The global
average surface temperature last year was 0.94 degree Celsius (1.69 degrees Fahrenheit) higher than the 20th century average of 13.9 ° C (57 ° F).
Not exact matches
Measurements released
last week indicate that the comet's
average surface temperature is -70 °C, around 20 to 30 °C warmer than predicted.
With the contribution of such record warmth at year's end and with 10 months of the year record warm for their respective months, including the
last 8 (January was second warmest for January and April was third warmest), the
average global
temperature across land and ocean
surface areas for 2015 was 0.90 °C (1.62 °F) above the 20th century
average of 13.9 °C (57.0 °F), beating the previous record warmth of 2014 by 0.16 °C (0.29 °F).
Across the world's oceans, the September — November
average sea
surface temperature was 0.84 °C (1.51 °F) above the 20th century
average of 16.0 °C (60.7 °F), the highest for September — November on record, surpassing the previous record set
last year by 0.27 °C (0.15 °F).
For the oceans, the November global sea
surface temperature was 0.84 °C (1.51 °F) above the 20th century
average of 15.8 °C (60.4 °F), the highest for November on record, surpassing the previous record set
last year by 0.20 °C (0.36 °F).
The April globally
averaged sea
surface temperature was 1.44 °F above the 20th century monthly
average of 60.9 °F — the highest global ocean
temperature for April in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2015 by 0.25 °F and besting 1998, the
last time a similar strength El Niño occurred, by 0.43 °F.
I was referring to the plot of absolute
average surface temperatures from different models against the projected rate of warming for 2011 to 2070 from those same models; this is the next to
last graphic from Gavin's post.
Given all the independent lines of evidence pointing to
average surface warming over the
last few decades (satellite measurements, ocean
temperatures, sea - level rise, retreating glaciers, phenological changes, shifts in the ranges of
temperature - sensitive species), it is highly implausible that it would lead to more than very minor refinements to the current overall picture.
My amateur spreadsheet tracking and projecting the monthly NASA GISS values suggests that while 2018 and 2019 are likely to be cooler than 2017, they may also be the
last years on Earth with global
average land and ocean
surface temperature anomaly below 1C above pre-industrial
average (using 1850 - 1900 proxy).
For instance, Keigwin's NOV ’96 Science paper which showed 4 - 5 occurences higher sustained sea -
surface temperatures oscillations over 3 milleniums of core sample
averages, vs. our
last 100 + years?
«Global annually
averaged surface air
temperature has increased by about 1.8 °F (1.0 °C) over the
last 115 years (1901 — 2016).
In the
last subperiod [2003 - 2014], the global
averaged SULR [
surface upwelling longwave radiation / greenhouse effect] anomaly remains trendless (0.02 W m − 2 yr − 1) because Ts [global
temperatures] stop rising.
A paper in this week's Nature by Caroline Snyder at Stanford provides a fresh attempt at estimating global
average surface temperatures across the Pleistocene (her estimates cover the
last 2 million years).
But the data released today confirm that human - induced global warming is pushing
temperatures higher at an alarming rate: 2014 was the previous record holder for global
average surface temperature, clocking in at 0.57 °C above the 1960 to 1990
average, but
last year was 0.75 °C above that
average.
During much of
last year's hurricane season, sea -
surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic between 10 degrees north and 20 degrees north, which is where many Atlantic hurricanes originate, were a record 0.9 degrees Celsius [1.6 degrees Fahrenheit] above the 1901 - 1970
average.
Maps show projected change in
average surface air
temperature in the later part of this century (2071 - 2099) relative to the later part of the
last century (1970 - 1999) under a scenario that assumes substantial reductions in heat trapping gases (B1) and a higher emissions scenario that assumes continued increases in global emissions (A2).
Your
last post simply confirms that you are still in denial regarding the «standstill» in the «globally and annually
averaged land and sea
surface temperature anomaly» over the past decade
Over the
last decade or so, the models have not shown an ability to predict the lack (or very muted) change in the annual
average global
surface temperature trend.
