 2016 was 980,000 square miles (28.5 percent) below the 1981 — 2010
average, according to analysis by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NA
Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NASA.
The
average Arctic
sea ice extent for December was 4.67 million square miles, according to analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center based on data from NOAA and NA
ice extent for December was 4.67 million square miles, according to analysis by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center based on data from NOAA and NA
Ice Data Center based on data from NOAA and NASA.
There was a USGS 2010 paper by D Douglas that predicted «
For the Bering
Sea, median March
ice extent is projected to be about 25 percent less than the 1979 — 1988
average by mid-century and 60 percent less by the end of the century» But if Bering
ice is driven by the PDO I suspect that prediction will fail.
If you plot the
average Arctic
Sea Ice extent for 20 years, the you should also plot the monthly maximum and minimum values on the same figure so that we can get some perspective on where the 2007 and 2008 data falls in the context of annual variability, or examine
for trends.
There was a USGS 2010 paper by D Douglas that predicted «
For the Bering
Sea, median March
ice extent is projected to be about 25 percent less than the 1979 — 1988
average by mid-century and 60 percent less by the end of the century» But if Bering
ice is d»
The graph below (high - resolution copy) shows the range of the forecasts
for early September, the point when the
sea ice typically reaches its minimum
extent, compared to recent years and the
average over the period of precise satellite measurement.
Global Weather Climate Logistics, 5.55, Statistical (same as June) Our forecast
for average September 2015
sea ice extent is 5.55 million sq. km.
(08/10/2011)
Average Arctic
sea ice extent hit a new record low for July according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSID
ice extent hit a new record low
for July according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSID
Ice Data Center (NSIDC).
Why, because the current
sea ice extent is already lower than the
average minimum
for the decade of the 90s?
As of September 5,
sea ice extent remains below average everywhere except for a small area within the Laptev S
sea ice extent remains below
average everywhere except
for a small area within the Laptev
SeaSea.
bozzza @ 424,
For one theory see: http://forum.arctic-
sea-
ice.net/index.php/topic,724.msg60178.html#msg60178 I believe that the current downward fluctuation in Antarctic
Sea Ice Extent if likely associated with the influence of our currently strong El Nino on the
average location of the Amundsen Bellingshausen
Sea Low.
In both the Arctic and the Antarctic «natural causes» (the seasons) are responsible
for the seasonal decrease / increase in
sea ice extent, which are, of course, much larger than the
average annual change.
; North Pole Cam 1 & 2; Arctic
Sea Ice Extent Averaging Below 2007 Anomaly; Paleoclimate Implications for Human - Made Climate Change; UN Security Council Addresses Considers Global Security and Climate Change; New study details glacier ice loss following ice shelf collapse; Climate Change To Spawn More Wildfires; Gingrich Says 2006 Climate Change Ad He Starred In Was «Misconstrued&raq
Ice Extent Averaging Below 2007 Anomaly; Paleoclimate Implications
for Human - Made Climate Change; UN Security Council Addresses Considers Global Security and Climate Change; New study details glacier
ice loss following ice shelf collapse; Climate Change To Spawn More Wildfires; Gingrich Says 2006 Climate Change Ad He Starred In Was «Misconstrued&raq
ice loss following
ice shelf collapse; Climate Change To Spawn More Wildfires; Gingrich Says 2006 Climate Change Ad He Starred In Was «Misconstrued&raq
ice shelf collapse; Climate Change To Spawn More Wildfires; Gingrich Says 2006 Climate Change Ad He Starred In Was «Misconstrued»
NSIDC 5 day
averaged Arctic
sea ice extent has been at a record low level
for the date
for quite a while:
What is also stunning are
sea -
ice daily
extent figures
averaging ice loss of more than 100,000 square kilometres per day
for the last four days.
For the month of November, the Arctic sea ice extent averaged 9.08 million square kilometers, which is 1.95 million square kilometers below the recorded 1981 to 2010 long - term average for the said mon
For the month of November, the Arctic
sea ice extent averaged 9.08 million square kilometers, which is 1.95 million square kilometers below the recorded 1981 to 2010 long - term
average for the said mon
for the said month.
