The coin has been declining steadily for the seventh day amid
the bearish sentiments of general cryptocurrency market.
The following candlestick is bearish, which is (depending on its relative size) a confirmation of
the bearish sentiment of the market at the time.
While the momentum of the move is impressive and some bearish trendlines have been already broken, it's too early to conclude that the current rally is anything more than an oversold bounce, even as the extremely
bearish sentiment of the recent period would justify a more durable relief rally.
Not exact matches
By contrast, traders (hedge funds) and small investors are expressing historically high levels
of bearish sentiment (both groups are known for following trends and being wrong at turning points).
«For a bank like CWB, where
sentiment has been fairly directly correlated to oil prices, if someone wanted to remain
bearish on it, one
of the excuses will be that Alberta is actually now going to go into a recession, if it hadn't already,» Movahedi says.
One
of those inefficiencies includes finding overly bullish or overly
bearish sentiment in a security, which often reflects herd mentality and causes investors to put down their guard.
Periods
of persistent bullish or
bearish sentiment are usually confirmed by excessively high or low valuations, which is not the case at present.
Indeed, there is still a great deal
of complacency on the
sentiment side, with only about 30 %
of investment advisors
bearish and the CBOE volatility index not even reaching 28.
The recent sell - off in the yellow metal has brought out a ton
of bearish sentiment this week, some
of which I'll post here... First up, Doug Kass has a gold call...
«The recent rally is also a reflection
of the extremely
bearish sentiment and positioning on emerging markets,» he said.
The Investors Intelligence percentage
of bearish investment advisors is back below the important 30 % level, while the AAII investor
sentiment survey reports just 11 %
of individual investors are
bearish here.
For the U.S. market, they define investor
sentiment using an American Association
of Individual Investors (AAII) value index (percent bullish minus percent
bearish), derived from a weekly survey
of individual investors regarding their outlook for U.S. equities over the next six months and published before the market open on Thursdays.
For the German market, they define investor
sentiment using the Sentix value index (percent bullish minus percent
bearish), derived from a weekly survey
of institutional and individual investors regarding their outlook for German equities over the next six months and published on weekends.
Given this is the soft demand part
of the year,
bearish sentiment is likely to rise in the weeks ahead.
The consensus for the
sentiment shift from
bearish to bullish seems to be the positive and mature outlook offered on the cryptocurrency sector by Christopher Giancarlo, chairman
of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) during his testimony in front
of the Senate Banking Committee last Tuesday.
Again, this could amount to simply a shaking out
of extreme
bearish sentiment before another leg higher in bond yields.
Overview: Today, the EUR / USD pair will probably turn to
bearish sentiment from the level
of 1.0922 because the first resistance is seen at the level
of 1.0922.
Even so, we are still in neutral territory on
sentiment and we are coming off one
of the most
bearish two - year periods in history.
There were a number
of key developments that seemed to impact investor
sentiment in support
of either a bullish or
bearish outlook.
One can look at the Investors Intelligence bullish
sentiment figure, which has eased back to 43 % from over 50 % in early April, but ignore that
bearish sentiment is down to 20.4 %, less than half
of the bullish
sentiment figure, and the lowest level since just before the 2011 market rout.
As Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market get pressured by a
bearish sentiment based on the technical pattern known as «death cross», investors are also aware
of the mixed signals coming from big banks regarding the asset class — with great focus on Bitcoin and Ripple.
The next instance before that was two weeks in August 1987 (
bearish sentiment never dipped much below 27 approaching the 2000 peak except for a reading
of 22.6 in April 1998, just before the Asian crisis).
The bitcoin offshoot has been riddled in
bearish sentiment for the majority if its existence, and had spent the better part
of two months below $ 500.
Bearish investor
sentiment, however, quickly abated as positive U.S. economic data, combined with broader acceptance
of a «lower for longer» interest rate environment, drove stock returns higher.
The last time
bearish sentiment was below 20 %, at a 4 - year market high and a Shiller P / E above 18 (S&P 500 divided by the 10 - year average
of inflation - adjusted earnings — the present multiple is 23) was for two weeks in May 2007 with the S&P 500 about 1525.
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite indices tumbled 3.2 % and 5.2 % respectively during the same period, which is a great example
of why it pays to trade ETFs with a low correlation to the direction
of the stock market when equity
sentiment turns
bearish.