The June - August
average temperature over land and sea
surfaces was 1.53 Fahrenheit degrees (0.85 Centigrade degree) above the 20th century
average, surpassing the record set
last year, NOAA said.
This summer, sea
surface temperatures were higher than
average, but lower than in the
last three years.
As I see it there are two separate but related question here — what has happened to the
average surface temperature over the
last 16 years or so, and what can we conclude from that.
The scientists» main approach was simple: to look at solar output and cosmic ray intensity over the
last 30 - 40 years, and compare those trends with the graph for global
average surface temperature.
The January — March 2018 global land
surface temperature was also the smallest in the
last four years and the sixth highest in the 139 - year record at 1.21 °C (2.18 °F) above the 20th century
average.
The warm expanse has been characterized by sea
surface temperatures as much as three degrees C (about 5.4 degrees F) higher than
average,
lasting for months, and appears on large - scale
temperature maps as a red - orange mass of warm water many hundreds of miles across.
For the
last decade, atmospheric CO2 has increased without a significant increase in the
average surface temperature of the earth.
That's right, the latest climate science (some 10 studies published in just the past 3 years) indicates that the earth's climate sensitivity — that is, how much the global
average surface temperature will rise as a result of greenhouse gases emitted from human activities — is some 33 percent less than scientists thought at the time of the
last IPCC Assessment, published in 2007.
The global
average sea -
surface temperature, which set a record
last year, is likely to equal or surpass that record in 2015.
From the Executive Summary: «Global annually
averaged surface air
temperature has increased by about 1.8 °F (1.0 °C) over the
last 115 years (1901 — 2016).
Following a warming trend early in the 20th century and mid-century cooling,
surface air
temperatures in the Arctic have shown a strong increase over the
last few decades, warming at about twice the global
average.
He says above -
average air and sea -
surface temperatures last month were the main factors that led to the Center declaring a record - low Arctic sea - ice cover for the month of January.
For all of its warnings, and despite a steady escalation of greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, the planet's
average surface temperature has remained pretty much the same for the
last 15 years.
If as the IPCC suggests, the
last W / m ^ 2 of forcing increased the
average temperature from 287.2 K to 288K, the
average surface emissions must have increased by about 4.3 W / m ^ 2.
The global
average surface between 1906 and 2005, and the rate of
temperature increase has nearly doubled in the
last 50 years.
Finds that
average daytime
surface temperature in the Jambi province increased by 1.05 °C over the
last 16 years, which followed the trend of observed land cover changes and exceeded the effects of climate warming
«Earth's
average surface temperature has risen for the
last several hundred years, since the depths of the Little Ice Age *, and by about 0.8 ° since the mid-19th century, which is the beginning of the instrumental
temperature record.»
I point out out once again that the long term
average of the Earth's
surface temperature, (I'm happy with your definition of «
surface»), over he
last four and a half billion years or so is one of cooling.
«Although the Earth's
average surface temperature rose sharply by 0.9 degree Fahrenheit during the
last quarter of the 20th century, it has increased much more slowly for the past 16 years» In the
last 25 years 1980 - 2014 it has increased 0.9 F (0.5 C) too, but he didn't say that, and it is more relevant.
The
average temperature of the Earth's
surface has increased by 1.2 degrees Fahrenheit (0.7 C) over the
last century (and much more in places like the Arctic).
The
last graph presents the
average of the GISS, HADCRUT and NCDC land plus sea
surface temperature anomaly products.
Independent evidence shows that the attribution to humans of the large signal, 1ºC rise in Earth's global
average surface temperature over the
last century is erroneous, and confirms the non-existence of AGW.
The
last time in Earth history when the global
average surface temperature was as warm as the IPCC projects for 2100 in its mid-range scenarios, there was very little polar ice and sea level would have been roughly 70 meters (over 200 feet) higher than at present.
