Sentences with phrase «based on anomalies»

Instead, when justifying shifting figure 1.4 in the SOD AR5, Tamino and Dana explain «why» you need to use an anomaly based on 1990 for models to compare to observations based on anomalies based on the average from 1980 - 1999.

The maps and graphs included in the monthly summaries are based on anomalies relative to the climatological averaging period 1981 - 2010.

Tivy, 4.7, + / -0.5, Statistical A persistence forecast based on anomalies in July extent where the mean period is defined as the average of the previous five years.

Callendar's relationship was based on anomaly to «present mean temperature».

Not exact matches

To date, they have been rare (we still see weather disasters as unusual anomalies) and decided on a distributed, ad hoc basis.

Are anomaly premiums (expected winners minus losers among assets within a class, based on some asset characteristic) more or less predictable than broad market returns?

He also tests anomalies arguably unrelated to investor sentiment based on momentum, book - to - market, and asset growth.

Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...

You say Rambo proved last season he can do it (glass half full), I say based on how he performed prior to that season as well as this season to date, he's proved last season may have been an anomaly (glass half empty).08 / 09 — 1 goal, 9/10 — 4 goals, 10/11 — 1 goal, 11/12 — 3 goals, 12/13 — 2 goals, 13/14 — 16 goals, 14/15 — 6 goals.

If you stir in legislation such as the European Referendum Act 2015 which set the question to appear on the ballot paper but failed to address the legal consequences of a vote to leave, and the anomalies thrown up by the Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011, not least the ability to avoid a fixed - term, then the unsatisfactory basis upon which the country has gone to the polls three times in the last three years is underscored.

Due to the long distances that eruption signals travel, they likely show up as anomalies on far - off monitoring devices used to study earthquakes, land - based volcanoes or even whale songs.

«There is limited evidence based data on how best to mitigate adverse metabolic effects of obesity on mothers (spontaneous miscarriage, gestational diabetes, pre-eclampsia and need for cesarean delivery) and their offspring (congenital anomalies, neonatal adiposity and risk for childhood obesity) once a woman is pregnant.

There is certainly a lot of agreement these days that Western systems ideology is based on the dangerous idea that the limitless «noisy» anomalies of the global act should be cleaned up, corrected or demolished completely in the face of what is assumed to be the absolutely unquestionable superiority of scientific social democracy.

Using all available geologic, tectonic and geothermal heat flux data for Greenland — along with geothermal heat flux data from around the globe — the team deployed a machine learning approach that predicts geothermal heat flux values under the ice sheet throughout Greenland based on 22 geologic variables such as bedrock topography, crustal thickness, magnetic anomalies, rock types and proximity to features like trenches, ridges, young rifts, volcanoes and hot spots.

The evidence is mixed however on whether the prevalence of dental anomalies is elevated in unaffected relatives, and is mostly based on small samples.

Incidental: See the section on «New 30 - Year Base Period Implemented» for his take on temperature anomalies due to his change to a 30 - year base perBase Period Implemented» for his take on temperature anomalies due to his change to a 30 - year base perbase period.

Based on our review, ZIKV infection in pregnancy appears to be the cause of a recognizable pattern of congenital anomalies that is consistent and unique.

Figure 5.5 shows the linear trends (based on pentadal anomaly fields) of zonally averaged salinity in the upper 500 m of the World Ocean and individual ocean basins (Boyer et al., 2005) from 1955 to 1998.

I did not start plant based diet until about a year ago and now on oxygen part of the time, but at testing they said I was an anomaly as I was still working and not on oxygen at that time in comparison to the test results for my breathing.

Political blogs can successfully monitor their social media interactions for textual anomalies, while dating and review sites can classify messages submitted by users on the basis of their «possibly lying» score.»

Anomaly Warzone Earth is kind of a unique game in that it is very RTS like but is more based on the strategy aspect.

Based on a Steven Gould cult novel I read years ago (but not long ago enough to love it), its high concept is that there are genetic anomalies among us who are capable of teleporting anywhere they've been before; the catch is that a group of witch hunters is eager to kill them because they're abominations before God.

Instead of being applied only on an exception basis, such an advanced electric vehicle dynamics control system could deliver exceptional safety and handling at lower speeds as well as at high speeds or when correcting an anomaly, suggested Siegfried Pint, Audi's new Head of Electric Powertrain.

I think I am somewhat of an anomaly because I am willing to abandon a series based on price or principle.

One of the great anomalies of investing: The historical long - term outperformance of certain smart beta or factor - based strategies relative to the broader equity market (think choosing stocks based on their valuations, momentum, low volatility or quality metrics such as profitability).

Many of these are based on peer - reviewed research that may have identified legitimate market anomalies.

Notes through August 21, 2005 covered the following topics: Two Posts Worth Reading Right Away, SWR Research Group Archives, Note on Price Discipline, Guidelines Section, More about Monitoring Portfolio Safety, A Must Read for Mutual Fund Investors, New Current Research Section, A Good Idea for Dividend - Based Investing, Browse around, Scott Burns Comments, The Rule of 25, Savings Rate Statistics, A Bond Tip, Be sure to keep up with our Current Research, More on Threshold Distortion: Edited, Note on the P / E10 anomaly.

