Which is not
bad as a prediction nearly two decades ago.
Not exact matches
The storm, a record - breaker that made landfall in Florida
as a Category 4, did not end up delivering on some of
worst predictions of catastrophic storm surge to vulnerable urban areas like Tampa and Miami.
Yes, the authors of the Gospels were a bit like a group of screenwriters fulfilling a
prediction that James Bond will save the World, get the girl and kill the
bad guy
as the write the script for the upcoming Bond film.
Given that mainstream Christianity rejects this ridiculous
prediction I feel
bad for Christians who will now
as a group get another slap in the face because of some out spoken jerk.
Chelsea will lose, my
prediction is 4 - 1, maybe i am wrong, maybe we will win 5 - 1, LOL Who knows what will happened, i am feeling that we will trash them, this is same chelsea team which lost against Psg, they are nothing special, they will win league, but to consider them that much better than us is crazy, for me they are in same hat with us, Bayern, Real and Barca are above, this is reality, we had awfull start of season due to
bad preparation, but we need to give our players credit they deserve, we are equally good
as chelsea.
Time for some brutal honesty... this team,
as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far
worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in,
as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position...
as far
as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment,
as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a
prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer
as a result of his presence on the pitch...
as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just
as much time on the training table
as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too
bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore
as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
Predictions that the numbers would drop off
as the weather got
worse and the seas became colder and rougher have, sadly, been proved wrong.
Speaking on Monday, Clegg insisted that he wants to lead the Lib Dems until at least 2020
as he brushed off the
bad set of opinion polls and
predictions of a wipeout at next month's European elections.
Yet, just
as Ukip did a little
worse than some
predictions, so the others suffered less
badly than first appeared.
I suspect that come the general election they will rally and it won't quite be
as bad as the dire
predictions.
That means the future of agriculture
as the climate changes could be even
worse than this
prediction — and that's before taking into account other factors such
as the effect of pests.
Calculations can be a little tricky, because anomalies such
as deficits, exceptionally good or
bad years, or a multitude of other variations could throw the
predictions out of whack.
I have no idea if his
prediction will come to fruition, but
as investors we should always be prepared for the
worst even if we hope for the best.
Joins us
as we make really
bad predictions for E3 2018, from Nintendo, Sony and Microsoft to crazy hardware announcements and more!
Especially
as over the years the
predictions appear to be getting
worse not better.
This is dramatically
worse than even the dire
predictions from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which predicts at least a 5 - degree Celsius increase by 2100
as its
worst - case scenario.»
Worse, the news media, climate activists, politicians, and regulators treat the «projections»
as predictions, or forecasts, for purposes of stirring up public anxiety and trying to justify draconian anti-fossil-fuel policies.
Pointing out,
as this blog does so well, how
badly the Warmists miss their
predictions is a good thing.
Bad Andrew said on January 17, 2014 at 4:23 pm «
Prediction of the future becomes increasingly difficult the farther in the future you imagine
as more unknowns will present themselves.»
The multimodel mean is not intrinsically
worse in this regard than the mean of 5 realizations of a diffusion process, the mean time lapse of 4 atomic clocks (
as was used in an experiment testing a
prediction of general relativity), or successive measures on an industrial process.
Of course, I agree with you that all «catastrophe» projections or
predictions, such
as those I listed of IPCC, refer to «a possibility not a certainty of something
bad happening».
Just
as a hypothetical example: If climate scientist will tell me that recent pause in global warming is due to the effect of an inactive sun (which is the reality
as reported by following) http://www.spaceweather.com and that they will go back and improve their models to account for this, then I would be more inclined to believe their other claims... Instead the IPCC doubles down on their
predictions and claim the future effects will be
worst than they originally thought?
The
bad news is that
as more is understood about global warming, and
as we compare what has happened to what was predicted by the average models (from the actual science, not from popular sensationalized media), the earlier scientific
predictions have turned out to be too conservative, not
as you say «too alarmist».
Even
worse, if the models produce less natural variability, even if their
prediction does not change one jot, they will be reported
as «more skillful» by this type of analysis.
The
bad predictions are about
as useful
as religion, yet still claim to be «science - based».
When you try to match a line's slope, but then shift that line upward, choosing the intercept deliberately to make the
prediction look
as bad as possible, that's dishonest.
In other words, the
prediction schemes used to get polar bears listed
as threatened under the US Endangered Species Act treat the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas
as identical habitats that would be among the
worst affected.
It may take a while but
as their
predictions get
worst and the ice grows, slowly this will start to happen.
As the real world evidence mounts that global warming claims are failing, climate activists have ramped up
predictions of future climate change impacts, declaring that it is «
worse than we thought.»
As someone who won't accept the global warming mantra I can often be discouraged by the persistent abuse, be it in the small form «science - denier» or the
worse «Big oil shill» and up to «you are killing our grandchildren» but I keep heart that the observation will continue to diverge from the
prediction and someone will eventually shout loud enough... «but he's not wearing any clothes».
SINCE Copenhagen the intensity of doom and gloom [D&G] has been ratcheted up with such anthropogenic global warming luminaries
as Will Steffan and David Karoly declaring their previous
predictions not dire enough and so have been superseded by much
worse predictions.
Some of Popper's replies to his critics in The Philosophy of Karl Popper contain arguments almost
as bad — for instance, in reply to the ease for determinism presented by Feigl and Meehl, Popper remarks that they were unable to predict the form his reply would take, although Feigl and Meehl had explicitly disclaimed the ability to make such
predictions.
Then the biggest - ever study of climate change, based at Oxford University, reported that it could prove to be twice
as catastrophic
as the IPCC's
worst predictions.
Worst - case
predictions are that by 2100, temperatures could increase by
as much
as 3.7 degrees Celsius (6.6 Fahrenheit), the report says.
The subhead, Why scientists find climate change so hard to predict, is even
worse as it tars current scientists with the same brush, yet the article doesn't address current
prediction challenges in any useful way.
Unfortunately, it's all very possible... Basically, what Levin does here is compile various
predictions from a number of climate scientists and writers, cite historical precedents for climate - related migrations in the US (the Dust Bowl), and make some compelling inferences
as to what could happen
as weather conditions continue to get
worse than they ever have before.
But this only makes the imperative to act that much greater, because,
as one set of grim
predictions is being borne out, another, even
worse set remains to be written.
When the information / feedback environment is not
as conducive to evaluating agent success or failure, and / or when the people paying the bills (or giving status) rewards care about things other than accurate and useful
predictions, then «skin in the game» is a
bad thing for truth and usefulness, because the incentives may point in other directions.
I agree with that but can not resist pointing out that it represents a failed
prediction by the «consumption is
bad and we should all return to nature» lot,
as well of course
as the (far more powerful and more dishonest) «climate action will ruin our living standards» lot.
Following
predictions of apocalyptic Hurricane Irma insurance losses, it appears
as though the storm may be costly, but nowhere near the
worst case scenario.