¶ An above -
average storm season, with regard to the probability of major hurricanes striking the mainland, is facing the US this year, a report from meteorologists at Colorado State University says.
With La Nina appearing to emerge, the long - term outlook favors another busier - than -
average storm season, Masters said.
Not exact matches
And the next hurricane
season starts in June, with above -
average storm activity.
On
average there are 10 tropical
storms and six hurricanes in the
season.
An
average season in the eastern Pacific has 15.3 named
storms, including 8.5 hurricanes, of which an
average of 3.8 are major hurricanes, according to NOAA.
But the agency has predicted an above
average hurricane
season, and that may still hold — most
storms form in the second half of the hurricane
season, Bell says, which doesn't end until 30 November.
El Niño conditions can also curb the formation of powerful
storms, and with no El Niño in the picture in 2017 — and with warmer - than -
average ocean waters — last year's Atlantic hurricane
season was unusually active.
The 2014 Atlantic hurricane
season is expected to be quieter than normal, with a below -
average number of
storms and hurricanes, a leading U.S. hurricane forecasting team said last week.
The
average season sees 12 named
storms, including six hurricanes, three major with sustained winds greater than 110 mph.
An active coastal
storm track and below -
average temperatures were associated with a record snow
season in Boston, Massachusetts.
The Central Pacific also saw an above -
average tropical cyclone
season, with 14 named
storms, eight hurricanes, and five major hurricanes, the most active
season since reliable record - keeping began in 1971.
There are still almost three months to go in the hurricane
season, and there have already been an above -
average number of named
storms.»
An
average Atlantic
season has 11.5 named
storms, 6.1 hurricanes, and 2.6 major hurricanes (defined as Category 3 or higher).
The weather stays at a delightful
average of 80F year - round, but
storms are possible during hurricane
season, July to November.
In the last 10
seasons — 1998 - 2007 — those
averages have been about 15 tropical and subtropical
storms per year, about 8.1 reaching hurricane strength, and about 3.7 reaching major hurricane strength.
Finally — it is not remotely necessary for a
season to be as intense as 2005 in order for it to be very intense — after, all, 2004 (15 tropical
storms, 9 hurricanes, 6 major hurricanes) had over 150 % of the activity of an
average season, yet was much less active than 2005 (28 tropical and subtropical
storms, 15 hurricanes and 7 major hurricanes.)
But the
averages of the last 20
seasons (1988 — 2007) have been 13 tropical and subtropical
storms per year, about 7 reaching hurricane strength, and about 3 reaching major hurricane strength.
In reality, it hasn't been; it's been on par with climatology... by this date, an
average season has had 3 named
storms, 1 hurricane, and 0 major hurricanes, which is exactly what 2010 has seen.
From the abstract: >»... the observed weekly
averaged SST from the 1º latitude x 1º longitude grid cell that > contained the
storm's center, during the hurricane
seasons of 1982 through 2004....
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted an above
average season with 12 to 16
storms, 6 to 9 hurricanes, and 2 to 5 major hurricanes on May 22
Nearly one year after Hurricane Sandy ravaged the East Coast, the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane
Season has not produced a single land - falling hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above - average storm activity, as the seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its inact
Season has not produced a single land - falling hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above -
average storm activity, as the seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the
season has been quiet — notable for its inact
season has been quiet — notable for its inactivity.
The tropical
season doesn't officially end until November 30, but it would take a barrage of late -
season storms to bring the
season up to
average levels, let alone above
average, something that forecasters say is unlikely.
Expect ECS recalculations to result in a less than
average season this summer with a rare named
storm from either Romm, Hansen or Mann.
The team then compared the oxygen isotope ratio for each year's wet
season from 1990 to 2010 with a cyclone activity index of the
average accumulated energy expended, based on factors such as number of cyclones, cyclone strength, size and time on
storm track.
The highly respected Colorado State University forecast for the coming
season looks for only 7 named tropical
storms and only 3 hurricanes, about 40 % less than
average.
During 1995 to 2004, hurricane
seasons averaged 13.6 tropical
storms, 7.8 hurricanes and 3.8 major hurricanes, and have an
average ACE index of 159 % of the median.
NCDC / NOAA Atlantic Hurricane
Season: The recent
average (1997 - 2006) seasonal hurricane activity in the North Atlantic basin is 14.4 named
storms, 7.8 hurricanes and 3.6 major hurricanes.
Between 1950 and 2017, an
average hurricane
season saw 11 named
storms and six hurricanes, according to the NC State report.
Residents of Caribbean islands and the coastal United States — including those still recovering from last year's
storms — may need to brace themselves for another intense hurricane
season, as forecasts predict «above
average» Atlantic
storm activity in 2018.
The 2013 Atlantic hurricane
season starts Saturday, and scientists are warning that it is likely to be a doozy, with more
storms than
average and more major hurricanes (Category 3 intensity or stronger).