«Global mean time series of surface - and satellite - observed low - level and total cloud cover exhibit very large discrepancies, however, implying that artifacts exist in one or both data sets... The surface - observed low - level cloud cover time series
averaged over the global ocean appears suspicious because it reports a very large 5 % - sky - cover increase between 1952 and 1997.
...
Averaged over the global ocean surface, the mean rate of sea level change due to GIA is independently estimated from models at -0.3 mm / yr (Peltier, 2001, 2002, 2009; Peltier & Luthcke, 2009).
«Global mean time series of surface - and satellite - observed low - level and total cloud cover exhibit very large discrepancies, however, implying that artifacts exist in one or both data sets... The surface - observed low - level cloud cover time series
averaged over the global ocean appears suspicious because it reports a very large 5 % - sky - cover increase between 1952 and 1997.
Not exact matches
Land and
Ocean Combined: The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for August 2014 was the record highest for the month, at 61.45 °F (16.35 °C), or 1.35 °F (0.75 °C) above the 20th century average of 60.1 °F (15.6
Ocean Combined: The combined
average temperature
over global land and
ocean surfaces for August 2014 was the record highest for the month, at 61.45 °F (16.35 °C), or 1.35 °F (0.75 °C) above the 20th century average of 60.1 °F (15.6
ocean surfaces for August 2014 was the record highest for the month, at 61.45 °F (16.35 °C), or 1.35 °F (0.75 °C) above the 20th century
average of 60.1 °F (15.6 °C).
The
global average temperature
over land and
ocean surfaces for January to October 2014 was the highest on record, according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
This map shows a
global three - day
average of wind speeds
over the world's
oceans.
The
average amount of heat absorbed and trapped in the upper
ocean over the past year was also higher than ever seen before, according to Deke Arndt, chief of the
global monitoring branch of NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
Global mean temperatures
averaged over land and
ocean surfaces, from three different estimates, each of which has been independently adjusted for various homogeneity issues, are consistent within uncertainty estimates
over the period 1901 to 2005 and show similar rates of increase in recent decades.
Temperature changes relative to the corresponding
average for 1901 - 1950 (°C) from decade to decade from 1906 to 2005
over the Earth's continents, as well as the entire globe,
global land area and the
global ocean (lower graphs).
Cooling sea - surface temperatures
over the tropical Pacific
Ocean — part of a natural warm and cold cycle — may explain why
global average temperatures have stabilized in recent years, even as greenhouse gas emissions have been warming the planet.
Since the CMIP5 models used by the IPCC on
average adequately reproduce observed
global warming in the last two and a half decades of the 20th century without any contribution from multidecadal
ocean variability, it follows that those models (whose mean TCR is slightly
over 1.8 °C) must be substantially too sensitive.
«The combined
average temperature
over global land and
ocean surfaces tied with 2010 as the highest on record for April, at 58.09 °F (14.47 °C) or 1.39 °F (0.77 °C) above the 20th century
average.»
C is not constant for the dT» / dt equation to apply because heat penetrates through different parts of the climate system (different depths of the
ocean in particular)
over different time scales (also, if T» is supposed to be at some reference location or the
global average at some vertical level, T» at other locations will vary; C will have to be an effective C value, the heat per unit change in the T» at the location (s) where T» occurs)
Here the adjustment is determined by (1) calculating the collocated ship - buoy SST difference
over the
global ocean from 1982 - 2012, (2) calculating the
global areal weighted
average of ship - buoy SST difference, (3) applying a 12 - month running filter to the
global averaged ship - buoy SST difference, and (4) evaluating the mean difference and its STD of ship - buoy SSTs based on the data from 1990 to 2012 (the data are noisy before 1990 due to sparse buoy observations).
The HadCRUT4 dataset, compiled from many thousands of temperature measurements taken across the globe, from all continents and all
oceans, is used to estimate
global temperature, shows that 2017 was 0.99 ± 0.1 °C above pre-industrial levels, taken as the
average over the period 1850 - 1900, and 0.38 ± 0.1 °C above the 1981 - 2010
average.
