Sentences with phrase «backcast from»

Once you consider that using a reasonable time frame, say 100 years or so, so maybe 2100, you must then backcast from there, not forecast from here.

Not exact matches

Here is the comparison of the backcasts of global temperature from the Canadian model in comparison with the observations.

In this chart, the red is the «backcasting» of temperature history using climate models, the black line is the highly smoothed actuals, while the blue is a guess from the models as to what temperatures would have looked like without manmade forcings, particularly CO2.

And, if one modifies the model to be more theoretically - justiable (albeit still simplistic), it does a much better job both backcasting and forecasting from the year 2000 data.