Sentences with phrase «back of an envelope»

I learn stuff by chasing down data sets and either doing back of envelope checks or trying out methods of my own and seeing what breaks.
You might even start doing a little back of the envelope math on run rates.
I did some detailed guessing in a prior post, but would rather see more solid figures than my own back of the envelope attempt.
There is a lot of back of the envelope devil in the detail in my view, which is why cutting out normal scrutiny is poor.
My very bad back of the envelope calculation says sea level can not rise more than 800 feet before the ocean boils.
The percentages are back of the envelope assessments of the certainty of risk posed to the various reasons by continuing business as usual.
My simple back of the envelope estimates show the 10.6 % tax efficient investment (based on our combined 401Ks) will be approximately 8 % in five years, or roughly $ 80K (growing at an estimated 7 - 8 %).
In normal situations, you may not find the need to calculate total equity from debt to equity ratio, but this is good to know for back of the envelope calculations or accuracy checking your analysis.
Steve, I think it is fairly well established that the earth's climate system is more sensitive to solar forcing than one would expect from a simple back of the envelope estimate of the increase in total irradiance.
Just some quick back of the envelope calculations on your idea of sprucing up every store's nook area shows how quickly the costs add up.
So Gavin are you saying «Someone could have perfect data and absolutely correct code, but because their analysis is based on a fundamentally incorrect assumption», instead back of an envelope thinking is the correct scientific method to use just as long as it comes to the right conclusion?
These are back of the envelope numbers, so you could quibble with them, but not enough to matter, in my opinion.
I'm using a real back of envelope analysis here, but even if the defense budget is slashed by a drastic and unlikely $ 385B (43 % from current budget of $ 685B) and if XLS earnings are commensurately affected it would still be cheap at around 6.5 x earnings.
Their preferred investments have a universe of less than 10 and you would think they know those stocks very closely instead what has become clear is the standard of their research is back of the envelope stuff.
I've done enough back of the envelope calculations on TSI (and also aerosols, using some guesstimates for forcing from Hansen et al 2007, chart (a)-RRB-, to believe the model / observations gap is larger than the posting above would have you conclude.
It's difficult to say for sure without some heavy duty number crunching, but a little back of the envelope work provides approximate result.
Charles Hugh Smith: Yeah that was my sort of back of the envelope forecast a year or so ago and last summer.
The method was immediately assailed by campaign finance expert Prof. Michael Malbin, who called it «little more than back of the envelope arithmetic based on incredible assumptions.»
«Back of the envelope [calculations] suggest that what we're going to lose from this spill is nowhere close to the background rates of wetland loss,» says Alex Kolker, a coastal geologist with the Louisiana Universities Marine Consortium in Chauvin.
Taking the current $ 64.0 mio valuation, and a current annual $ 8.4 mio premium, it's back of the envelope easy to reach a $ 162.3 mio FV over a 4.6 yr LE, when using a 12 % IRR.
It still shocks me that the implied losses from this exercise (or even my own back of the envelope losses) are significantly greater than each bank's current provisioning.
A very rough back of the envelope calculation suggest that energy required to melt that ice is equivalent to 1 - 2 % of the additional energy due to greenhouse warming over the same period.
One recent back of the envelope estimate of the cost is $ 5 trillion dollars, or about $ 40,000 for every US household, presumably just for the capital costs.
Yes back of the envelope often look good without the fine detail, factor in the number of plants - your cost estimates seem cheap i thought it was about 1 bill per plant - extra power generation, the rest of the infastructure, land etc and your numbers wouldn't add up.
«Back of the envelope repair estimate» and the image of an envelope with text representing estimated repairs are both trademarks of Crab Properties, LLC.
Based on back of the envelope calculations and estimates from Fundstrat, Bitcoin valuation could shed another $ 37 billion in the near future, falling to about $ 99 billion in market capitalization.
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