Global carbon dioxide emissions continue to track the high end of a range of emission scenarios, expanding the gap between current emission trends and the emission pathway required to keep the global -
average temperature increase below 2 degrees Celsius.
Friends of the Earth welcomes the EU's official objective to keep the global
average temperature increase below 2 C, above which impacts are expected to become catastrophic.
At current annual rates of ~ 41 Gt CO2 for fossil fuels, industrial and land - use emissions combined (Le Quéré et al 2017), time is running out on our ability to keep global
average temperature increases below 2 °C and, even more immediately, anything close to 1.5 °C (Rogelj et al 2015).
Not exact matches
The deal aims to limit the
average global
temperature increase to
below 2C (3.6 F), allowing each country to create its own goals and targets for addressing rising global
temperatures.
In December 2015, the world agreed to the Paris Accord; to slash greenhouse gas emissions to hold global
average temperature increase to 1.5 degrees C (over what it was before the Industrial Revolution), and, if we miss that target, to as far
below 2 degrees as possible.
WHEREAS, in furtherance of the united effort to address the effects of climate change, in 2010 the 16th Session of the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC met in Cancun, Mexico and recognized that deep cuts in global greenhouse gas emissions were required, with a goal of reducing global greenhouse gas emissions so as to hold the
increase in global
average temperature below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels;
WHEREAS, in furtherance of the united effort to address the effects of climate change, in 2015 the 21st Session of the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC met in Paris, France and entered into a historic agreement in which 195 nations, including the United States, were signatories and agreed to determine their own target contribution to mitigate climate change by holding the
increase in the global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the
temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, among other terms (the «Paris Agreement»);
A federal report released in November 2016 laid out a strategy for the United States to «deeply decarbonize» its economy by 2050, and said that developing carbon dioxide removal techniques «may be necessary in the long run to constrain global
average temperature increases to well
below 2 °C.»
«This Agreement, in enhancing the implementation of the [2015 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change], including its objective, aims to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change, in the context of sustainable development and efforts to eradicate poverty, including by: (a) Holding the
increase in the global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the
temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change; (b)
Increasing the ability to adapt to the adverse impacts of climate change and foster climate resilience and low greenhouse gas emissions development, in a manner that does not threaten food production; and (c) Making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate - resilient development.
On Dec. 12, 2015, the 21st Conference of the Parties to the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change approved the Paris Agreement committing 195 nations of the world to «holding the
increase in the global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C above preindustrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the
temperature increase to 1.5 °C.»
The Paris Agreement sets the goal of holding the
increase in the global
average mean
temperature to well
below 2 °C above preindustrial levels but calls for efforts to limit that
increase to 1.5 °C.
The risk assessment stems from the objective stated in the 2015 Paris Agreement regarding climate change that society keep
average global
temperatures «well
below» a 2 °C (3.6 °F)
increase from what they were before the Industrial Revolution.
seems to be incompatible with the statement from his Annual review paper from 2000 (see abstract
below) that: «The
average surface
temperature of the continents has
increased by about 1.0 K over the past 5 centuries; half of this
increase has occurred in the twentieth century alone.»
The main aim of the Paris Agreement is to keep a global
average temperature rise this century well
below 2 degrees Celsius and to drive efforts to limit the
temperature increase even further to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
The report warns that cuts are needed in greenhouse gas emissions to keep an
increase in
average global
temperature below 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) by 2100.
His full quote says: ``... to hold the
increase in global
average temperature below 2 oC above pre-industrial levels.»
«During November 2011 - January 2012, there is an
increased chance of above -
average temperatures across the south - central U.S. with the odds favoring
below -
average temperatures over the north - central U.S.. Also, above -
average precipitation is favored across the northern tier of states, excluding New England, and drier - than -
average conditions are more probable across the southern tier of the U.S. (see 3 - month seasonal outlook released on 20 October 2011).»
Narrowly scoped, the present situation is either strictly caused by solar variations (in which case I believe the «solar variation» crowd will inappropriately gain credibility over the next 10 to 20 years as we work through the next
below average solar cycle or two), or strictly caused by CO2 concentrations (in which case I believe the «CO2 concentrations» crowd will inappropriately lose credibility as the non-linear relationship (sensitivity is based on doublings, not linear
increases) between
increased CO2 concentrations, and forecasts for
below average solar cycles reduces the longer term upward trend in global
temperatures).
This is the difference between countries» pledged commitments to reduce emissions of heat - trapping greenhouse gases after 2020 and scientifically calculated trajectories giving good odds of keeping global warming
below the threshold for danger countries pledged to try to avoid in climate talks in 2010 (to «hold the
increase in global
average temperature below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels»).
(a) To hold the
increase in the global
average temperature [
below 1.5 °C][or][well
below 2 °C] above pre-industrial levels by ensuring deep reductions in global greenhouse gas [net] emissions;...
seems to be incompatible with the statement from his Annual review paper from 2000 (see abstract
below) that: «The
average surface
temperature of the continents has
increased by about 1.0 K over the past 5 centuries; half of this
increase has occurred in the twentieth century alone.»
For a small amount of absorption, the emission upward and downward would be about the same, so if the upward (spectral) flux from
below the layer were more than 2 * the (
average) blackbody value for the layer
temperature (s), the OLR at TOA would be reduced more than the net upward flux at the base of the layer, decreasing CO2 TOA forcing more than CO2 forcing at the base, thus
increasing the cooling of the base.
