CRU houses the most world's most extensive data
base on atmospheric temperatures and the e-mails exposed blatant exaggerations of the warming data, possible illegal destruction of evidence, and conspiracy to manipulate or suppress data not supporting of the man - made Global Warming theory.
If CO2 absorbs at 15 micron, it also emits at 15 micron (not a blackbody distribution of all wavelengths
based on atmospheric temperature).
Not exact matches
Based on the findings, the researchers suggest either designing wind - turbine rotors to minimize turbulence or siting wind farms where natural
atmospheric turbulence is high, such as the U.S. Midwest or large parts of northern Europe and China, to cut down
on any surface -
temperature impacts, if necessary.
What is more, because Jupiter's microwave emissions vary in wavelength
based on the pressure (as well as
temperature) of the
atmospheric layers where they originate, observations at multiple wavelengths allow researchers to create a cross-section through the atmosphere.
Their findings,
based on output from four global climate models of varying ocean and
atmospheric resolution, indicate that ocean
temperature in the U.S. Northeast Shelf is projected to warm twice as fast as previously projected and almost three times faster than the global average.
This was accomplished using a stochastic climate model
based on the concept that ocean
temperature variability is a slow dynamical system, a red noise signal, generated by integrating stochastic
atmospheric forcing, or white noise71.
The catalog is
based on a compilation of literature values for
atmospheric properties (
temperature, surface gravity, and metallicity) derived from different observational techniques (photometry, spectroscopy, as... ▽ More We present revised properties for 196,468 stars observed by the NASA Kepler Mission and used in the analysis of Quarter 1 - 16 (Q1 - Q16) data to detect and characterize transiting exoplanets.
The catalog is
based on a compilation of literature values for
atmospheric properties (
temperature, surface gravity, and metallicity) derived from different observational techniques (photometry, spectroscopy, asteroseismology, and exoplanet transits), which were then homogeneously fitted to a grid of Dartmouth stellar isochrones.
In the TAR, quantitative evidence for human influence
on climate was
based almost exclusively
on atmospheric and surface
temperature.
I am not assuming — there is overwhelming evidence (from copious data, much of which can be found
on or linked to from this web site) that global
temperatures are rising at a rate that may soon seriously disrupt human civilization, and that the best explanation for the cause of that projection (
based on even more data) is human - driven, rising
atmospheric CO2 levels.
This elegant, self - regulatory,
atmospheric mechanism was soon attacked for being
based on limited data and the inability of other researchers to identify the effect in other cloud and
temperature data sets.
If so, I think we want to include tightly coupled chemical and biological processes, in that case — for example, the chemical fate of
atmospheric methane over time, the effects of increasing
atmospheric CO2
on oceanic acid -
base chemistry, and the response of the biological components of the carbon cycle to increased
temperatures and a changing hydrologic cycle.
The results of the analysis demonstrate that relative to the reference case, projected
atmospheric CO2 concentrations are estimated by 2100 to be reduced by 3.29 to 3.68 part per million by volume (ppmv), global mean
temperature is estimated to be reduced by 0.0076 to 0.0184 °C, and sea - level rise is projected to be reduced by approximately 0.074 — 0.166 cm,
based on a range of climate sensitivities.
While the changes in both the mean and higher order statistical moments (e.g., variance) of time - series of climate variables affect the frequency of relatively simple extremes (e.g., extreme high daily or monthly
temperatures, damaging winds), changes in the frequency of more complex extremes are
based on changes in the occurrence of complex
atmospheric phenomena (e.g., hurricanes, tornadoes, ice storms).
This adjacent plot of 5 - year
temperature change versus 5 - year
atmospheric CO2 level change is
based on the most recent empirical evidence published by the government's GISS / NASA scientists (and they happen to be some of the largest proponents of chicken little global warming calamities).
Comparison of global lower troposphere
temperature anomaly over the oceans (blue line) to a model
based on the first derivative of
atmospheric CO2 concentration at Mauna Loa (red line).
Climate sensitivity is not any threat The climate sensitivity (i.e. increase of glogal climate
temperature, when
atmospheric CO2 content has been doubled) assessed by IPCC —
on the
basis of climate models results — is uncertain and exaggerated.
Type 3 dynamic downscaling takes lateral boundary conditions from a global model prediction forced by specified real world surface boundary conditions, such as for seasonal weather predictions
based on observed sea surface
temperatures, but the initial observed
atmospheric conditions in the global model are forgotten.
