So why is it that overall during El Nino events global
average sea level goes up and during La Nina event sea level goes down?
Not exact matches
Going back even further to the age of the dinosaurs, life flourished in a time of high CO2 and generally warm
average temperatures with high
sea levels.
If countries instead abide by the pledges to cut carbon emissions after 2020 that they each made voluntarily ahead of the Paris climate summit, the
average temperature will likely
go up by at least two degrees Celsius, a less - than - catastrophic situation that could «still destroy most coral reefs and glaciers and melt significant parts of the Greenland ice cap, bringing major rises in
sea levels,» according to The Guardian.
The resolution is clearly not
going to be that great and we can expect short periods during which the
sea level will fall a bit, like during the Little Ice Age, and subsequently, periods in which the
sea level rises a bit faster than «
average,» like the period following the Little Ice Age.
9000000 km ^ 2 Arctic
sea ice melt spring — summer 1.8 e +13 m ^ 3 at a 2m
average thickness — this is generous — see http://psc.apl.washington.edu/ArcticSeaiceVolume/IceVolume.php 917 kg / m ^ 3 for ice 1.6506 e +16 kg / year 5.513004 e +21 joules 0.143 percent
going into ice melt spring — summer; BUT, a roughly equal amount comes back out during the refreeze in the fall — winter; and since it's floating, it doesn't effect
sea level.
The exact speed with which these are
going to contribute to
sea level rise is highly uncertain, the synthesis report says, but the best scientific estimate — based on observed correlation between global
average temperatures and
sea level rise over the past 120 years — shows that by 2100 we will experience
sea level rise of one meter or more.
I can't begin to imagine what a frank, honest, apolitical climate scientist or physicist would have to say about all the assumptions and statistical legerdemain that
goes into coming up with such precise «measurements» of global
average sea level.
Anyway, on the other hand, if CO2 keeps
going up, and global
average temperature keeps
going up, and say, 30 % of humanity is killed off by monster typhoons, floods, fires, droughts,
sea level rise, etc, in the next 20 years, I'll be more amenable to your point of view:)