On the previous sea surface temperature thread, I stated «Do you for one minute believe that the uncertainty in global
average sea surface temperature in the 19th century is 0.3 C?
The warmth was due to the near - record strong El Niño that developed during the Northern Hemisphere spring in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific Ocean and to large regions of record warm and much warmer - than -
average sea surface temperatures in parts of every major ocean basin.
La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and is associated with cooler than
average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.
The negative phase of IPO is characterized by cooler - than -
average sea surface temperatures in the Eastern Pacific, facilitating the expansion of Antarctic sea ice.
From these ratios, scientists can infer El Niño (warmer than
average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific) and La Niña (cooler than average sea surface temperatures) conditions.
In making their seasonal outlook, which was released on May 23, NOAA cited a broad area of above -
average sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic Basin, a continuation of a natural cycle of above - average hurricane activity, and a lack of an El Niño event in the Pacific Ocean as reasons why there may be more storms this year.
Not exact matches
«There has been an
average of one additional tropical cyclone for each 0.1 - degree Celsius increase
in sea surface temperature and one hurricane for each 0.2 - degree Celsius rise,» they write
in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A.
The visualization shows how the 1997 event started from colder - than -
average sea surface temperatures — but the 2015 event started with warmer - than -
average temperatures not only
in the Pacific but also
in in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans.
Of course, while short - term changes
in sea level can be predicted fairly accurately based on the motions of the moon and sun, it is a lot harder predicting the ups and downs of the
average global
surface temperature — there is a lot of noise, or natural variation,
in the system.
During 2016,
average temperatures were the highest reported since record keeping began
in 1880, reaching 1.69 degrees F (0.94 degrees C) above the
average for land and
sea surfaces in the 20th century.
The team analyzed an index of
sea surface temperatures from the Bering Sea and found that in years with higher than average Arctic temperatures, changes in atmospheric circulation resulted in the aforementioned anomalous climates throughout North Ameri
sea surface temperatures from the Bering
Sea and found that in years with higher than average Arctic temperatures, changes in atmospheric circulation resulted in the aforementioned anomalous climates throughout North Ameri
Sea and found that
in years with higher than
average Arctic
temperatures, changes
in atmospheric circulation resulted
in the aforementioned anomalous climates throughout North America.
The CPC officially considers it an event when the
sea surface temperatures in a key region of the ocean reach at least 0.5 °C, or about 1 °F, warmer than
average.
The
average global
sea surface temperature tied with 2010 as the second highest for January — August
in the 135 - year period of record, behind 1998, while the
average land
surface temperature was the fifth highest.
With higher levels of carbon dioxide and higher
average temperatures, the oceans»
surface waters warm and
sea ice disappears, and the marine world will see increased stratification, intense nutrient trapping
in the deep Southern Ocean (also known as the Antarctic Ocean) and nutrition starvation
in the other oceans.
The reduction —
averaging about 1 % per year — is related to increasing
sea surface temperatures, says the paper, published tomorrow
in the journal Nature.
The western tropical Pacific is known as the «warm pool» with the highest
sea surface temperature (SST)
in the world (on
average).
In a key region of the tropical Pacific, the November
average sea surface temperature beat out records from 1983 and 1997, according to the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts.
In August global
sea surface temperatures reached record levels — the
average temperature was 1.17 degrees Fahrenheit higher than the 20th century
average.
(1) The warm
sea surface temperatures are not just some short - term anomaly but are part of a long - term observed warming trend,
in which ocean
temperatures off the US east coast are warming faster than global
average temperatures.
The March — May globally
averaged sea surface temperature was 1.40 °F above the 20th century
average of 61.0 °F — the highest for March — May
in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record of 2015 by 0.20 °F.
The June globally
averaged sea surface temperature was 1.39 °F above the 20th century monthly
average of 61.5 °F — the highest global ocean
temperature for June
in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set
in 2015 by 0.05 °F.
The June — August globally
averaged sea surface temperature was 1.39 °F above the 20th century
average of 61.5 °F the highest for June — August
in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record of 2015 by 0.02 °F.
The May globally
averaged sea surface temperature was 1.37 °F above the 20th century monthly
average of 61.3 °F — the highest global ocean
temperature for May
in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set
in 2015 by 0.09 °F.
The April globally
averaged sea surface temperature was 1.44 °F above the 20th century monthly
average of 60.9 °F — the highest global ocean
temperature for April
in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set
in 2015 by 0.25 °F and besting 1998, the last time a similar strength El Niño occurred, by 0.43 °F.
The July globally
averaged sea surface temperature was 1.42 °F above the 20th century monthly
average of 61.5 °F — the highest global ocean
temperature for July
in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set
in 2015 by 0.07 °F.
Any way you look it, from the Climate Prediction Center Outlook through May, to the ongoing warm anomalies
in land and
sea surface temperatures, much of the United States is likely to find above
average temperatures in the coming months.
The September globally
averaged sea surface temperature was 1.33 °F above the 20th century monthly
average of 61.1 °F, tying with 2014 as the second highest global ocean
temperature for September
in the 1880 — 2016 record, behind 2015 by 0.16 °F.
Cooling
sea -
surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific Ocean — part of a natural warm and cold cycle — may explain why global
average temperatures have stabilized
in recent years, even as greenhouse gas emissions have been warming the planet.
