Just how
bad low oil prices are — if they're bad at all — kind of depends on your perspective, he says.
Not exact matches
Because I don't see the capital markets continuing to fund non-conventional
oil drilling when the ever present risk of prolonged
low prices, or
worse another step down I therefore see the balancing of the market occurring sooner then you suggest.
If
lower oil prices are as
bad for Canada's economy as rate - cutting Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz insists, the central bank might consider assessing the risks to the economy in a world where constraining carbon emissions becomes less of an abstract notion and more of a daily reality.
Commodity
prices have been heading
lower for more than four years, and according to data accessible via Bloomberg, commodities have been the
worst performing asset class of 2015, with the most severe losses in cyclical commodities, such as
oil and industrial metals.
However, the fact that the average quantity of frack sand used per well has more than doubled in recent years — which has helped
lower the breakeven
price of U.S. shale
oil — should help insulate the industry from the
worst of the
oil crash.
He says
oil prices are «so
low right now, consensus earnings expectations have dropped through the floor and they keep getting
worse.»
Before turning to the «good news» about
low crude
oil prices (and there surely is good news), it's worthwhile noting that whether individual businesses find these
low prices to be good or
bad depends largely upon the economic sector in which they operate.
Second, it's frequently been asserted that
low oil prices are
bad news for the development of alternative forms of energy, including renewable sources.
And, of course,
low oil prices are systematically
bad news for
oil producers, including the major U.S. companies.
The U.S. shale
oil boom is becoming its own
worst enemy, say industry analysts, who see the supply glut pushing the
price of
oil so
low it may become uneconomical to pry petroleum from those tight rock formations.
What's this means is production, and thus supply for the market, will decline rapidly if the recent drop in the
price of
oil discourages new drilling, which could well be the case if the
price remains
low, or
worse yet, continues to drop.
«As
bad as current market conditions have been for onshore
oil producers,
low oil prices have resulted in even greater cutbacks in capital spending for offshore
oil producers,» said Isaac Orr, research fellow at The Heartland Institute, which publishes Environment & Climate News.