The figure below shows the
average Arctic
sea ice extent for each week of the year
for every year between 1978 and 2017.
Last winter,
sea ice extent was on the low side, but the melting trajectory looks pretty
average for the decade of the 2000's.
The
average Arctic
sea ice extent for December was 4.67 million square miles, according to analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center based on data from NOAA and NA
ice extent for December was 4.67 million square miles, according to analysis by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center based on data from NOAA and NA
Ice Data Center based on data from NOAA and NASA.
Arctic
sea ice extent June 1 — October 1
for 2007, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 1981 - 2010
average (+ / - 2 st. dev.
However, the pace of decline returned to near -
average rates by July, and the end - of - summer minimum
sea ice extent, recorded on September 10, eventually tied
for second lowest with 2007 (2012 remains the lowest in the satellite time series by more than 600,000 square kilometers or 232,000 square miles).
Stern: My estimate
for September
average sea ice extent (4.67 million square kilometers) was simply based on extrapolation of the 10 - year trend (1989 - 2008).
The
average arctic
sea ice monthly extent for September 2012 was the lowest observed in the satellite era at 3.6 million square kilometers, based on National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) estimates — 50 % lower than the 1979 - 2000 average of 7.0 million square kilomete
ice monthly
extent for September 2012 was the lowest observed in the satellite era at 3.6 million square kilometers, based on National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) estimates — 50 % lower than the 1979 - 2000 average of 7.0 million square kilomete
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) estimates — 50 % lower than the 1979 - 2000
average of 7.0 million square kilometers.
Daily
sea ice extent timeseries
for April through September
for 2015 (light blue, through 17 August), 2012 (dashed green), and the 1981 - 2010
average (black) and standard deviation (gray).
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory [GFDL] NOAA (Msadek et al), 5.07 (4.69 - 5.63), Modeling Our prediction
for the September -
averaged Arctic
sea ice extent is 5.07 million square kilometers, with an uncertainty range going between 4.69 and 5.63 million square kilometers.
Thus, when
sea ice is retreating or advancing at a high rate over the course of the month, as was the case for December 2016, the Sea Ice Index monthly average can yield a larger extent than from simply averaging daily extent valu
sea ice is retreating or advancing at a high rate over the course of the month, as was the case for December 2016, the Sea Ice Index monthly average can yield a larger extent than from simply averaging daily extent valu
ice is retreating or advancing at a high rate over the course of the month, as was the case
for December 2016, the
Sea Ice Index monthly average can yield a larger extent than from simply averaging daily extent valu
Sea Ice Index monthly average can yield a larger extent than from simply averaging daily extent valu
Ice Index monthly
average can yield a larger
extent than from simply
averaging daily
extent values.
GFDL NOAA (Msadek et al.), 4.82 (4.33 - 5.23), Modeling Our prediction
for the September -
averaged Arctic
sea ice extent is 4.82 million square kilometers, with an uncertainty range going between 4.33 and 5.23 million km2 Our estimate is based on the GFDL CM2.1 ensemble forecast system in which both the ocean and atmosphere are initialized on August 1 using a coupled data assimilation system.
«Arctic minimum
sea ice extent at the end of summer was tied with 2007
for the second - lowest amount during the satellite record starting in 1979, at 33 percent below the long - term
average.»
NSIDC 5 day
averaged Antarctic
sea ice extent is now at a record low level
for the date, since satellite measurements began in 1979:
Also in January, the Arctic
averaged a stunning 13.5 degrees Fahrenheit above
average temperatures, which led to a new record low of Arctic
sea ice extent for the month.
Arctic
sea ice is now 28 % beneath its historic
average extent, setting a record low
for October.
To be consistent with the validating
sea ice extent index from NSIDC, if possible, please first compute the
average sea ice concentration
for the month and then compute the
extent as the sum of cell areas > 15 %.
If your method predicts
sea ice extent (SIE) directly,
average it in time and across ensemble members, if you have them,
for September (giving values between 0 and 100 % inclusive).