El Niño: A phenomenon
in the equatorial Pacific Ocean characterized by a positive
sea surface temperature departure from normal (for the 1971 - 2000 base period)
in the Niño 3.4 region greater than or equal
in magnitude to 0.5 degrees C (0.9 degrees Fahrenheit),
averaged over three consecutive months.
The western tropical Pacific is known as the «warm pool» with the highest
sea surface temperature (SST)
in the world (on
average).
Using monthly -
averaged global satellite records from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP [5]-RRB- and the MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)
in conjunction with
Sea Surface Temperature (SST) data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric (NOAA) extended and reconstructed SST (ERSST) dataset [7] we have examined the reliability of long - term cloud measurements.
The increase
in these winds has caused eastern tropical Pacific cooling, amplified the Californian drought, accelerated
sea level rise three times faster than the global
average in the Western Pacific and has slowed the rise of global
average surface temperatures since 2001.
The 60S - 60N
averaged sea surface temperatures have been relatively flat since 2001 as shown
in a personal communication from NOAA, that should be widely available soon.
Given all the independent lines of evidence pointing to
average surface warming over the last few decades (satellite measurements, ocean
temperatures,
sea - level rise, retreating glaciers, phenological changes, shifts
in the ranges of
temperature - sensitive species), it is highly implausible that it would lead to more than very minor refinements to the current overall picture.
So, although each molecule of CO2 that escapes from the oceans will, on
average, be back
in the ocean again
in five years time, if the
sea surface temperature rises the increase
in the atmospheric CO2 will remain.
Global
average temperature is lower during glacial periods for two primary reasons: 1) there was only about 190 ppm CO2
in the atmosphere, and other major greenhouse gases (CH4 and N2O) were also lower 2) the earth
surface was more reflective, due to the presence of lots of ice and snow on land, and lots more
sea ice than today (that is, the albedo was higher).
Sea surface temperatures remain
in the range of 2 - 4 degrees Celsius above
average as a heat dome high pressure system swelters Japan.
Since 1850, CO2 levels rose, as did the «globally and annually
averaged land and
sea surface temperature anomaly» (for what it's worth), but nobody knows whether or not the increase
in CO2 had anything whatsoever to do with the warming.
In our analysis we use eight well - known datasets: 1) globally
averaged well - mixed marine boundary layer CO2 data, 2) HadCRUT3
surface air
temperature data, 3) GISS
surface air
temperature data, 4) NCDC
surface air
temperature data, 5) HadSST2
sea surface temperature data, 6) UAH lower troposphere
temperature data series, 7) CDIAC data on release of anthropogene CO2, and 8) GWP data on volcanic eruptions.
The Philippines is located
in the western Pacific Ocean, surrounded by naturally warm waters that will likely get even warmer as
average sea -
surface temperatures continue to rise.
Each map represents the
average Sea Surface Temperature anomalies for a 12 - month period and is followed by the next 12 - month period
in sequence.
Although the IPCC climate models have performed remarkably well
in projecting
average global
surface temperature warming thus far, Rahmstorf et al. (2012) found that the IPCC underestimated global
average sea level rise since 1993 by 60 %.
The Oceanic Niño Index, the three - month -
average sea surface temperature departure from the long - term normal
in one region of the Pacific Ocean, is the primary number we use to measure the ocean part of El Niño, and that value for November — January is 2.3 °C, tied with the same period
in 1997 - 98.
For this reason, a number of researchers have suggested that it should be possible to estimate the long term
Sea Surface Temperature trends for a given area by
averaging together all the available measurements from different voyages that went through that area
in a given month.
We might expect «global warming» (i.e., an increase
in average surface air
temperatures over a few decades) to lead to a rise
in global mean
sea levels.
Because hurricane caused flooding was more prevalent during the Little Ice Age when Atlantic
temperatures averaged 1 to 2 degrees F colder than today researchers concluded, «The frequent occurrence of major hurricanes
in the western Long Island record suggests that other climate phenomena, such as atmospheric circulation, may have been favorable for intense hurricane development despite lower
sea surface temperatures.»
Landsea said that NOAA's seasonal outlooks focused on the other pieces of the puzzle that argued
in favor of an above
average to
average season, namely the absence of El Nino and the presence of warm
sea surface temperatures.
In fact Trenberth 2015 cited Magnusson 2014 (a paper Trenberth helped craft) in which a ECMWF modeling experiment compared the most recent 20 - year average sea surface temperatures with a swath of the Atlantic's anomalously high temperatures during Sandy's northward tre
In fact Trenberth 2015 cited Magnusson 2014 (a paper Trenberth helped craft)
in which a ECMWF modeling experiment compared the most recent 20 - year average sea surface temperatures with a swath of the Atlantic's anomalously high temperatures during Sandy's northward tre
in which a ECMWF modeling experiment compared the most recent 20 - year
average sea surface temperatures with a swath of the Atlantic's anomalously high
temperatures during Sandy's northward trek.
The seasonal variation
in the earth's global
average sea surface temperature is only about 0.5 degrees Kelvin, being hotter
in April and colder
in October (see e.g. http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/execute.csh?amsutemps).
Back
in 2009, by analysing the data, I found that the global
average sea surface temperature, the SST, stays fairly constant when the Sun is
averaging around 40 sunspots per month.