Procedures are performed on a frequent basis and include angiocardiography, congenital disease procedures, vascular anomalies, peripheral vascular work, and multiple research projects.

For those of you who have missed our previous coverage on Anomaly Korea, or haven't played the first game, this is a tower offense game which is a tower defense game except for the fact that you play as the offense units instead of the defensive player in which you are placing towers everywhere to defend your base for attacking units.

With the biggest one - on - one fighting games coming out of Japan from companies like Namco Bandai, Capcom, Sega and Yuke's, NetherRealm, based in Chicago, IL, is sort of an anomaly that draws cues from Japanese counterparts.

Early on in the game, you learn that all of the time - based anomalies are caused by a creature known as the Time Eater and that time can only truly be repaired after defeating him.

I have a post at Nate Silver's 538 site on how we can predict annual surface temperature anomalies based on El Niño and persistence — including a (by now unsurprising) prediction for a new record in 2016 and a slightly cooler, but still very warm, 2017.

However, based on this study, which is arguably the most definitive for the timebeing, positive tropical Atlantic SSTs associated with a THC - driven AMO should be contemporaneous with positive anomalies in the THC.

(G) Northern Hemisphere average proxy temperature anomalies (10 - year means) reconstructed by Mann et al. (26) on the basis of two approaches (CPS, composite plus scale; EIV, error in variables) and by Moberg et al..

Based on the comparison between reconstructions and simulations, there is high confidence that not only external orbital, solar and volcanic forcing, but also internal variability, contributed substantially to the spatial pattern and timing of surface temperature changes between the Medieval Climate Anomaly and the Little Ice Age (1450 to 1850).

The SMB graph somehow brought the words «death spiral» to mind once again, though that's based partly on a purely visual reading that doesn't take into account the fact that it's anomalies on the graph, not absolute values.

They based their predictions on 1961 - 90 anomalies (as per CRU) so actual numbers will be a bit different to GISS.

«The 2 \ sigma uncertainty in the global mean anomaly on a yearly basis are (with the current network of stations) is around 0.1 ºC in contrast that to the estimated uncertainty in the absolute temperature of about 0.5 ºC (Jones et al, 1999).»

The 2 uncertainty in the global mean anomaly on a yearly basis are (with the current network of stations) is around 0.1 ºC in contrast that to the estimated uncertainty in the absolute temperature of about 0.5 ºC (Jones et al, 1999).

That little anomaly chart on the cover is based on the 1971 - 2000 baseline, isn't it?

Moving the basis period for the anomaly around is irrelevant, and isn't normally done as far as I know (most data I've seen is based on 1961 - 1990).

«The average global temperature anomaly for combined land and ocean surfaces for July (based on preliminary data) was 1.1 degrees F (0.6 degrees C) above the 1880 - 2004 long - term mean.

This is the basis for the combined seasonal anomaly plots that are now published on the GISTEMP website.

I had attempted a similar project at the 3rd conference with my poster «Comparison of Climate Forecasts: Expert Opinions vs. Prediction Markets» in which my abstract proposed the following: «As an experiment, we will ask participants to go on the record with estimates of probability that the global temperature anomaly for calendar year 2012 will be equal to or greater than x, where x ranges in increments of 0.05 °C from 0.30 to 1.10 °C (relative to the 1951 - 1980 base period, and published by NASA GISS).»

To refresh your memory, we used the» 61 - 90 base period for the absolute anomaly scale, but we aligned the series based on an earlier interval of the instrumental record, which pre-dates (largely) the recent decline in the Briffa et al series.

Canadian Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods As with CIS contributions in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicbased on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicBased (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictors.

These anomalies can be explained on the basis of growth analysis of whole plants.

Canadian Ice Service, 4.7 (+ / - 0.2), Heuristic / Statistical (same as June) The 2015 forecast was derived by considering a combination of methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter Arctic ice thickness extents, as well as winter Surface Air Temperature, Sea Level Pressure and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) a simple statistical method, Optimal Filtering Based Model (OFBM), that uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate the September sea ice extent timeseries into the future and 3) a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicbased on observed end - of - winter Arctic ice thickness extents, as well as winter Surface Air Temperature, Sea Level Pressure and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) a simple statistical method, Optimal Filtering Based Model (OFBM), that uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate the September sea ice extent timeseries into the future and 3) a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicBased Model (OFBM), that uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate the September sea ice extent timeseries into the future and 3) a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictors.

A classic example is the Southern Oscillation (SO), encompassing the entire tropical Pacific, yet encapsulated by a simple SO Index (SOI), based on differences between Tahiti (eastern Pacific) and Darwin (western Pacific) MSLP anomalies.

At least relative to my questions above, what struck me was the possibility of starting with your reduction and analysis of the snow cover / fall anomaly data to come up with a research project based on some quite complicated but fascinating calculations on net TOA energy balance as a result of your conclusion about the relation of Arctic sea ice loss to NH snow cover / amount anomaly.