Sentences with phrase «average warming rates of»

This new research confirmed those observations, with average warming rates of 1.3 degrees Fahrenheit (0.72 degrees Celsius) per decade at high latitudes.

«The average warming rate of 34 CMIP5 IPCC models is greater than observations, suggesting models are too sensitive to CO2.»

I was not delighted to find that my failure to do the needed checking resulted in me making a claim to this group that the HadC data showed an average warming rate of the first half of the last 100 - yr being higher than the second half.

Not exact matches

SIDS deaths have historically been observed more frequently in the colder months, and the fewest SIDS deaths occurred in the warmest months.23 In 1992, SIDS rates had an average seasonal change of 16.3 %, compared with only 7.6 % in 1999,24 which is consistent with reports from other countries.25

«Sea level observations are telling us that during the past 100 years sea level has risen at an average rate of 1.7 millimeters per year,» most of that due to thermal expansion as the top 700 meters of the oceans warms and expands.

The first predications of coastal sea level with warming of two degrees by 2040 show an average rate of increase three times higher than the 20th century rate of sea level rise.

The strength and path of the North Atlantic jet stream and the Greenland blocking phenomena appear to be influenced by increasing temperatures in the Arctic which have averaged at least twice the global warming rate over the past two decades, suggesting that those marked changes may be a key factor affecting extreme weather conditions over the UK, although an Arctic connection may not occur each year.

The rate of warming was just 0.04 °C per decade from 1998 to 2012, significantly lower than the average 0.11 °C warming per decade since 1951 (see «How much has warming slowed?

On average, the 235 lakes in the study warmed at a rate of 0.34 degrees Celsius per decade between 1985 and 2009.

Surface water in the region is warming at twice the rate of the global average.

The atmosphere in the polar regions has warmed at about twice the average rate of global warming with Arctic coasts experiencing a rise in the occurrence of storm surges.

Human - induced warming is already close to 1 degree, so to limit warming to 2 degrees, CO2 emissions need to fall, on average, by 10 % of today's emission rate for every tenth of a degree of warming from now on.

Dan Kellog, an engineer (not climate scientist) on another blog, has raised the issue of once a glacier has melted away, the local temps could rise dramatically (and perhaps, averaged altogether around the world as glaciers melt away, increase the rate of global warming).

However, this average rate hides considerable variations in the rate and magnitude of warming.

Average warming onset rate of change is approximately 2.0 degrees C / millennium in the Antarctic with exceptionally strong correlation coefficients of 0.98.

Three areas in particular have been subject to recent regional rapid warming (sensu Vaughan et al., 2003), with rates of warming far faster than the average noted in the IPCC.

The study also found that during the workout portion of the trampoline routine (not including the warm - up and cool - down), participants averaged 79 percent of their maximum heart rate and 59 percent of their VO2 max, a measure of how much oxygen the body can utilize during exercise.

After a light warm - up of very leisurely walking, walk at a good pace where you don't feel too much stress — say 4 km / hr (2.5 m / h)-- and record your average heart rate every quarter mile or half kilometer a few times.

* However, the same panel then concluded that «the warming trend in global - mean surface temperature observations during the past 20 years is undoubtedly real and is substantially greater than the average rate of warming during the twentieth century.

Dan Kellog, an engineer (not climate scientist) on another blog, has raised the issue of once a glacier has melted away, the local temps could rise dramatically (and perhaps, averaged altogether around the world as glaciers melt away, increase the rate of global warming).

«suggesting that Arctic warming will continue to greatly exceed the global average over the coming century, with concomitant reductions in terrestrial ice masses and, consequently, an increasing rate of sea level rise.»

Global warming does not mean no winter, it means winter start later, summer hotter, as Gary Peters said «The global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C since the start of the twentieth century, and the rate of increase since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the century - scale trend.»

A recent video of him being interviewed by Brit Hume of Fox News had Michaels asserting that while global warming was real we could expect the average rate of temperature increase over the last century to remain flat over the next century, and so no big deal.

Simulations conducted in advance of the 2013 — 14 assessment from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) suggest that the warming should have continued at an average rate of 0.21 °C per decade from 1998 to 2012.

While noisy, the correlation looks significant, with those models that calculate a warmer mean temperature projecting (on average) a lower rate of future warming.

I have no way of knowing the influence of «family relationships» between models, but it is clear that a large part of the apparent correlation of projected warming rate with average surface temperature is due to more runs for some models than for others, combined with the close relationships between certain models.

Gerald A. Meehl, Haiyan Teng & Julie M. Arblaster, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA (http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n10/full/nclimate2357.html): «The slowdown in the rate of global warming in the early 2000's is not evident in the multi-modal ensemble average of traditional climate change projection simulations.»