Clearly the rate at which TOA imbalance diffuses into and through the
global ocean is key to how much and how quickly
global average surface temperature will rise
over any given span of time.
OHC may be one of the best measures of the top of atmosphere imbalance available -
averaged over long time periods,
global, representing (for the full depth of the
oceans) ~ 93 % of the energy changes.
Global warming Increase in average global temperatures of the atmosphere and oceans over the past 100
Global warming Increase in
average global temperatures of the atmosphere and oceans over the past 100
global temperatures of the atmosphere and
oceans over the past 100 years.
The combined
average temperature
over global land and
ocean surfaces for April 2016 was 1.98 °F above the 20th century
average — the highest temperature departure for April since
global records began in 1880.
Over the long - term, melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet could yield as much as 10 to 14 feet of
global average sea level rise, with local sea level rise varying considerably depending on land elevation trends,
ocean currents and other factors.
Large and Yeager (2012) examined
global ocean average net heat flux variability using the CORE data set
over 1984 — 2006 and concluded that natural variability, rather than long - term climate change, dominates heat flux changes
over this relatively short, recent period.
Although
global warming appears to have taken a breather
over the past decade and a half, the leveling off of
average global temperatures is likely just a temporary phenomenon that is due to other climate influences from the sun's radiance level to natural temperature oscillations in the Pacific
ocean.
While the warming of
average global surface temperatures has slowed (though not nearly as much as previously believed), the overall amount of heat accumulated by the
global climate has not, with
over 90 percent being absorbed by the
oceans.
Given
ocean surface is
over twice land surface and some of the land some of the time is quite wet this drags down the
average that CO2 warming can acheive on a
global basis.
Christy is correct to note that the model
average warming trend (0.23 °C / decade for 1978 - 2011) is a bit higher than observations (0.17 °C / decade
over the same timeframe), but that is because
over the past decade virtually every natural influence on
global temperatures has acted in the cooling direction (i.e. an extended solar minimum, rising aerosols emissions, and increased heat storage in the deep
oceans).
During that same period,
average annual rainfall in New South Wales declined by 3.6 inches (92 millimeters).3 Scientists think the decline in autumn rainfall in southeast Australia since the late 1950s may be partly due to increases in heat - trapping gases in Earth's atmosphere.3, 14 Major bushfires
over southeast Australia are linked to the positive phase of an
ocean cycle called the «Indian Ocean Dipole» — when sea surface temperatures are warmer than average in the western Indian Ocean, likely in response to global warming.1
ocean cycle called the «Indian
Ocean Dipole» — when sea surface temperatures are warmer than average in the western Indian Ocean, likely in response to global warming.1
Ocean Dipole» — when sea surface temperatures are warmer than
average in the western Indian
Ocean, likely in response to global warming.1
Ocean, likely in response to
global warming.15, 16
The fact this is seemingly not fully recognized — or here integrated — by Curry goes to the same reason Curry does not recognize why the so called «pause» is a fiction, why the «slowing» of the «rate» of increase in
average ambient
global land and
ocean surface air temperatures
over a shorter term period from the larger spike beyond the longer term mean of the 90s is also meaningless in terms of the basic issue, and why the
average ambient increase in
global air temperatures
over such a short term is by far the least important empirical indicia of the issue.
However,
over long time periods, the variation of the
global average temperature with CO2 concentration depends on various factors such as the placement of the continents on Earth, the functionality of
ocean currents, the past history of the climate, the orientation of the Earth's orbit relative to the Sun, the luminosity of the Sun, the presence of aerosols in the atmosphere, volcanic action, land clearing, biological evolution, etc..
I'm very convinced that the physical process of
global warming is continuing, which appears as a statistically significant increase of the
global surface and tropospheric temperature anomaly
over a time scale of about 20 years and longer and also as trends in other climate variables (e.g.,
global ocean heat content increase, Arctic and Antarctic ice decrease, mountain glacier decrease on
average and others), and I don't see any scientific evidence according to which this trend has been broken, recently.
