Similarly, I expect that in the event of a general bull market in stocks, the fund will not shine so brightly in terms of relative performance., The math of investing would favour the fund, however, over several bull and
bear market cycles because, on a percentage basis, lost dollars are simply harder to replace than gained dollars are to lose.
Not exact matches
So it's important not to assume that just
because the uniformity of
market internals has improved or deteriorated, the entire
cycle has shifted from a bull
market to a
bear market, or vice versa.
Though our investment horizon of interest is a complete
market cycle, we don't generally think in terms of bull and
bear markets,
because they can only be determined in hindsight.
This carries particular resonance today
because of how abnormally long the current
market cycle has become: Despite the recent sell - off, the S&P 500 Index hasn't seen a
bear market since the financial crisis ended more than nine years ago.
Still, investors who do so should make that decision explicitly, with an understanding of the implications of that choice — as in «I am consciously choosing, here and now, to ignore the potential for the current
market cycle to be completed by a
bear market, either
because I am willing to hold stocks regardless of their future course, or
because I will adhere to some well - tested investment discipline that has been reliably capable of avoiding major losses.»
Likewise, if you don't intend to hold the Strategic Growth Fund over the course of a complete bull -
bear market cycle, you should not invest in the Fund,
because we have no firm expectation that the Fund will outperform the
market over smaller segments of the
market cycle.
Though our investment horizon of interest is a complete
market cycle, we don't generally think in terms of bull and
bear markets,
because they can only be determined in hindsight.
Although it's nice that we haven't had a
bear market for almost a decade, it's also annoying
because I haven't been able to measure my performance as a «defensive value» investor through a full
cycle yet.