First, swing states are determined by whether or not there are roughly equal numbers of Democratic or Republican
base voters in each state.
Not exact matches
WASHINGTON — President Trump's major policy moves over the course of his first year
in office have had a common denominator: They either overtly favor his
base of support — the roughly one - third of
voters who solidly back him — or they appear to penalize those
states that vote Democratic.
The project is detailed
in the contract as a seven step process — with Kogan's company, GSR, generating an initial seed sample (though it does not specify how large this is here) using «online panels»; analyzing this seed training data using its own «psychometric inventories» to try to determine personality categories; the next step is Kogan's personality quiz app being deployed on Facebook to gather the full dataset from respondents and also to scrape a subset of data from their Facebook friends (here it notes: «upon consent of the respondent, the GS Technology scrapes and retains the respondent's Facebook profile and a quantity of data on that respondent's Facebook friends»); step 4 involves the psychometric data from the seed sample, plus the Facebook profile data and friend data all being run through proprietary modeling algorithms — which the contract specifies are
based on using Facebook likes to predict personality scores, with the
stated aim of predicting the «psychological, dispositional and / or attitudinal facets of each Facebook record»; this then generates a series of scores per Facebook profile; step 6 is to match these psychometrically scored profiles with
voter record data held by SCL — with the goal of matching (and thus scoring) at least 2M
voter records for targeting
voters across the 11
states; the final step is for matched records to be returned to SCL, which would then be
in a position to craft messages to
voters based on their modeled psychometric scores.
While Mr. Trump's stand is likely to give him a boost
in industrial
states like Ohio and Pennsylvania, which were both key to his 2016 victory, a trade war may harm other manufacturing strongholds that are home to his
base voters.
Absent a major terrorist attack
in the United
States, or a spate of smaller domestic attacks, or escalating weekly American military casualties, my suspicion is that
in the 2016 election,
voters will weigh foreign policy
based on their feelings about the economy.
The Associated Press unveiled a new project to supplant traditional exit polling — beginning with the 2018 midterm elections — by combining traditional, probability -
based polling with an online, opt -
in survey of
voters in targeted
states.
Cookie -
based voter - file targeted ads (like those getting scarce
in battleground
states) aren't the only arrow
in the digital advertiser's quiver: Mitt Romney's now trying to connect with
voters via Pandora internet radio, too.
But it could help Senate candidates
in battleground
states target both
base and independent
voters, who polling shows overwhelmingly favor expanded background checks.
Paladino was here last week for a rally that, if anything, highlighted the struggles within the conservative
voter base over the measure, even if polls show most New Yorkers are
in favor of updating the
state's assault weapons ban.
Manhattan Assemblyman Brian Kavanagh, who sits on the Assembly's Election Law Committee, said Trump's comments are discouraging
in light of the fact that there are federal courts across the country with judges appointed by Republicans and Democrats saying that
states»
voter laws are unconstitutional because they target people
based on their race and ethnicity.
Automatic
voter registration, approved
in eight
states and D.C., may also improve turnout via «two transformative, yet simple, changes,» the Brennan Center for Justice, a nonpartisan public policy institution
based at New York University Law School, has written.
New York
State caps individual donations to candidates running for local office using a formula
based on the number of registered
voters in a given district, which varies slightly from year to year — but leaves the single donor ceiling around $ 16,000
in a Republican primary for Nassau County executive, and $ 48,000 for the general election.
Mike Leavitt, an Annapolis -
based Republican consultant who helped guide Hogan's successful campaign, said winning again «will be a very uphill battle»
in a
state where
voters are registered Democrat, 2 - 1.
Hillary Clinton could get burned by Wisconsin
voters in today's Democratic primary,
based on the latest polls, so the former secretary of
state has set her focus on the upcoming battleground of New York.
This information is
based on
voter enrollment data released by New York
State in November of 2017 https://www.elections.ny.gov/EnrollmentSD.html
Rising newspapers
in Westchester endorses Mayer
based on her experience and knowledge of
state government, her proven ability to deliver for Yonkers
in the Assembly, and her unique capacity to represent and earn the respect from a large cross-section of Westchester
voters from all parties.