Even so, Mann said, certain predictions are
based on physics and chemistry that are so fundamental, such as the
atmospheric greenhouse effect, that the resulting predictions — that surface
temperatures should warm, ice should melt and sea level should rise — are robust no matter the assumptions.
For instance, if we divide the respondents into «sceptics» and «warmists»
on the
basis of their assent to / dissent from the statement, «I believe that burning fossil fuels increases
atmospheric temperature to some measurable degree», and then compare those groups» assent to / dissent from popular conspiracy theories, we get the following result:
Based on proxy records from ice, terrestrial and marine archives, the LIG is characterized by an
atmospheric CO2 concentration of about 290 ppm, i.e., similar to the pre-industrial (PI) value13, mean air
temperatures in Northeast Siberia that were about 9 °C higher than today14, air
temperatures above the Greenland NEEM ice core site of about 8 ± 4 °C above the mean of the past millennium15, North Atlantic sea - surface
temperatures of about 2 °C higher than the modern (PI)
temperatures12, 16, and a global sea level 5 — 9 m above the present sea level17.
The paper discusses four different sets of data
on satellite
atmospheric monitoring (all producing slightly different end products), two radiosonde data sets (from UK Hadley Centre and University of Vienna, both adjusted for inhomogeneities — and that opens another can of worms), four different surface
temperature data sets (
based on reconstructed sea surface
temperature data sets from Hadley Centre, again, and Climate Research Unit).
PRESS RELEASE Comment
on «Examination of space -
based bulk
atmospheric temperatures used in climate research» by Christy et al. (2018) Research Report by James P. Wallace III, Joseph S. D'Aleo, & Craig D. Idso Third Edition, May, 2018
This measure is available for the US from the BEST data set... The reconfirmation now of a strong sun -
temperature relation
based specifically upon the daytime
temperature maxima adds strong and independent scientific weight to the reality of the sun -
temperature connection... This suggests strongly that changes in solar radiation drive
temperature variations
on at least a hemispheric scale... Close correlations like these simply do not exist for
temperature and changing
atmospheric CO2 concentration.»
In the paper «Evolution of El Nino — Southern Oscillation and global
atmospheric surface
temperatures» (2000), Trenberth et al state
on page 4, «The regression coefficient
based on the detrended relationship is 0.094 deg C per N3.4 and is deemed more appropriate.
SummaryFor two years beginning in 2013, a large team led by Sanjay Limaye set out to combine and compare the following: Venusian
atmospheric data collected by probes in the 1970s and 1980s (used to create the Venus International Reference Atmosphere, or VIRA) Venus Express data
on the vertical and horizontal structure of the atmosphereEarth -
based observations of the upper atmosphere
temperature structure of Venus made since VIRAFigure 1a: Vertical coverage of post-VIRA
atmospheric structure experi....
Examination of space -
based bulk
atmospheric temperatures used in climate research The Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change Assessment Report 5 (IPCC AR5, 2013) discussed bulk
atmospheric temperatures as indicators of climate variability and change.
But let's do a real rough check,
based on the HadCRUT surface
temperature record, the Mauna Loa measurement of
atmospheric CO2 (after 1958) and the IPCC estimated CO2 level
based on the Vostok ice cores (prior to 1958):
Counters: «Once the model finishes producing the data representing how radiative forcing has changed over time, we can then go back and analyze that data to see how the climate system in terms of
temperature and other factors will change
based on empirical relationships between
atmospheric factors and changes in
temperature.»
Once the model finishes producing the data representing how radiative forcing has changed over time, we can then go back and analyze that data to see how the climate system in terms of
temperature and other factors will change
based on empirical relationships between
atmospheric factors and changes in
temperature.
On the
basis of
atmospheric CO2 data obtained from the Antarctic Taylor Dome ice core and
temperature data obtained from the Vostok ice core, Indermuhle et al. (2000) studied the relationship between these two parameters over the period 60,000 - 20,000 years BP (Before Present).
However, I think your last comment concluding that the rise in
atmospheric CO2 not explained by increased ocean
temperatures, must therefore be anthropogenic, is unjustified, as it doesn't consider the effect of increased
temperature on the land
based sources and sinks.
The above statement was
based on strong evidence available at that time that the Sensitivity of Earth
Temperature to increased
atmospheric CO2 was not significant and was vastly over-estimated by the climate models cited by the IPCC.