«The combined
average temperature
over global land and
ocean surfaces for July 2015 was the highest for July in the 136 - year period of record, at 0.81 °C (1.46 °F) above the 20th century
average of 15.8 °C (60.4 °F), surpassing the previous record set in 1998 by 0.08 °C (0.14 °F).»
The CO2 doubling response from CM2.6,
over 70 - 80 years, shows that upper -
ocean (0 - 300 m) temperature in the Northwest Atlantic Shelf warms at a rate nearly twice as fast as the coarser models and nearly three times faster than the
global average.
Iron is normally present in our
oceans, however
over the last century we have seen a significant decline in phytoplankton biomass, an
average of 1 % of the
global median per year.
(2) the «Sea Surface» temperatures, which are
averaged over the
global ice - free
oceans (60N to 60S), from the AMSR - E instrument on Aqua.
(1) there is established scientific concern
over warming of the climate system based upon evidence from observations of increases in
global average air and
ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising
global average sea level;
Over the
oceans as well as on land, the
average global temperature for the 12 - month period that began last December was 14.65 ˚C.
Otherwise the CO2 levels of the great Southern
Ocean (SO) below 30S would not be capable of maintaining a relatively constant CO2 level some 0.480 ± 0.065 % below the
global average over 27 years!!!
«The combined
average temperature
over global land and
ocean surfaces for August 2014 was record high for the month, at 0.75 C (1.35 F) above the 20th century
average of 15.6 C (60.1 F) topping the previous record set in 1998».
This is because
oceans occupy about 70 percent of the
global surface and their warming and cooling
averaged over long intervals dominates the record.
Until climatologists can properly make models that reflect the entire
global history and take into account plate position and how high the plates ride, oceanic levels due to this and the position of
oceans, overall insolation, overall daylength and its effects on
average global temperature and factor in known carbon dioxide levels
over that time period, then they will be unable to give any correlation between current carbon dioxide levels and
global temperature.
Global temperatures usually are described in terms of the surface air temperature anomaly, the deviation of the temperature at each site from a mean of many years that is
averaged over the whole world, both land and
oceans.
For
global average sea level, the main control on water density
over these times is
ocean temperature, with warming causing thermal expansion by roughly 0.4 m per degree C (Levermann et al., 2013).
http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/04/historically-co2-never-causes.html 100 years of shift does not factor into the larger scale phenomena http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/01/one-hundred-years-is-not-enough.html Until climatologists can properly make models that reflect the entire
global history and take into account plate position and how high the plates ride, oceanic levels due to this and the position of
oceans, overall insolation, overall daylength and its effects on
average global temperature and factor in known carbon dioxide levels
over that time period, then they will be unable to give any correlation between current carbon dioxide levels and
global temperature.
Rise of the
global average sea level
over the time periods of most interest to human economies is controlled primarily by the mass or density of
ocean water.
Spencer and Braswell used a very simple climate model to simulate the
global temperature variations
averaged over the top 2000 meters of the
global ocean during the period 1955 - 2011.
I would love to see a link to the study that temporal / spatial coverage
over the
global ocean was adequate for
global average temperature.
The ARGO network has remedied the inadequacy of the
ocean measurements to some extent, but they still only measure down to 2000 metres - whereas the the
global oceans are
over twice that depth on
average.
There has not been shown to be a density variation of significance that correlates with
average temperature variation (e.g, the recent high
average temperature came from a small very hot area
over the
ocean and a small northern area, and more normal to even colder temperatures everywhere else, not
global temperatures being warmer), and Solar activity has been shown to correlate very well with much of the long term (thousands of years time scale)
global temperature trend.
For the real earth, with a significant heat capacity and significant atmospheric and
ocean transport, the one summary number that has meaning is the
average of T ^ 4
over the surface of the earth... That is what is going to go into determination of the
global surface radiative balance.
NOAA: «The globally
averaged temperature
over land and
ocean surfaces for September 2017 was the fourth highest for the month of September in the NOAA
global temperature dataset record, which dates back 138 years to 1880.
The combined
global average temperature
over the land and
ocean surfaces for November 2017 was 0.75 °C (1.35 °F) above the 20th century
average of 12.9 °C (55.2 °F).