«And I think that the
voters of the entire
state would be better off served if they heard more policy -
based arguments and discussion
in the debates.»
The resulting lawsuit made it to the Court of Appeals, where the final decision determined that while Espada's enrollment could not be challenged
based on his legislative record, the party's county chair did indeed have the power, as described
in state election law, to «determine that the
voter is not
in sympathy with the principles of such party.»
And here's a very cool map
based on Nate Silver of Five ThirtyEight.com's data on when a gay marriage ban would be defeated by
voters in a given
state.
A
voter can request a registration application
in person at the county board of election or any New York
state agency -
based voter registration center.
Valesky and two other senators scored 28 out of 100 on their actions on environmental matters, according to the annual ranking of the
state Senate by the Albany -
based EPL / Environmental Advocates
in its annual
voter's guide.
All 50
states use total population as their
basis for drawing district lines, but the challengers said the rural
state Senate districts
in which they lived had vastly more eligible
voters than urban districts, making their votes count for less,
in violation of the Constitution.
When Democratic
voters in the 39th
state Assembly District head to the polls Sept. 14, former
state Sen. Hiram Monserrate asks that they vote
based on what he has done
in the
state Legislature, not the scandals of the past two years.
Maine
voters have a chance to say «yes» to an investment
in our
state that will create quality jobs, foster innovation and help the
state transition to a knowledge -
based economy.
In a report to the Legislature on school facilities, the LAO recommends that instead of relying on
voter - approved bonds to help pay for construction and upkeep, the
state should create a grant program that awards funds
based on student attendance and district need.
The court ruled that the cuts the
state is making are not affecting the
base funding per student and that the language
voters approved
in the amendment does not prevent cuts from total education funding.
A less sunny view is
based on elections results
in «blue» Massachusetts and «red» Georgia, where
voters in both
states soundly rejected pro-school choice ballot initiatives.
Arizona
voters passed a citizen initiative
in 2000 to fund teacher performance
based compensation from an increase
in the
state sales tax.
The $ 152.4 million
in bonds will partially go to two of the best schools
in the
state —
BASIS Scottsdale and
BASIS Tucson North — after
BASIS officials said they needed the money given they don't have the power to ask
voters for bonds backed by property taxes.
Based in Iowa, one of the worst
states for puppy mills, Iowa
Voters for Companion Animals and its sister organization, Iowa Friends of Companion Animals, works to educate people about puppy mill cruelty and enacts laws that will help protect animals from abuse and neglect.
One awful example of this has been the relentless effort by LA -
based Mercury Insurance, as well as other big companies like
State Farm, to undermine the most effective (actually, the only real) insurance regulatory law
in the nation, known as «Prop. 103,» passed by
voter initiative
in 1988.
Targeted adverts
based on our data insights were heavily tested, then deployed to the most persuadable
voters in key battleground
states.
The world's largest social media network is facing government scrutiny
in Europe and the United
States about a whistleblower's allegations that London -
based consultancy Cambridge Analytica improperly accessed user information to build profiles on American
voters that were later used to help elect US President Donald Trump
in 2016.
The project is detailed
in the contract as a seven step process — with Kogan's company, GSR, generating an initial seed sample (though it does not specify how large this is here) using «online panels»; analyzing this seed training data using its own «psychometric inventories» to try to determine personality categories; the next step is Kogan's personality quiz app being deployed on Facebook to gather the full dataset from respondents and also to scrape a subset of data from their Facebook friends (here it notes: «upon consent of the respondent, the GS Technology scrapes and retains the respondent's Facebook profile and a quantity of data on that respondent's Facebook friends»); step 4 involves the psychometric data from the seed sample, plus the Facebook profile data and friend data all being run through proprietary modeling algorithms — which the contract specifies are
based on using Facebook likes to predict personality scores, with the
stated aim of predicting the «psychological, dispositional and / or attitudinal facets of each Facebook record»; this then generates a series of scores per Facebook profile; step 6 is to match these psychometrically scored profiles with
voter record data held by SCL — with the goal of matching (and thus scoring) at least 2M
voter records for targeting
voters across the 11
states; the final step is for matched records to be returned to SCL, which would then be
in a position to craft messages to
voters based on their modeled psychometric scores.