Additionally the oceanic warming and cooling cycles introduce constant, rapid and substantial changes not yet reflected in any models and which invalidate
any averaged global estimates of the planetary heat budget.
Not exact matches
If we assume a 2 - year
average upgrade cycle for smartphones and growth trends remain the same, the
global smartphone installed base will grow from 2.2 billion in 2014 to about 4.2 billion by the end of 2017, according to our
estimates.
Meanwhile,
global oil stockpiles in developed countries could actually fall below the five - year
average — the level OPEC is targeting — as inventories approach normal levels, oil demand potentially outstrips Goldman's
estimate and OPEC possibly cuts output too deeply.
By its own
estimate, Boeing sees
global passenger traffic growing 4.7 percent annually on
average for the next 20 years.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
estimates that an
average of 800,000 barrels per day in production were taken offline last month, contributing greatly to May's having the highest monthly level of unplanned
global oil supply disruptions since the agency began tracking such data in 2011.
All told,
global gross domestic product (GDP) is on track to increase an
estimated 3.8 % next year, the strongest showing since 2011, and a few ticks higher than the long - term
average of 3.5 %.
In fact, 2015 was the fourth straight year in which
global GDP growth,
estimated at 3.1 %, fell short of the 30 - year annual
average of 3.6 %.
In Australia, suppliers» share of the profit pool is
estimated to have risen from 55 per cent to 60 per cent in 2015, but remains well below the
global industry
average of 79 per cent.
Global Food Security
estimates that households throw away # 500 - worth of food on
average each year, or 5 kg a week.
In contrast to these
global trends among traditional societies and non-Western countries, U.S. government data
estimates that fewer than 15 % of Americans continue nursing their infants after they are just six months old (while Canadians are slightly higher with an
average of about 25 %).
The
global porn industry is
estimated to be worth $ 97 billion (# 63 billion), with recent research suggesting young men now watch an
average of 2.5 hours of pornography a week.
A recent World Bank report reveals that
Global Average Annual Losses from disasters in the built environment are now
estimated at $ 314 billion and can increase to $ 415 billion by 2030..
Last week Gavin Schmidt, head of NASA's Goddard Institute of Space Studies,
estimated that the
average global temperature in 2016 could range from about 1.1 °C above preindustrial to only slightly below 1.5 °C, based on GISS's temperature record and its definition of pre-industrial (other records and definitions vary).
In this study, we created new per - animal emissions factors — that is measures of the
average amount of CH4 discharged by animals into the atmosphere — and new
estimates of
global livestock methane emissions.»
With Arctic temperatures warming twice as fast as the
global average, scientists
estimate thawing permafrost could release large amounts of carbon into the atmosphere through the end of the century with significant climate impacts.
IPCC
estimates, using the best and longest record available, show that the difference between the 1986 - 2005
global average temperature value used in most of the Panel's projections, and pre-industrial
global average temperature, is 0.61 °C (0.55 - 0.67).
They thereby
estimated that China contributes an
average of 10 % to current,
global radiative forcing.
According to one
estimate, nations» current mitigation policies would still result in a 3.6 - degree C increase in
average global temperature by the end of the century.
But it will take a couple of years — until about 2016, Tans
estimates — for annual
global -
average CO2 levels to surpass 400 ppm.
Global surface temperatures in 2016
averaged 14.8 degrees Celsius (58.64 °F), or 1.3 C (2.3 F) higher than
estimated before the Industrial Revolution ushered in wide use of fossil fuels, the EU body said.
This new research takes away the lower end of climate sensitivity
estimates, meaning that
global average temperatures will increase by 3 °C to 5 °C with a doubling of carbon dioxide.»
The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has
estimated that the
average global warming in this century will rise by 4 °C in a business - as - usual scenario.
The result is an
estimate of the
global average temperature difference from a baseline period of 1951 to 1980.
The U.S. National Research Council (NRC)
estimates that every degree Celsius of warming in
global average temperatures means a 5 to 15 percent drop in yield, particularly for corn, in North America.
Even so, the IPCC
estimates above indicate: 1) Total Net Atmospheric Carbon Emissions to 2100 will amount to ~ 2050 PgC (or more) on current Trends, 2) A BAU projected
estimate would push CO2 to ~ 952 ppm by 2100 (or more), and 3)
Global average temperature increase / anomaly would be as high as ~ 6.8 C by 2100
Global mean temperatures
averaged over land and ocean surfaces, from three different
estimates, each of which has been independently adjusted for various homogeneity issues, are consistent within uncertainty
estimates over the period 1901 to 2005 and show similar rates of increase in recent decades.
The study, published in the June 30 edition of the journal Environmental Research Letters, was based on an
average global temperature increase of 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit, which is considered a relatively conservative
estimate and the limit needed to avert catastrophic impacts.