Based on an extensive literature review, we suggest that (1) climate warming occurs with great uncertainty in the magnitude of the
temperature increase; (2) both human activities and natural forces contribute to climate change, but their relative contributions are difficult to quantify; and (3) the dominant role of the increase in the
atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases (including CO2) in the global warming claimed by the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) is questioned by the scientific communities because of large uncertainties in the mechanisms of natural factors and anthropogenic activities and in the sources of the increased
atmospheric CO2 concentration.
This comment has already gotten too long, but I'd like to point out that
based on what we know so far, it looks very much as if Salby is making the same mistake that McLean made (in attributing the
temperature rise to ENSO) and, even more similarly, that Mr Lon Hocker made in a post at WUWT in which he made virtually the identical argument to this one (
temperature changes explain the
atmospheric CO2 trend).
Bottom is model results
based on: observed SST; modeled
atmospheric profile for
temperature and humidity; plus effect of trace gases:
Based on the understanding of both the physical processes that control key climate feedbacks (see Section 8.6.3), and also the origin of inter-model differences in the simulation of feedbacks (see Section 8.6.2), the following climate characteristics appear to be particularly important: (i) for the water vapour and lapse rate feedbacks, the response of upper - tropospheric RH and lapse rate to interannual or decadal changes in climate; (ii) for cloud feedbacks, the response of boundary - layer clouds and anvil clouds to a change in surface or
atmospheric conditions and the change in cloud radiative properties associated with a change in extratropical synoptic weather systems; (iii) for snow albedo feedbacks, the relationship between surface air
temperature and snow melt over northern land areas during spring and (iv) for sea ice feedbacks, the simulation of sea ice thickness.
Under the plan, scientists and experts from around the world will be able to trade contracts
based on the
atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide and how far
temperatures increase, going decades into the future.
With the ever increasing divergence of surface
temperatures from satellite ones, and the subsequent divergence of overheated climate models to observed reality, it is worth a background
on atmospheric measurement systems from former NASA climate scientist Dr. Roy Spencer, Ph.D. — climatologist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville who he developed the first
temperature record
based on satellites...
Based on the gold - standard empirical evidence, it can safely be said that the increased
atmospheric CO2 levels of 2016 had little acceleration impact, if any, since the earlier period - at a much lower level CO2 - exhibited greater
atmospheric temperature acceleration.
Oakwood, the tragedy is not what's happening in science — things there are just as they should be: the field continues to develop new data and refined analyses, general conclusions have been reached that a very large majority support,
based on well - established principles (properties of CO2, thermodynamics, effects of warmer air
on evaporation...) and data (measures of CO2 levels, shifts in isotopic composition of
atmospheric CO2,
temperature records — instrumental and proxy,...).
Specifically, key parameters of the Human System, such as fertility, health, migration, economic inequality, unemployment, GDP per capita, resource use per capita, and emissions per capita, must depend
on the dynamic variables of the Human — Earth coupled system.26 Not including these feedbacks would be like trying to make El Niño predictions using dynamic
atmospheric models but with sea surface
temperatures as an external input
based on future projections independently produced (e.g., by the UN) without feedbacks.
If CO2 (and its «back radiation») had any significant effect, then a person would expect that, at the same
atmospheric pressure, an almost - all - carbon - dioxide - atmosphere would show a much greater «greenhouse effect», but what the almost - all - carbon - dioxide - atmosphere shows is ONLY an incremental
temperature increase
based on closer proximity to the Sun.
That method, which we use in the NASA / GISS GCM, extrapolates the surface pressures to sea level
based on elevation and the
atmospheric lapse rates calculated from surface air
temperatures.
The original Petition was substantially
based on a major peer - reviewed 2016 scientific paper by James Wallace, John Christy and Joseph D'Aleo (Wallace 2016) that analyzed the best available
temperature data sets and «failed to find that the steadily rising
atmospheric CO2 concentrations have had a statistically significant impact
on any of the 13 critically important tropical and global
temperature time series data sets analyzed.»
The researchers, most of them
based at Columbia University's Lamont - Doherty Earth Observatory, say it cements the theory that
atmospheric moisture, and thus dust, move in close step with
temperature on a global scale; the finding may in turn help inform current ideas to seed oceans with iron - rich dust in order to mitigate global warming.
What is lacking are a) a statistically robust correlation between
atmospheric CO2 and global
temperature (original topic of this thread) and b) empirical data
based on physical observations to support the AGW premise.