Because ice sheets contain so much ice and have the potential to raise or lower global sea level so dramatically, measuring the mass
balance of the ice sheets and tracking any mass balance changes and their causes is very important for forecasting sea level rise.
In 2007, Denmark launched the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE) to assess changes in the mass
balance of the ice sheet.
The mass
balance of the ice sheets continues to change over time.
The papers do not address the total mass
balance of the ice sheets, and the authors admit that the ablation at the edges may offset the gains on the interior.
RealClimate has reviewed the issues raised by these articles and attempted to clarify the sometimes conflicting inferences about the current mass
balance of the ice sheets, as well as their future contributions to global mean sea level rise (see here and here).
Not exact matches
Understanding sea level change in relation to the mass
balance of Greenland's and Antarctica's
ice sheets is at the heart
of the CReSIS mission.
One way to assess the health
of ice sheets is to look at their
balance: when an
ice sheet is in
balance, the
ice gained through snowfall equals the
ice lost through melting and iceberg calving.
When the team looked at the overall
balance between the radiation upward from the surface
of the
ice sheet and the radiation both upward and downward from the upper levels
of the atmosphere across all infrared wavelengths over the course
of a year, they found that in central Antarctica the surface and lower atmosphere, against expectation, actually lose more energy to space if the air contains greenhouse gases, the researchers report online and in a forthcoming Geophysical Research Letters.
Even relatively large calving events, where tabular
ice chunks the size
of Manhattan or bigger calve from the seaward front
of the shelf, can be considered normal if the
ice sheet is in overall
balance.
Thousands
of marks on the Antarctic seafloor, caused by icebergs which broke free from glaciers more than ten thousand years ago, show how part
of the Antarctic
Ice Sheet retreated rapidly at the end of the last ice age as it balanced precariously on sloping ground and became unstab
Ice Sheet retreated rapidly at the end
of the last
ice age as it balanced precariously on sloping ground and became unstab
ice age as it
balanced precariously on sloping ground and became unstable.
«What we found was that during most
of the deglaciation, the surface mass
balance of the Laurentide
Ice Sheet was generally positive,» Ullman said.
David Ullman, a postdoctoral researcher at Oregon State University and lead author on the study, said there are two mechanisms through which
ice sheets diminish — dynamically, from the jettisoning
of icebergs at the fringes, or by a negative «surface mass
balance,» which compares the amount
of snow accumulation relative to melting.
Subtracting one from the other produced a «mass -
balance» picture
of net
ice loss or growth for each
ice sheet.
The relevant papers are [Velicogna and Wahr 2006 Measurements
of time - variable gravity show mass loss in Antarctica Science 311, 1754 - 1756 and Rignot and Thomas «Mass
balance of polar
ice sheets» Science 297, 1502 - 1506]
A pair
of satellites (GRACE) were launched several years ago to determine mass
balance in the Antarctic and Greenland
ice sheets.
Willis, M J, Wilson, T J, James, T S, Mazzotti, S, Bevis, M G, Kendrick, E C, Brown, A, (2010) Geodetically - Constrained Glacial Isostatic Adjustment models
of Antarctica: Implications for the Mass
Balance of the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet, Abstract G34A - 03 presented at 2010 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 13 - 17 Dec..
Mitrovica, J. X., Tamisiea, M. E., Davis, J. L. & Milne, G. A. Recent mass
balance of polar
ice sheets inferred from patterns
of global sea - level change.
Ice shelves are important, because they play a role in the stability of the Antarctic Ice Sheet and the ice sheet's mass balance, and are important for ocean stratification and bottom water formation; this helps drive the world's thermohaline circulati
Ice shelves are important, because they play a role in the stability
of the Antarctic
Ice Sheet and the ice sheet's mass balance, and are important for ocean stratification and bottom water formation; this helps drive the world's thermohaline circulati
Ice Sheet and the ice sheet's mass balance, and are important for ocean stratification and bottom water formation; this helps drive the world's thermohaline circula
Sheet and the
ice sheet's mass balance, and are important for ocean stratification and bottom water formation; this helps drive the world's thermohaline circulati
ice sheet's mass balance, and are important for ocean stratification and bottom water formation; this helps drive the world's thermohaline circula
sheet's mass
balance, and are important for ocean stratification and bottom water formation; this helps drive the world's thermohaline circulation.
That estimate was based in part on the fact that sea level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order
of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change
of ice sheet mass
balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
Isabella Velicogna can use that information to «study the mass
balance of the Greenland and Antarctic
Ice Sheets and glaciers worldwide, in response to climate warming.»
Seeking to now provide «a little bit
of balance to this concept
of unstoppable retreat»
of the Antarctic
ice sheet, Rignot clings to hope the global community can «actually, possibly, prevent some
of the big
ice sheets» from inevitably melting.
Overall, I estimate the mass
balance of the Greenland
ice sheet to be about -80 + / -10 cubic km
of ice per year in 2000 and -110 + / -15 cubic km
of ice per year in 2004, i.e. more negative than based on partial altimetry surveys
of the outlet glaciers.
The mass -
balance of the whole greenland
ice -
sheet was estimated to be the following:
While methane is short - lived, all it has to do is shift the global energy
balance for a while, to trigger irreversible loss
of tundra methane, loss
of Arctic sea
ice cover and more calthrate loss, then loss
of ice sheets and everything else Hansen et al promise.
Because the drains out
of the various bathtubs involved in the climate — atmospheric concentrations, the heat
balance of the surface and oceans,
ice sheet accumulations, and thermal expansion
of the oceans — are small and slow, the emissions we generate in the next few decades will lead to changes that, on any time scale we can contemplate, are irreversible.
[Response: Rain on the flanks is not that uncommon, but enough rain on the bulk
of the
ice sheet to affect the surface mass
balance as much as you suggest is not on.