In the worst hit cities, the economists
estimate, the losses could reach 10.9 percent of GDP by the end of the century, double the expected
global average loss of 5.6 percent.
Global mean temperature for the period January to September 2017 was 0.47 ° ± 0.08 °C warmer than the 1981 - 2010
average (
estimated at 14.31 °C).
For a future of continued growth in emissions the new results indicate a likely
global average sea - level rise between 1.1 and 2.1 meters (3.6 to 6.9 feet)-- roughly double the IPCC - consistent
estimate.
One recent modeling study focused on this mode of instability
estimated that the Antarctic ice sheet has a 1 - in - 20 chance of contributing about 30 centimeters (1.0 feet) to
global average sea - level rise over the course of this century and 72 centimeters (2.4 feet) by the end of the next century.
If we continue we'll soon get close to 560 [double the carbon dioxide concentration preceding the industrial revolution] or 2.3 (our
estimate) to 3 (I.P.C.C.) degrees C. (4.1 - 5.4 degrees F.)
global average surface air warming.
• 2 to 4.5 °C is lifting range that must suffer the
global average temperature by the end of this century according to
estimates made by the UN IPCC - Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
As the McKinsey
Global Institute notes, the
average employee spends an
estimated 20 % of their time looking for internal information or tracking down colleagues who can help with specific tasks.
Note: When you are adjusting a
global bid, the preview shows you an
estimate of your
average position.
• 484,594 serviced apartments in 6,426 locations across The Americas and Canada, together with 70,300 corporate housing units • US accounts for 25 per cent of the $ 100 billion
global vacation rental sector, which is expected to be worth $ 170 billion by 2019 • Region accounts for region accounts for 58.61 per cent of the
global serviced apartment inventory • US corporate housing
Average Daily Rate was $ 150 in 2016 • 800 extended stay hotels in Hilton portfolio, with more than 500 in the pipeline, representing 15 per cent of the Hilton portfolio • 1 serviced apartment, branded residence, aparthotel, corporate accommodation and short - term rental conference and exhibition for the Americas • US corporate housing inventory is
estimated at 66,863 units • Around 7,700 serviced apartments in 95 locations across LATAM region • US corporate housing revenues increased 10.2 %, to $ 3.2 billion in 2016 • Canadian corporate housing revenue is an
estimated $ 278 million.
The combination of these factors means it's much easier to interpolate anomalies and
estimate the
global mean, than it would be if you were
averaging absolute temperatures.
Today's
global average temperature is
estimated at around 59 degrees.
Since the GCMs have clearly overpredicted the overall trend in
global average mean temperature, and since there are other epochs where there fit to the overall trend is poor, I think that you confidence in an
estimate of natural variability based on them is misplaced.
Item 8 could be confusing in having so many messages: «It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in
global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas... The best
estimate of the human - induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period....
As an example (and I don't have data, just a thought experiment), when we
estimate average global temperature and we grid up the planet, how do we test that the grid size is appropriate to sample?
The work is an
estimate of the
global average based on a single - column, time -
average model of the atmosphere and surface (with some approximations — e.g. the surface is not truly a perfect blackbody in the LW (long - wave) portion of the spectrum (the wavelengths dominated by terrestrial / atmospheric emission, as opposed to SW radiation, dominated by solar radiation), but it can give you a pretty good idea of things (fig 1 shows a spectrum of radiation to space); there is also some comparison to actual measurements.
[Response: While the raw data at any one station at any one time obviously doesn't change, the value for any regional or
global average in the past is always an
estimate since there isn't a perfect network of measurements across the whole area.
I say I don't know what the
global mean is because what is actually
estimated is a spatially weighted
average of the (homogenised etc) data.
will be able to «roll their own»
global -
average temperature
estimates by clicking on GHCN station locations on a map.
If we continue we'll soon get close to 560 [double the carbon dioxide concentration preceding the industrial revolution] or 2.3 (our
estimate) to 3 (I.P.C.C.) degrees C. (4.1 - 5.4 degrees F.)
global average surface air warming.
Average global flood losses in 2005 are
estimated to be approximately $ 6 billion per year (U.S. dollars), increasing to $ 52 billion by 2050 with projected socio - economic change alone.
During the Little Ice Age, the fall in
average global temperature is
estimated to have been less than 1 Â °C and lasted 70 years.
GISS, HadCRU, RSS, and UAH represent the four organizations that publish online the
global average temperature
estimates.
For example, if this contribution were to grow linearly with
global average temperature change, the upper ranges of sea level rise for SRES scenarios shown in Table SPM - 3 would increase by 0.1 m to 0.2 m. Larger values can not be excluded, but understanding of these effects is too limited to assess their likelihood or provide a best
estimate or an upper bound for sea level rise.