Not exact matches
«Mr. Wonderful» is notorious for taking a very pragmatic approach to
valuation based on
multiples, but each industry is different,» Ahmad says.
The
valuation is
based on the average price - to - book value
multiple of three publicly traded peers: First Midwest Bancorp, MB Financial and UMB Financial.
The
basis for that is really simple:
Valuation multiples are high.
Based on 20 years of global data and nearly 90 years of US data, the energy sector has never been cheaper on price - to - book
multiples than it was at the end of 2015.1 The skeptics» response to these compelling headline
valuations tends to be suspicion of book values, which indeed are likely overstated in some instances and vulnerable to further impairment.
Financial Statements Valuing a Company
Based on Its Revenues The price - to - sales ratio is considered to be one of the ï ¿ 1/2 cleanestï ¿ 1/2
valuation multiples; it is also more tied to profit margin than you may realize.
As a side note, we're quite aware of the seemingly «reasonable»
valuation of the market, on the
basis of the forward operating earnings estimates of Wall Street analysts, at least on the
basis of simplistic «price / forward earnings»
multiples.
I try to keep cash levels
based on risks associated with the current absolute
valuation multiples as well as my assessment of sustainability of current margins.
This
valuation looks inexpensive on an absolute
basis, and especially when we factor in the high earnings growth expectations: With a PE
multiple of 15.6 and an expected EPS growth rate of 21 % Lowe's trades at a PEG ratio of just 0.74.
Now consider the growth stock: It actually ends up delivering a consistent 15 % annual gain in revenue & earnings —
based on that performance, your fair value estimate rises accordingly & we can be pretty confident the market's happy to maintain or increase its
valuation multiple.
Even if they did, and you value the company at an appropriate P / E and / or P / S
multiple based on those metrics, I'd be hard pressed to come up with a
valuation much higher than today's market price.
Let's split the difference, and
base our
valuation on an average / assumed operating margin of 19.8 % — which deserves at least a 1.75 Price / Sales
multiple, in my opinion.
On balance, a
valuation based simply on current metrics seems neither too harsh nor too optimistic — there are still plenty of higher TV / radio M&A
multiples to reference, but I think a 12 P / E and a 2.0 P / S ratio (
based on a 21.8 % operating profit margin) are pretty neutral values to apply.
Again, I'll split the difference (vs. a 30 % margin) &
base my
valuation on an average / assumed operating margin of 21.6 % — which I think now deserves a 2.0 P / S
multiple.
I think the above exhibits show that on the
basis of current public company
valuations, a direct competitor
valuation, EGI's previous public company
valuations and recent transaction
multiples that the company is significantly undervalued from a number of perspectives.
As a result, the distribution of S&P 500 P / E
multiples was now its tightest in at least 25 years, implying less differentiation of companies
based on
valuation.
Relative
valuations (vs. a sector or the general market) might be relied upon either,
based on some of the same ratios or EBITDA
multiples, for example.
Right now, for
valuation purposes, let's bridge the gap by assuming ESCH can re-attain half those margins — and I mean on a cash flow
basis — which deserves a 1.5 Price / Sales
multiple.
AUM trends, or the stability of Argo Real Estate Opportunities Fund (AREO: LN), might present risk (s) to this
valuation, but one could also speculate on a higher
valuation based on share buybacks, rising AUM & margins, and a higher market
valuation multiple.
I consider my
valuation multiple a reasonable compromise between higher sector
multiples & the risk of a devastating client loss... Plus it allows me to (fairly) comfortably apply a (positive) debt adjustment:
Based on the company's 4.7 M of (annualized) adjusted operating profit (& zero debt), management could easily draw down 14.2 M of debt for expansion, acquisitions, etc. — as usual, I'll haircut this by 50 %.
Presuming a steady / substantial reduction in customer concentration (the NJ gaming launch will help, though it's off to a slow start), we may reasonably anticipate accelerated growth in GAME's intrinsic value,
based on healthy revenue / profit growth & expanding
valuation multiples.
That is particularly true between a «disciplined» appraisal method such as X times rent, and a more «subjective»
valuation based on how «hot» an area is, and how many people want to live there, which might bring about a
multiple, Y, higher than X (the general
multiple) for just one area.
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