And more recent estimates of the Antarctic mass
balance contribution to sea level rise has the East Antarctica ice sheet gaining mass at a more accelerated pace for 2003 - 2013 than the mere +14 Gt per year identified by Shepherd et al. (2012) for 1992 - 2011.
Not exact matches
Eric Rignot most recent work in 2008 supported a larger, accelerating
contribution of Antarctica's ice mass
balance to the
rise in
sea level.
If a negative surface mass
balance were sustained for millennia, that would lead
to virtually complete elimination of the Greenland ice sheet and a resulting
contribution to sea level rise of about 7 m.
Balancing claims of Antarctica's soon and large
contributions to sea level rise, wildfires, droughts and more Godzilla super storms.
As with IMBIE 2012, it will collate, compare, integrate, interpret, and report satellite estimates of ice sheet mass
balance, with the overall aim of producing a community assessment of Greenland and Antarctica's ongoing
contributions to global
sea level rise.
Hay et al. (2015) argue that rates of
sea level rise between 1.0 and 1.4 mm yr - 1 close the
sea -
level budget for 1901 — 1990 as estimated in AR5, without appealing
to an underestimation of individual
contributions from ocean thermal expansion, glacier melting, or ice sheet mass
balance.
Ice mass loss of the marine - terminating glaciers has rapidly accelerated from close
to balance in the 2000s
to a sustained rate of — 56 ± 8 gigatons per year, constituting a major fraction of Antarctica's
contribution to rising sea level.
These observations support recent model projections that surface mass
balance, rather than ice dynamics, will dominate the ice sheet's
contribution to 21st century
sea level rise.
According
to the report, «Contraction of the Greenland ice sheet is projected
to continue
to contribute
to sea level rise after 2100,» and» [i] f a negative surface mass
balance were sustained for millennia, that would lead
to virtually complete elimination of the Greenland ice sheet and a resulting
contribution to sea level rise of about 7 m,» which is equivalent
to approximately 23 feet.
RealClimate has reviewed the issues raised by these articles and attempted
to clarify the sometimes conflicting inferences about the current mass
balance of the ice sheets, as well as their future
contributions to global mean
sea level rise (see here and here).
However, mass
balance observations are needed for estimating the
contribution of glacier melt
to sea level rise, so are discussed further in Chapter 11.