Not exact matches
Citing the work of Dr. John Christy and Richard McNider at the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), which compared
climate model projections with temperatures measured independently by satellites and weather balloons, he said «the
average warming predicted to have occurred since 1979 (when the satellite data starts) is approximately three times larger than what is being observed.»
The widespread trend of increasing heavy downpours is expected to continue,
with precipitation becoming less frequent but more intense.13, 14,15,16 The patterns of the projected changes of precipitation do not contain the spatial details that characterize observed precipitation, especially in mountainous terrain, because the
projections are
averages from multiple
models and because the effective resolution of global
climate models is roughly 100 - 200 miles.
It is worth noting that the
average impact estimates for the baseline period are quantitatively in agreement
with reported figures at European level (see Alfieri et al. 2015b), thus supporting the suitability of the impact
model and the underlying datasets for future
climate projections.
The implicit assumption underlying all those multi-
model projections and
averages is that the
model physical theory itself is physically complete and would yield a physically true representation of the
climate if only the parameters were exactly known, along
with the initial conditions.
Coupled
with the
average climate - change — driven rate of sea level rise over these same 25 y of 2.9 mm / y, simple extrapolation of the quadratic implies global mean sea level could rise 65 ± 12 cm by 2100 compared with 2005, roughly in agreement with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report (AR5) model proje
climate - change — driven rate of sea level rise over these same 25 y of 2.9 mm / y, simple extrapolation of the quadratic implies global mean sea level could rise 65 ± 12 cm by 2100 compared
with 2005, roughly in agreement
with the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report (AR5) model proje
Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report (AR5)
model projections.