Although the IPCC climate models have performed remarkably well in projecting average global surface temperature warming thus far, Rahmstorf et al. (2012) found that the IPCC underestimated global
average sea level rise since 1993 by 60 %.
Not exact matches
Global
average sea level has
risen by roughly 0.11 inch (3 millimeters) per year
since 1993 due to a combination of water expanding as it warms and melting ice sheets.
Sea level has been
rising about 3 millimeters per year, on
average,
since 1993, according to data gathered by space - based radar altimeters.
Dr John Church of the Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research added: «The most recent research showed that
sea level is
rising by 3 mm a year
since 1993, a rate well above the 20th century
average.»
The increase in these winds has caused eastern tropical Pacific cooling, amplified the Californian drought, accelerated
sea level rise three times faster than the global
average in the Western Pacific and has slowed the
rise of global
average surface temperatures
since 2001.
According to this, the recent rate of
sea level rise is greater than its
average value
since 1930.
This decade - long satellite altimetry data set shows that
since 1993,
sea level has been
rising at a rate of around 3 mm yr — 1, significantly higher than the
average during the previous half century.
Since 1850, CO2
levels rose, as did the «globally and annually
averaged land and
sea surface temperature anomaly» (for what it's worth), but nobody knows whether or not the increase in CO2 had anything whatsoever to do with the warming.
The recent rate of
sea level rise is greater than its
average value
since 1930.
Since sea level rise is variable, some locations getting more than the global
average and getting less, it's entirely possible both have to be considered.
In fact,
since then, greenhouse gas emissions have continued to
rise, and accordingly global
average temperatures have steadily increased, along with
sea levels.
Climate scientists have been able to close the
sea level «budget» by accounting for the various factors that are causing
average global
sea levels to
rise at the measured rate of about 3.2 millimeters per year
since 1992 (when altimeters were launched into space to truly measure global
sea level).
The global
average sea level has already
risen by about eight inches
since 1901, with up to another two and a half feet of
sea level rise possible by 2100, according to the most recent projections from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
It notes that: 80 % of carbon dioxide emissions come from only 19 countries; the amount of carbon dioxide per US$ 1 GDP has dropped by 23 %
since 1992, indicating some decoupling of economic growth from resource use; nearly all mountain glaciers around the world are retreating and getting thinner; and
sea levels have been
rising at an
average rate of about 2.5 mm per year
since 1992.
Data from satellite measurements show that
sea levels have increased by about three inches on
average worldwide
since 1992 suggesting that
sea levels are
rising more quickly than anticipated and faster than they did 50 years ago.
Global
average sea levels have
risen by around 3.2 mm per year
since satellite measurements began in 1993, the report says, with
sea levels around 67 mm higher in 2014 than they were in 1993.
The
average rate of
sea -
level rise in the 20th century was 15 cm / century, but in the quarter - century
since 1990 it has been 30 cm / century and is showing signs of further acceleration in more recent measurements.
They conclude that while the rate of increase of
average global surface temperatures has slowed
since 1998, melting of Arctic ice,
rising sea levels, and warming oceans have continued apace.
I am not saying that the recent
sea level rise since 1993 is not more relevant than the
average over the 20th century but does it not behoove scientists to either explain the 1920 to 1950
rise or admit that they do not know?
Some locations, such as Brest, have measured a very slight acceleration in
sea -
level rise in the late 1800s or early 1900s, but globally
averaged coastal
sea -
level rise has not accelerated
since the 1920s.
What the report said, according to Koonin, was» The report ominously notes that while global
sea level rose an
average 0.05 inch a year during most of the 20th century, it has
risen at about twice that rate
since 1993.»
However, it is a rather poor choice,
since sea level rise around Tuvalu is faster than the global
average (Figure 2).
Fluctuations in the mass of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are of considerable societal importance as they impact directly on global
sea levels:
since 1901, ice losses from Antarctica and Greenland, alongside the melting of small glaciers and ice caps and thermal expansion of the oceans, have caused global
sea levels to
rise at an
average rate of 1.7 mm / yr.
As glaciers melted and retreated
since the peak of the last glacial period about 18,000 years ago (Figure 4 - 6, p. 89), the earth's
average sea level has
risen about 125 meters (410 feet).
Global
average sea levels have
risen roughly 19 centimeters (7.5 inches)
since the 19th century, after 2,000 years of relatively little change.
On
average,
sea level has
risen 7.5 inches (0.19 meters)
since 1901, and will
rise higher with «virtual certainty» in this century.
As it turns out, estimates of globally
averaged sea level rise in the 20th century are irrelevant
since Tuvalu's local
sea level change is very different from the globally
averaged change.
Since the 1920s, the global
average sea level has
risen about nine inches, mostly from the thermal expansion of the ocean water.
Average global
sea level has increased eight inches
since 1880, but is
rising much faster on the U.S. East Coast and Gulf of Mexico.
Although the calculations of 18 - year rates of GMSL
rise based on the different reconstruction methods disagree by as much as 2 mm mm yr - 1 before 1950 and on details of the variability (Figure 3.14), all do indicate 18 - year trends that were significantly higher than the 20th century
average at certain times (1920 — 1950, 1990 — present) and lower at other periods (1910 — 1920, 1955 — 1980), likely related to multidecadal variability.The IPCC AR5 found that it is likely that a
sea level rise rate comparable to that
since 1993 occurred between 1920 and 1950.
Despite the surge in CO2 concentrations
since 1900, the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has concluded that global
sea levels only
rose by an
average of 1.7 mm / yr during the entire 1901 - 2010 period, which is a rate of just 0.17 of a meter per century.
But
since then
sea -
level has
risen there at 1 1/2 mm / year (approximately equal to the global
average rate):
Since the late 19th century,
sea level has
risen by more than 2 millimeters per year on
average, the steepest rate for more than 2,100 years.
Since 1990 the area has been experiencing
sea level rise of 2 - 3.7 mm per year, whereas the global
average is 0.6 - 1 mm annually.
As Media Matters has noted, the IPCC's 2007 «Synthesis Report» concluded that» [w] arming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global
average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice and
rising global
average sea level» and that» [m] ost of the observed increase in global
average temperatures
since the mid-20th century is very likely [defined in the report as a» > 90 %» probability] due to the observed increase in anthropogenic [human - caused] GHG [greenhouse gas] concentrations.»
This expansion, combined with the melting of land - based ice, has caused global
average sea level to
rise by roughly 7 - 8 inches
since 1900 — a trend that is expected to accelerate over coming decades.
So Perth
sea levels haven't
risen by up to 10 mm per year
since 1993, they aren't
rising three times faster than the global
average, land subsidence indicates they've been closer to flat and possibly even fallen
since 1993, and the leaked IPCC report confirms they've been as stable as global temperatures for well over a decade.