To the casual observer, it may seem that this unprecedented growth is related to the cryptocurrency market's latest push, with bitcoin and other tokens showing renewed strength after a tough few months
of bearish sentiment.
Bullish
sentiment, expecting future prices to head higher, or
bearish sentiment, the expectation
of lower prices ahead.
That said, bull contrarians could cite the tendency
of sharp price moves to correct, as well as
bearish sentiment extremes providing occasionally stellar buying opportunities.
The fine team at Bespoke Investment Group notes that
bearish sentiment is back at the levels
of July, 2009.
If the blue line and red histograms
of the FX Sniper's T3 CCI custom indicator gets aligned below the 0.00 level as illustrated on Fig. 1.1, the overall market
sentiment is said to be
bearish, hence a trigger to go short on the selected FX pair.
Maybe they were just plain too
bearish, based on surveys showing the most negative investor
sentiment in place since November.2 Maybe they forgot the saying that bull markets climb a wall
of worry...
due to the opportunistic nature
of contrarian investors it would be interesting to see the analysis (and yes I shall do it myself:)
of contrarian performance in slightly different scenario: — reaching (minus)-10 % performance in 6 months after bullish
sentiments — reaching (plus) 10 % performance in 6 months after
bearish sentiments
If the red histogram
of the Fisher custom indicator forms below the 0.00 level as seen on Fig. 1.1, the
sentiment in the market is said to be
bearish i.e. a sell signal.
ex4 custom indicator as shown on Fig. 1.1, the
sentiment in the market is said to be somewhat
bearish i.e. a signal to go short on the currency
of focus.
As you can also see below, the Swissy was more vulnerable to risk
sentiment since the euro traded roughly sideways on Thursday but the safe - haven Swissy was feeling some
bearish pressure, very likely because
of
As has been the case in the past few weeks, the Aussie took directional cues from gold and risk
sentiment, which makes for some rather weird and messy price action, especially on Monday when gold prices dropped because
of the Greenback's overall strength, which is
bearish for the Aussie.
If the blue line and red histograms
of the FX Sniper's T3 CCI custom indicator is seen to dip below the 0.00 level, the general market
sentiment is said to be
bearish i.e. a signal to sell the selected forex pair.
To make matters worse for the higher - yielding Kiwi, global risk
sentiment became
bearish on Thursday and Friday, especially after the U.S. Senate's version
of the Republican tax plan caused doubts to grow that much - awaited tax cuts will be implemented soon.
As you can also see below, the Swissy was more vulnerable to risk
sentiment since the euro traded roughly sideways on Thursday but the safe - haven Swissy was feeling some
bearish pressure, very likely because
of the returning risk - on vibes at the time.
To make matters worse for the higher - yielding Kiwi, global risk
sentiment became
bearish on Thursday and Friday, especially after the U.S. Senate's version
of the Republican tax plan
Neutral
sentiment has averaged 30.5 % and
bearish sentiment has averaged 30.6 % over the life
of the survey.
With
sentiment already fairly
bearish, the likelihood
of any negative news for iron ore sending the stock lower appears to be less than the likelihood that a piece
of good news will send the stock higher.
The name is derived from the common use
of «bear» or
bearish in the language
of Market
sentiment to reflect the idea that investors expect downward price movement.
As 2017 drew to a close, investors were largely split across bullish,
bearish, and neutral views about the stock market.1 Since then, there has been a notable spike in bullish
sentiment with the majority
of investors now envisioning good things for the markets.
If the red line
of the red line
of the SuperMegaWinner.ex4 indicator crosses the blue line downwards, while red dots align to the bottom
of the indicator window as shown on Fig. 1.1, it is an indication that the market
sentiment is
bearish i.e. a signal to sell.
Price Action Tracker detected a
bearish false - breakout pattern and suggested to wait for a break
of 1.3506 to confirm
bearish sentiment.
If the blue line
of the FX Sniper's T3 CCI.ex4 custom mt4 indicator breaks above the 0.00 signal level when the
sentiment in the market is
bearish as shown on Fig. 1.1, it is a trigger to exit or take profit straight away.
If the slate blue histograms
of the AdvancedGetOscillator.ex4 indicator aligns below the 0.00 signal level, it is a sign that the market
sentiment is
bearish i.e. a sell alert.
One noticeable improvement has been
sentiment, which has worked off some
of the recent bullish levels and moved closer to levels associated with bottoms as both active money managers and retail investors turn overly
bearish.