The main reason for this is
because public bettors have given up on Arsenal at this point.
I included this game
because public bettors have been very high on Navy this season, receiving more than 80 % of tickets in two straight weeks.
Not exact matches
You are also getting good numbers
because public perception often inflates lines, giving brave contrarian
bettors an extra half point or full point for free.
Sportsbooks won't move their lines just
because a lot of
public bettors are on one team unless it is very lopsided.
This was an important development
because my analysis on NBA second half betting found that
public bettors will almost always gravitate towards the team that's trailing at halftime — especially if they were favored on the full game spread.
They can't do this to an extreme
because sharp
bettors, and eventually the
public, would catch on.
The sportsbooks that participate with us feel that members knowing which side the
public is favoring will not hurt their business model
because bettors still have to pick winners.
Because the
public is heavily taking Houston, Sports Interaction (SIA), which is known as a book that caters to
public bettors (as opposed to sharp or professional
bettors) has shaded the Texans to -3.5, instead of the -3 that is currently the market consensus.
Public bettors are probably kicking themselves now
because they've been the most profitable team in the entire league, going 7 - 1 for +8.49 units on the moneyline and breaking expansion team records along the way.
Most teams won't get
public support
because they have burned
bettors.
They are okay if the
public loads up on one side as long as sharps don't join in
because they are able to predict who
bettors will like for each game, and set the lines accordingly.
Because oddsmakers understand the teams and situations that will attract
public money, they react by shading lines to force these
bettors to take worse numbers.
Wiseguys love this time of year
because March Madness brings an influx of
public bettors, leading to high ticket counts and increased contrarian value.
Why the
public loves OKC: The Thunder have been a
public favorite all season
because of the talent packed into their starting five, but, since
bettors often make decisions based on the last thing they see, today's
public support is probably due in large part to their impressive win in Houston on Saturday.
Why the
public loves Cleveland: The Cavs have been horrible (21 -44-1) against the spread this season, but that hasn't stopped
bettors from backing them on a near nightly basis
because of this player named LeBron James.