* Over the last decade or two, rainfall has been markedly
below average in our temperate south - west, south and east, and this along with
increased average temperatures has caused a major decrease in runoff from our catchments.
In a paper circulated with the anti-Kyoto «Oregon Petition,» Robinson et al. («Environmental Effects of
Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide,» 1998) reproduced K4B but (1) omitted Station S data, (2) incorrectly stated that the time series ended in 1975, (3) conflated Sargasso Sea data with global
temperature, and (4) falsely claimed that Keigwin showed global
temperatures «are still a little
below the
average for the past 3,000 years.»
In the landmark Paris Climate Agreement, the world's nations have committed to «holding the
increase in the global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the
temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels».
I think that you will find that even a 5deg C
increase in annual
average temperature will still see
average temperature way
below zero at the South Pole, and probably the same in Greenland.
Increase investment in transformational technology R&D Limiting
average global
temperature increases to
below 2 °C will require rapidly accelerated innovation and diffusion of clean energy technologies in both developed and developing countries.
But even if this new trend continues, «it is not yet at a rate that would meet the long - term
temperature goal of the Paris Agreement of holding the
increase in the global
average temperature to well
below 3.6 °F (2 °C) above preindustrial levels.»
The Paris Agreement1 «aims to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change... by: Holding the
increase in the global
average temperature to well
below 2oC above pre-industrial levels...»
The COP, by decision 1 / CP.17, noted with grave concern the significant gap between the aggregate effect of Parties» mitigation pledges in terms of global annual emissions of greenhouse gases by 2020 and aggregate emission pathways consistent with having a likely chance of holding the
increase in global
average temperature below 2 °C or 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels.
Springtime cold air outbreaks (at least two consecutive days during which the daily
average surface air
temperature is
below 95 % of the simulated
average wintertime surface air
temperature) are projected to continue to occur throughout this century.19 As a result,
increased productivity of some crops due to higher
temperatures, longer growing seasons, and elevated CO2 concentrations could be offset by
increased freeze damage.20 Heat waves during pollination of field crops such as corn and soybean also reduce yields (Figure 18.3).4 Wetter springs may reduce crop yields and profits, 21 especially if growers are forced to switch to late - planted, shorter - season varieties.
By setting clear, «science - based» emissions reduction targets, companies ensure their plans for carbon reduction meet the level of ambition needed to limit the
increase in global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C.
The Commonwealth declaration avoided setting a numerical limit to global
temperature rise, saying only, «We stress our common conviction that urgent and substantial action to reduce global emissions is needed and have a range of views as to whether
average global
temperature increase should be constrained to
below 1.5 degrees or to no more than 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.»
' emissions reduction targets, companies ensure their plans for carbon reduction meet the level of ambition needed to limit the
increase in global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C.
[Hold] the
increase in the global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the
temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change
Even before this Hansen and his colleagues at NASA's Goddard Institute argued that due to positive feedbacks and climatic tipping points global
average temperature increases had to be kept to less than 1 °C
below 2000 levels.
At the heart of the Paris Agreement is the «long - term goal» committing almost 200 countries to keep the global
average temperature increase to «well
below 2 °C» above pre-industrial levels.
The Paris Agreement achieved at COP21 aims to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change namely by «holding the
increase in the global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the
temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change.»
«It seems clear that climate change is happening, we continually have record
temperatures for the time of year, there is no return of
temperatures to «
below average» which we would expect if this was just statistical variation, there is
increasing turmoil in the weather, the barrier reef is bleaching to an extent not seen before and so on.»
The Paris Agreement aims to hold the
increase in global
average temperature over the industrial era to well
below 2 °C and to pursue efforts to limit the
increase to 1.5 °C.
The 2015 Paris Agreement includes a two - headed
temperature goal: «holding the
increase in the global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the
temperature increase to 1.5 °C.
For example, as long as the rise in global
average temperature stays
below 3 degrees Celsius, some models predict that global food production could
increase because of the longer growing season at mid - to high - latitudes, provided adequate water resources are available.
The observed trend of 0.07 deg C per decade for the latest 15 year period is
BELOW IPCC's «suggested global
average temperature increases between about 0.15 °C and 0.3 °C per decade».
World leaders are ostensibly committed to keeping the
increase in
average global
temperature below 2 °C relative to pre-industrial levels — the threshold beyond which the most catastrophic effects of global warming would be triggered.
It suggests that the target set in the Paris Agreement on climate change of limiting the
average temperature increase to well
below 2C is more achievable than some scientists have claimed.
The well
below freezing surface winter
temperatures of Northern high latitudes are such wildly variable almost non-correlated data points which tell almost nothing of the real warming (i.e.
increase in heat content of the Earth system) but may affect in an unpredictable way the global
average surface
temperature.
The Agreement aims to keep global
average temperature rise «well
below» the 2 °C previously agreed, and to pursue efforts to limit the
increase to 1.5 °C.
These scenarios are arranged from the warmest on the left (for the so - called A1FI scenario which is projected to
increase the
average global
temperature by 4.0 °C as indicated by the numbers
below each stacked bar) to the coolest on the right (for the B1 scenario; projected
temperature increase of 2.1 °C).
Under the Paris Agreement, Parties have agreed to hold the
increase in global
average temperature to well
below 2 °C and to pursue efforts to limit the
increase to 1.5 °C.
Reaffirming the unwavering commitment of parties to keep global
average temperature increase well
below 2 degrees C above pre-industrial levels and the continuum approach between mitigation, adaptation, loss & damage and finance that is required to ensure equity before 2020.