The relevant papers are [Velicogna and Wahr 2006 Measurements
of time - variable gravity show mass loss in Antarctica Science 311, 1754 - 1756 and Rignot and Thomas «Mass
balance of polar
ice sheets» Science 297, 1502 - 1506]
A pair
of satellites (GRACE) were launched several years ago to determine mass
balance in the Antarctic and Greenland
ice sheets.
We have joined forces with the Greenland expert Jason Box who has reconstructed the mass
balance of the Greenland
ice sheet since 1840 (Fig. 6
of our paper, see also his blog).
If a negative surface mass
balance were sustained for millennia, that would lead to virtually complete elimination
of the Greenland
ice sheet and a resulting contribution to sea level rise
of about 7 m.
One has to delve deeply into the appendix
of Chapter 11
of the TAR to find out what these extra 18 cm entail: they include a «mass
balance uncertainty» and an «
ice dynamic uncertainty», where the latter is simply assumed to be 10 %
of the total computed mass loss
of the Greenland
ice sheet.
Shepherd et al. (2012) estimate the mass
balance of the entire Antarctic
Ice Sheet to be -81 ± 37 gigatonnes per year.
The findings reinforce suggestions that strong positive
ice — temperature feedbacks have emerged in the Arctic15, increasing the chances
of further rapid warming and sea
ice loss, and will probably affect polar ecosystems,
ice -
sheet mass
balance and human activities in the Arctic...» *** This is the heart
of polar amplification and has very little to do with your stated defintion
of amplifying the effects
of warming going on at lower latitudes.
Postscript: A grouping
of 40 + scientists, including four
of our Nature co-authors, participated in the NASA / ESA
Ice Sheet Mass Balance Intercomparison project (IMBIE) in an attempt to understand the reasons for previously disparate ice mass change estimat
Ice Sheet Mass
Balance Intercomparison project (IMBIE) in an attempt to understand the reasons for previously disparate
ice mass change estimat
ice mass change estimates.
The software developed will combine individual assessments
of ice sheet mass
balance to determine a reconciled estimate
of ice sheet mass
balance, taking into account the spatial and temporal domain
of the input data and their uncertainties, and generate summary graphical and tabulated output.
We quantify sea - level commitment in the baseline case by building on Levermann et al. (10), who used physical simulations to model the SLR within a 2,000 - y envelope as the sum
of the contributions
of (i) ocean thermal expansion, based on six coupled climate models; (ii) mountain glacier and
ice cap melting, based on surface mass
balance and simplified
ice dynamic models; (iii) Greenland
ice sheet decay, based on a coupled regional climate model and
ice sheet dynamic model; and (iv) Antarctic
ice sheet decay, based on a continental - scale model parameterizing grounding line
ice flux in relation to temperature.
Then in 2003 the launch
of two new satellites, ICESat and GRACE, led to vast improvements in one
of the methods for mass
balance determination, volume change, and introduced the ability to conduct gravimetric measurements
of ice sheet mass over time.
At the beginning
of the 1990s, scientists were unsure
of the sign (positive or negative)
of the mass
balance of Greenland or Antarctica, and knew only that it could not be changing rapidly relative to the size
of the
ice sheet.
The West Antarctic
Ice Sheet (WAIS) is out of balance because it is losing significant amounts of ice to the ocean, with the losses not being offset by snowfa
Ice Sheet (WAIS) is out
of balance because it is losing significant amounts
of ice to the ocean, with the losses not being offset by snowfa
ice to the ocean, with the losses not being offset by snowfall.
A key area
of glaciological study in recent years is
ice sheet mass
balance.
The Greenland
Ice Sheet ice properties are not changing, it is the balance of forces that is changing due to thinni
Ice Sheet ice properties are not changing, it is the balance of forces that is changing due to thinni
ice properties are not changing, it is the
balance of forces that is changing due to thinning.
The impacts
of ice shelf collapse and ensuing glacier acceleration are substantial, but in general, the effects
of ocean melt are proving to be far more important in controlling
ice sheet mass
balance.
Because Antarctica drains more than 80 percent
of its
ice sheet through floating
ice shelves, accelerated glacier flow has the potential to affect
ice sheet mass
balance dramatically and raise sea level (Pritchard et al. 2012).
So the 2016 - 2017 Surface Mass
Balance of approximately 550 Gt yr ^ -1 may seem to have caused a positive ice sheet mass balanc
Balance of approximately 550 Gt yr ^ -1 may seem to have caused a positive
ice sheet mass
balancebalance (MB).
Given enough time, a negative net mass
balance will ultimately lead to complete melting
of the
ice sheet, and several studies have attempted to quantify the climatic threshold and time period required for this to happen.
«A high - resolution record
of Greenland mass
balance» «Antarctica, Greenland and Gulf
of Alaska land -
ice evolution from an iterated GRACE global mascon solution» «Greenland and Antarctica
ice sheet mass changes and effects on global sea level»
DMI says, The surface mass
balance is calculated over a year from September 1st to August 31st (the end
of the melt season) For the 2016 - 17 SMB year, which ended yesterday, the
ice sheet had gained 544bn tonnes
of ice, compared to an average for 1981 - 2010
of 368bn tonnes.
This is in this: The Cryosphere Estimation
of the Greenland
ice sheet surface mass
balance for the 20th and 21st centuries X. Fettweis1, E. Hanna2, H. Gall» ee3, P. Huybrechts4, and M. Erpicum1
The magnitude and importance
of snowfall on
ice sheet mass
balance is illustrated by the story
of Glacier Girl.
The principal processes affecting the mass
balance and dynamics
of the
ice sheets are
ice mass input from snowfall with losses from sublimation and drifting.