Arctic near -
surface air
temperature has risen twice as fast as
average global warming over the
last 2 decades.
This has become even more the case in the
last few years as the earth's
average surface temperature doesn't seem to increase — at least for now.
The theory of «man - made climate change» is an unsubstantiated hypothesis [about] our climate [which says it] has been adversely affected by the burning of fossil fuels in the
last 100 years, causing the
average temperature on the earth's
surface to increase very slightly but with disastrous environmental consequences.
Since the late 1970s, permafrost
temperatures across the state — including on the Seward Peninsula — have risen along with increasing air
temperatures.3, 5 In fact, 22 of 24 thaw (thermokarst) ponds studied near Nome shrank over the latter half of the
last century, with losses in
surface area ranging from 6 to 100 percent, and
averaging 55 percent.4, 8
`... over the 100 years since 1870 the successive five year values of
average temperatures in England have been highly significantly correlated with the best estimates of the
averages for the whole Northern Hemisphere and for the whole earth» (In this
last comment he is no doubt referring to his work at CRU where global
surface records back to 1860 or so were eventually gathered) he continued; «they probably mean that over the
last three centuries the CET
temperatures provide a reasonable indication of the tendency of the global climatic regime.»
10
Temperature change over past 22,000 years Agriculture established Temperature change (C °) End of last ice age Average temperature over past 10,000 years = 15 °C (59 °F) Figure 20.2 Science: estimated changes in the average global temperature of the atmosphere near the earth's surface over different perio
Temperature change over past 22,000 years Agriculture established
Temperature change (C °) End of last ice age Average temperature over past 10,000 years = 15 °C (59 °F) Figure 20.2 Science: estimated changes in the average global temperature of the atmosphere near the earth's surface over different perio
Temperature change (C °) End of
last ice age
Average temperature over past 10,000 years = 15 °C (59 °F) Figure 20.2 Science: estimated changes in the average global temperature of the atmosphere near the earth's surface over different periods o
Average temperature over past 10,000 years = 15 °C (59 °F) Figure 20.2 Science: estimated changes in the average global temperature of the atmosphere near the earth's surface over different perio
temperature over past 10,000 years = 15 °C (59 °F) Figure 20.2 Science: estimated changes in the
average global temperature of the atmosphere near the earth's surface over different periods o
average global
temperature of the atmosphere near the earth's surface over different perio
temperature of the atmosphere near the earth's
surface over different periods of time.
Last year was the hottest since records began and with an El Nino now under way the warm surface waters of the Pacific are releasing heat into the atmosphere with the result 2015 is likely to break last year's record and the global average surface temperature could jump by as much as 0.1 degree this year alone bring global surface temperatures increases to 1 degrees or half way to the UN global li
Last year was the hottest since records began and with an El Nino now under way the warm
surface waters of the Pacific are releasing heat into the atmosphere with the result 2015 is likely to break
last year's record and the global average surface temperature could jump by as much as 0.1 degree this year alone bring global surface temperatures increases to 1 degrees or half way to the UN global li
last year's record and the global
average surface temperature could jump by as much as 0.1 degree this year alone bring global
surface temperatures increases to 1 degrees or half way to the UN global limit.
To me it looks like this shift will be the «team's» new tactic to keep the notion of global warming alive, especially if the pause in warming (or even slight cooling) of the «globally and annually
averaged land and sea
surface temperature»
lasts another few decades.
These feedbacks are the primary source of uncertainty in how much the earth will warm (side note: the question that most climate scientists who study the forcing due to CO2 try to answer is, how much will the long - term globally
averaged surface temperature of the earth rise due to an rapid rise of CO2 to twice its industrial level, that is, 270 ppm to 540 ppm; it is currently about 380
last time I checked, and rising at ~ 3ppm / year, although this rate of change appears to be accelerating).