These earlier years, mainly El Nino years, average 11.5 years earlier than the projected recent hottest four, perhaps suggesting a rough calculation of the recent rate of AGW of at +0.16 ºC / decade, this of course the warming trend of peak years through the so - called «hiatus» years and being «peak years», it is a rate which assumes cooler years will be coming along soon.

I was referring to the plot of absolute average surface temperatures from different models against the projected rate of warming for 2011 to 2070 from those same models; this is the next to last graphic from Gavin's post.

How likely is it actually that the rate of sea level rise in this century would on average be only half of the rate currently observed, despite further warming?

They also fail to appreciate that because solar radiation was at a historic high during the period in question it likely follows that there was a net solar warming of the oceans throughout the period even though the rate of solar radiation was on average stable during that period.

However, despite near normal rates of ice loss during the month, June 2015 was a relatively warm month (Figure 7) with 925 hPa air temperatures up to 2.5 C higher than average near the North Pole and East Siberian Sea, with even warmer air temperatures in the Kara Sea (up to 4.5 C).

However, as we have previously discussed, the average global surface temperature over the first decade of this century has indeed warmed at a dampened rate.

My understanding of the viewpoint of the majority of experts in related fields is that analysis shows that relative to 50 years ago, and the LIA, and the MWP, average global temperatures are warmer, and increasing in warmth at an anomalous rate than indicated by the data on previous time periods, including the MWP.

The Arctic Ocean is mostly just that: ocean, which is getting warmer, and the northernmost parts of the globe have been warming at twice the global average rate.

The most recent 13 complete calendar years, from 2002 through 2014, have averaged 0.18 °C (about 0.33 °F) warmer than the 30 - year baseline average, while the global temperature trend during that span was a warming trend at the rate of +0.05 °C per decade — which is also statistically insignificant.

These facts were enough for an NAS panel, including Christy, to publish a report Reconciling Observations of Global Temperature Change which concluded that «Despite differences in temperature data, strong evidence exists to show that the warming of the Earth's surface is undoubtedly real, and surface temperatures in the past two decades have risen at a rate substantially greater than average for the past 100 years»

All of this begs the question: Hansen notes in his release that the warming rate since 1970 has been fairly constant, about 0.17 ⁰ C per decade, and didn't note that the average of the UN's climate models say it should be about twice that now.

The Arctic has been warming at more than twice the rate of the globe as a whole, with average temperatures today 5.4 °F (3 °C) above what they were at the beginning of the 20th century, compared to an estimated global average of 1.8 °F (1 °C) over the same time.

Last of all, there is the near certainty that global warming activists will continue to burn fossil fuels at an extremely above average rate.

I guess Fitzpatrick hit a nerve when he alluded to dedicated apologizers of global warming alarmism may be showing the The Dunning — Kruger effect... a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average.

I'm not for a moment suggesting this makes global warming go away, only it might slow the rate of change down - a bit - in the short term (perhaps the average transit time of deep currents).

Farmers» Almanac says cold winter ahead — Associated Press — August 20, 2008 — Excerpt: Households worried about the high cost of keeping warm this winter will draw little comfort from the Farmers» Almanac, which predicts below - average temperatures for most of the U.S. «Numb's the word,» says the 192 - year - old publication, which claims an accuracy rate of 80 to 85 percent for its forecasts that are prepared two years in advance.

Researchers in Texas and California say the «well below 2 °C target» set in Paris commits the world to «dangerous» global warming, and a rise of 3 °C on average for the whole globe would rate as «catastrophic».

The Japan Meteorological Agency said sea surface temperatures around Japan had been up by an average of 1.07 degrees Celsius in the past 100 years, which is double the global average warming rate.

Cook Inlet remains in the final plan, with a lease sale scheduled in 2021, even though Alaska is on the front lines of climate change and warming at twice the global average rate.

They conclude that while the rate of increase of average global surface temperatures has slowed since 1998, melting of Arctic ice, rising sea levels, and warming oceans have continued apace.

New Statement: For most of the past 17 years, global warming has been occurring at a rate that is below the average climate model expected warming.

In the opinion of the panel, the warming trend in global - mean surface temperature observations during the past 20 years is undoubtedly real and is substantially greater than the average rate of warming during the twentieth century.

Fourth, although the satellite evidence clearly indicates that the atmosphere has warmed since 1979, that warming has stalled since the 1998 peak - Chart # 2's 5 - year average for the RSS dataset vividly shows the «Pause / Hiatus / Stall», equal to a cooling rate of -0.1 / century.