Indeed we propose a simple model of the price dynamics in which the return growth depends on three components: a) a momentum component, naturally justified in terms of agents» belief that expected returns are higher in bullish markets than in
bearish ones; b) a fundamental component proportional to the log earnings over price ratio at time zero.
This marks the first time bullish wagers have outnumbered
bearish ones on the contracts since February 2016.
At the close of the first quarter, its bullish trades ended up being $ 148 billion in excess of
the bearish ones.
Then, as JPMorgan tried to deal with the controversy and the losses, it appears to have dumped nearly $ 142 billion of bullish bets, leaving them just $ 10 billion in excess of
the bearish ones.
For now, we are leaning towards
a bearish one for trading purposes, meaning the selling the rallies should be more profitable than buying the dips.
Monday started out with gains in all three indices, but the bullish tone turned to
a bearish one before we even reached noon.
And, the scenario I posit above is
a bearish one; things could end up better than that over the next two decades.
A bearish one opens near its high and closes near its low.
Regardless of what I thought, having a bullish pattern directly in front of
a bearish one is not conducive to a short position.
Not exact matches
One of Hartnett's main
bearish arguments has long been what he describes in his most recent client note as «peaking optimism.»
While the short position Chanos has in Alibaba has not worked out, Yusko was right on
one of his most
bearish calls in recent years: In early 2015 he predicted oil would hit $ 30 when many thought crude had already hit a bottom.
One of the more comprehensive presentations of the
bearish position is to be found in «Why housing affordability is a misleading indicator,» by Ben Rabidoux.
«For a bank like CWB, where sentiment has been fairly directly correlated to oil prices, if someone wanted to remain
bearish on it,
one of the excuses will be that Alberta is actually now going to go into a recession, if it hadn't already,» Movahedi says.
One of those inefficiencies includes finding overly bullish or overly
bearish sentiment in a security, which often reflects herd mentality and causes investors to put down their guard.
An index value above
one is
bearish, below
one is bullish and
one is market neutral.
Kitco News — The sentiment in China will continue to be
bearish, with
one market expert noting that «everything is falling off a cliff,» in the country.
Just
one day later, QQQ began following through on the
bearish pattern by slicing through its 50 - day moving average.
Although it is
bearish that SPY now has a plethora of overhead supply and technical resistance levels to contend with,
one potential ray of sunshine in the storm clouds is that SPY is coming into major support of a year - long uptrend line.
One of those five reasons was the formation of a
bearish «head and shoulders» pattern that was forming on the chart of QQQ key to at the time.
Although we are not yet at the point of making a
bearish call on the market,
one ETF that is showing considerable relative weakness is Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX).
This
one man may be to blame for the recent weakness in stocks, says analyst
Bearish comments from Caterpillar's CFO were applied to the whole market, Bell saysThe U.S. stock market has struggled recently, with the Dow on track for its fifth straight daily decline despite
one of the best earnings seasons on record.
Debt A Four Letter Word Why Eat Cat Food In Retirement Being
Bearish Is Not Profitable How does
one of the top 10 pension funds diversify their assets?
Monero is still
one of the less
bearish majors, holding up above last week's low together with Bitcoin, not far off the key $ 200 level that has been in focus for two weeks now.
So, there are still two possible future scenarios -
bearish that will lead us below February low following trend line breakdown, and the bullish
one in a form of medium - term double top pattern or breakout towards 3,000 mark.
Pachter has consistently been
one of the most
bearish analysts on Wall Street, rating the company underperform with a $ 40 price target, compared to a current share price of around $ 100.
As I said two weeks ago, the experts I brought to the conference, even the
ones I expected to be raging bulls, were mostly
bearish.
A bullish trading signal is given when the 50 - day MA crosses above the longer MA; likewise, a
bearish trading signal is given when the shorter MA crosses under the longer
one.
Thomas J. Lee,
one of the most
bearish stock strategists on Wall Street, is feeling a lot more optimistic about the prospects for bitcoin.
For
bearish traders, the act of focusing on stocks in weak performing groups or sectors is
one way to improve their probability of long - term success.
Fast forwarding to
one month later, $ QQQ has grinded all the way back to test the «head» of the chart pattern, thereby decreasing the odds of the
bearish pattern following through to the downside (but now creating the possibility of a double top being formed).
Even so, we are still in neutral territory on sentiment and we are coming off
one of the most
bearish two - year periods in history.
Considering the short - term positive correlation between the oil price and the S&P 500 Index (see chart below) and the well - known
bearish fundamentals, it's more likely that the oil market will build a base this year involving a Q1 bottom and
one or two successful tests of the bottom.
In recent weeks,
one very interesting thing we have seen is the
bearish divergence between the prices of the main stock market indexes versus their corresponding relative strength (RS) lines... [read more]
One of the things that casual observers often get wrong is that my outlook isn't driven by some perma -
bearish philosophy, but is instead a function of observable data — specifically, the historical relationship between observable data and subsequent outcomes in the financial markets and the economy.
I need to point out that earlier this year Hecht was slow to accept the move being made by gold and silver and had even issued some
bearish remarks at
one point.
OverviewGold price shows a
bearish bias after approaching the critical resistance at 1,197.10, which represents
one of the next trend keys besides 1,183.83 support, where the price is following its way to test this support.
Analysts at Bernstein initiated coverage of Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW) last February with a
bearish stance, but nearly
one year later the firm has three compelling reasons to turn bullish.
Funnily enough,
one of the most popular Twitter traders had published a
bearish setup at the time of the pump, but may have been oblivious to what was happening.
Maybe I'm too bullish on
one of Naile / Bassitt / Anderson working out, but I'm getting pretty
bearish on Graveman.
A gallery of character actors has fun with various hardass roles, divided evenly between urban biker maniacs (
bearish Chuck Zito, reptilian Frank Grillo) and swamp thugs like Stuart Greer,
one of the few actors here whose presence believably rattles Statham.
The first candle of the pattern should be red confirming the
bearish nature of the market and the second candle should be a green
one, long enough to completely engulf the previous day's red candle.
Our approach is a minimalistic
one that simplifies our ability to spot bullish /
bearish trends more accurately.
Therefore, a relatively large shooting star candlestick is a more significant
bearish signal than a relatively small
one.
If you're
bearish and expect a stock market downturn, you can buy put options on
one or more stocks to try to profit from falling prices whether or not you own the underlying stocks.
The shooting star candlestick pattern, also known as the pinbar (or
bearish pinbar) by some, is
one of the most popular candlestick patterns among price action traders.
I don't know if I am that
bearish, but I would expect at least
one back - up in junk yields before this cycle ends.
When there is a red
bearish signal,
one point is deducted for that stock.
The sixth data point — the traditional price / earnings ratio, which focuses on trailing or projected 12 - month earnings — is the
one that paints the least -
bearish picture.
Try to analyze for the long run the performance of the stocks you bought during
bearish trends to the
ones you bought during bullish trends (but only the
ones that proved to be good choices in both cases, not
ones that were proven to be mistakes or you regret buying) and see for yourself.
The 49 % top - to - bottom capital evisceration occurred over a lengthy 30 month period that did not approach
bearish levels until nearly
one full year in.